turned flush but?
1/3
nit opens UTG to $11, 2 cold callers, i call $500 deep with Js9s in CO, button calls, bb calls
flop Qs9x2s, checked to me i bet $15. everyone folds to MP pf cold caller who CRs to $45. MP is $300 deep. i call? (anyone else do differently?)
turn 7s. MP bets $60. your play?
6 Replies
You bet $15 into $60 and got check raised to $45? So $30 more into $120? Most players are polarized in this spot to a draw OR a tptk/2p type hand. Trying to buy a cheap turn or trying to extract a bit more value out of draws.
Could also be a "buy it from the weak bet" check-raise.
I'd be inclined to think it's tp/2p/bluff. So I'd call the turn and let him value him self on the river. If they check the river, consider betting 35% pot for value on reasonable rivers.
You bet $15 into $60 and got check raised to $45? So $30 more into $120? Most players are polarized in this spot to a draw OR a tptk/2p type hand. Trying to buy a cheap turn or trying to extract a bit more value out of draws.
Could also be a "buy it from the weak bet" check-raise.
I'd be inclined to think it's tp/2p/bluff. So I'd call the turn and let him value him self on the river. If they check the river, consider betting 35% pot for value on reasonable rivers.
this but bet half pot or more on river. we're ahead, get your value. it's hard for someone who check/raises flop to fold for half pot on river in my experience. he could have a set or two pair on flop, maybe TJ - open ended with backdoor flush draw -- all of which you're dominating and he's never folding. if it's a bluff, he's folding to any size bet, so might as well go to value town. if a 4th spade comes, just feel out the action - the nut flush wouldn't take this line (and second nuts likely wouldn't either)
I bet more like 20 OTF, I like your call AP (and hate 3-betting here).
I call the turn with plans of shoving non-spade or board pairing rivers. Don’t hate raising either, likely lean towards call though.
I also call the check-raise and call turn, intending to call a modest river bet or make a modest bet myself if checked to. If the river is a spade or pairs the board then sont put anything more in (I suppose on a board pair there could be an argument form turning your hand into a bluff, but let's not get ahead of ourselves)
V's line on flop doesn't make a lot of sense, unless you or the BTN have the image that one or the other of you is going to stab at this flop when everyone else checks to you.
The PFR checked UTG. If the V in MP had a real hand, wouldn't he want to bet it, at least some of the time, rather than take a chance the action checks through?
You're blocking 99. Unlikely he just flat-called with QQ pre. So he's basically repping 1 combo of 99, 2 combos of Q9s and 3 combos of 22 for value. He ain't repping much, mostly flush draws, some straight draws, or bottom set.
Most opponents at low stakes don't have a x/r-fold button if we were to 3B, and that would only accomplish folding out his worse hands, so go ahead and call flop.
But that turn bet sizing he's taking is weak sauce, after he x/r's flop and you call. I'd probably raise, to get value from his 2P/sets, straight draws, and worse flushes.
Played fine and I would call turn because you can still get the money in on the river. Check raising small to like 150 to jam river can't be that bad either.
