Hit my gutshot on the river and villain goes all in. Easy fold?

Hit my gutshot on the river and villain goes all in. Easy fold?

Hero (1400): LAG image
V1 (450): Bad player.
V2 (1800): Somewhat an erratic player. I saw him call all in after a check raise on the turn with AK in a board Jh5h2h9c and he had no hearts. Ive been playing for him for about 4 hours. He is not running good

Dealer announces 3 last hands to close private game. This is the second one

OTH
Blinds 5-5

4 handed
v2 straddles to 15 on the button. I call on BB with 9d8d, V1 calls, v2 checks

Flop(50) 6h2h5d

Hero takes a stab at the pot and bets out 35. V1 call v2 call

Turn(155): 2d
Hero bets 105, V1 calls, v2 call

River (470): 7c
Hero bets 305, v1 call, V2 goes all in for 1100 effective to me

Against most players it is a snap fold, but this is an erratic player. Did he slow played 2 pair or a set on the flop? Is there a way for him to move in on me with a middle straight?

25 May 2023 at 05:18 AM
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15 Replies


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by Playbig2000 k

For a $1K gamble I would much rather prefer to bet it on red or black than betting that the guy was bluffing into 2 ppl otherwise it's just a guess, a hope, an a prayer.

Lol this is funny


by luz4ggro k

Well this Is how the hand ended:

Spoiler
Show

Hero calls, V2 shows 62 and takes down the pot

Some friends critizied me for that call. He is a fish, we all know it, terrible player, but he is not bluffing a dry side pot. Not being results oriented, but I think this was a clear fold (unless he is overvalueing a deuce)


2 hands to go before close? Call. I run into this all the time playing till close and players absolutely spaz their brains out, thats why you play till close, especially vs someone who is down and especially vs an erratic player. Most common line heard after they jam into my KK? "Wow you really had it, I thought you were bluffing".

Also as played I hate the flop/turn leads. You said you wanted to "take a stab" at it, stabbing with what? There are 4 people in what is essentially a limped pot, odds are somebody hit a pair and nobody is folding unless you 3x the pot. And then when they call you barrel turn? The 2 doesnt hurt them and nobody is putting you on a deuce so again, what are you accomplishing? But since you got there anyway bravo.


by luz4ggro k

Hero (1400): LAG image
V1 (450): Bad player.
V2 (1800): Somewhat an erratic player. I saw him call all in after a check raise on the turn with AK in a board Jh5h2h9c and he had no hearts. Ive been playing for him for about 4 hours. He is not running good

Dealer announces 3 last hands to close private game. This is the second one

OTH
Blinds 5-5

4 handed
v2 straddles to 15 on the button. I call on BB with 9d8d, V1 calls, v2 checks

Flop(50) 6h2h5d

Hero takes a stab at the pot and bets out 35. V1 call v2 ca

I don't get why you completed the extra $10 pre flop. These BTN straddles are kinda silly - the sb and BB act first - that doesn't make any sense, you need to be very very tight out of the BB if that is the case. You should have an even stronger range than UTG because what usually happens is if you call the $15 someone just raises and you get squeezed out of the pot. 8d9d isn't strong enough to complete, especially being this shallow (you have some 30bb stacks behind you) - you aren't even 100bb effective. I'm folding almost everything in the first few positions except for the very best starting hands and certainly opening for a 4x raise to $60 on the hands i want to play. The call from BB is the biggest mistake by far, and no one seems to question it.

As played - flip a coin man. You butchered this hand to even make it here and now you are just guessing in uncapped ranges where he can have honestly any 2 cards. He probably has some stupid hand that beats you, but who knows.


by djevans k

I don't get why you completed the extra $10 pre flop. These BTN straddles are kinda silly - the sb and BB act first - that doesn't make any sense, you need to be very very tight out of the BB if that is the case. You should have an even stronger range than UTG because what usually happens is if you call the $15 someone just raises and you get squeezed out of the pot. 8d9d isn't strong enough to complete, especially being this shallow (you have some 30bb stacks behind you) - you aren't even 10

It's 4 way. I view it as the equivalent of being in the Lojack with a probable BU caller. Even 30BB deep, 89s is a raise from that position IIRC.


by OvertlySexual k

It's 4 way. I view it as the equivalent of being in the Lojack with a probable BU caller. Even 30BB deep, 89s is a raise from that position IIRC.

he's in the big blind - which is before UTG - these BTN straddles make the small blind and bigblind act first. You can't 4x raise 30bb with 89s. Stacks are so awkward this is just a fold preflop - if everyone was deep i could get behind it.


by djevans k

he's in the big blind - which is before UTG - these BTN straddles make the small blind and bigblind act first. You can't 4x raise 30bb with 89s. Stacks are so awkward this is just a fold preflop - if everyone was deep i could get behind it.

I understand he's in the big blind. But they are 4 handed so IMO he's effectively in the lojack having already paid 1BB.

How would you play the lojack if you had posted a small blind and the Button had posted the BB?


Just to get back to the original point made earlier on, everyone is making the question about whether or not V2 is bluffing. He's almost never bluffing here, let's be realistic. This is LLSNL.

However, the real questions boil down to, would V2 3-bet shove with 34 or 48 (or 98?) into 2 people representing strength? Can he show up there with 34 or 48/98 as played? If yes to both, then it's just a question of combinations of straights versus boats. There are drastically more straight combinations including a chop, so if you're entirely sure that it's a yes, this is a call. The entire rest of the hand post flop is pure spew, and I don't think that's disputed.

The way this hand was described screamed FOLD to me, but I think the math would disagree, ONLY if we could make a case for the combinations of straights.

I DO know that a lot of players who are stuck balls by the last hand will slow play a big hand on a wet flop hoping to juice a pot to get way more unstuck than taking down a small pot on the flop. It actually makes sense if you look at it through their eyes. I don't think one should make the assumption that a V2 big hand is off the table on the flop just because he only called. This is why I do not take away any boat combinations except 99 and 88 and maybe 77 based on pre. So 34 is a yes, and so are 48 and 98, in terms of, "can V2 show up here with this?"

The big question now becomes whether or not he would 3-bet shove on a paired board with not even the nut straight (9th or 10th nuts). The only bad play represented by OP for V2 was passive: a bad call. You don't often see LLSNL players 3-bet shove into 2 players representing strength on the river, unless they have a truly monster hand. To quote shark tank: because of that, I am out.


I have to give a shoutout to luz4ggro for not only initially posting but continuing to post in a year old thread where lots of shots were fired about his plays, but also I can't help but smile at this pure cannonball blast of a first comment:

by LowSociety k

The entire rest of the hand post flop is pure spew, and I don't think that's disputed.


It sounded better while I was typing it...😊


by OvertlySexual k

I understand he's in the big blind. But they are 4 handed so IMO he's effectively in the lojack having already paid 1BB.

How would you play the lojack if you had posted a small blind and the Button had posted the BB?

oh i see, i missed that part about it 4 handed - I still think fold>Raise>complete is going to be the best strategy preflop. Just sucks to have that short stack behind you 30bb because you can't really 4x pre and making it 2x pre is just awkward and completing really sucks.

I would just sacrifice the BB and want to play in position with these stacks. if that 400 stack was bigger I would just open raise 4x this hand. $60 to win $20 seems pretty good, but that 400 stack can profitably shove any decent hand which we can't really call.


by illiterat k

I have to give a shoutout to luz4ggro for not only initially posting but continuing to post in a year old thread where lots of shots were fired about his plays, but also I can't help but smile at this pure cannonball blast of a first comment:

I've been reviewing hand history from my first post in twoplustwo to see the evolution of my hand analysis. I started winning constistenly exactly 2 years ago when I actually started studying solvers,playing low stakes online to practice (which I reccomend to anyone, online players are much better than live on average and if you don't study you get crushed), and grinding 100+ hours a month. I know sometimes I like to make splashy plays like these 😃 but this forum has really helped me get perspective from different players, so I would like to thank everyone here for that. I actually read each of the responses and I don't have any ego involved, I never get mad.

Talking about the hand. It was the end of the night and we were all tired, flop and turn are total spew. But I still incline to think that the river decision was a fold, maybe I'm result oriented, the villain may be erratic, but he is not bluffing 2 players with a dry side pot


Your thinking about this should happen BEFORE you bet. It's a paired board. It doesn't seem like anyone had a big overpair so probably more cards in the lower range.

I'm going to rasie blah and if h re-raises im doing to do bla and for that reason I'm raising blah. The river bet folds out a lot of the weaker hands. Also, if someone has a boat, you just bloated the pot and you'll have a hard time getting away from it.

In this case, on the river, your thinking BEFORE betting, should be I'm going to bet $150 to get value bad hands and if he raises a reasonable amount I'll call otherwise if he jams I'll fold.


Necro thread, but I like it. Poker hands are like wine, they only get better with time.

2 hands to go before close?

No matter how poorly someone played all night, if they made money today, they want to keep it.


by Bellezza k

Necro thread, but I like it. Poker hands are like wine, they only get better with time.

2 hands to go before close?

No matter how poorly someone played all night, if they made money today, they want to keep it.

Hard disagree. In fact usually there's 1 person begging to flip for stacks on their last hand. It's not so much that they want to keep their money, it's that they want to make sure they win the pot, at least against the described opponent. Im not paying off some nit who's up 500BB's thinking he's making a move to get the waitresses attention on his last hand.

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