KTo on paired flop facing turn jam by recreational
Villain's stack size says he is recreational, and his stats are:
N: 988
VPIP: 45
PFR: 19
Flop checkraise: 1 (1/99)
3Bet: 4
AFq: 43
I did not see his checkraise % at the time so I am mostly interested in the play "in general". My thought process was that he will not be overbet-jamming 5x because he wouldn't want to "scare me away", so the jam feels more draw heavy than a 5x hand. Is that me levelling myself against a fish who just obviously has 5x here?
PokerStars - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
Hero (CO): 158.2 BB
BTN: 100 BB
SB: 114.6 BB
BB: 69.4 BB
UTG: 240.6 BB
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has T♥ K♦
fold, Hero raises to 2.5 BB, fold, fold, BB calls 1.5 BB
Flop: (5.5 BB, 2 players) 5♥ 5♠ T♠
BB checks, Hero bets 3.5 BB, BB raises to 9.7 BB, Hero calls 6.2 BB
Turn: (24.9 BB, 2 players) 8♦
BB bets 57.2 BB and is all-in, Hero ???
7 Replies
With the flop checkraise% knowledge, I fold on the flop!
Readless except "recreational" I 3bet the flop. They can have a 5 of course but way too often they think Tx is the nuts here. You look stupid if they have AT, but I think it's profitable still, they call so many Tx preflop : QT, JT, 9T, 7T, 6T... all in their range (at least the suited ones)
See below a similar hand I played yesterday. I know an example is not a real argument and this is not the exact same spot, but still.
€0.20 NL (5 max)
Hero (CO): 206.5 BB
BTN: 100 BB
SB: 123.2 BB
BB: 62.2 BB
UTG: 100 BB
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has T♠ A♦
fold, Hero raises to 2.5 BB, fold, fold, BB calls 1.5 BB
Flop: (5.5 BB, 2 players) 3♥ T♥ 8♣
BB checks, Hero bets 3.15 BB, BB raises to 14.95 BB, Hero raises to 204 BB and is all-in, BB calls 44.75 BB and is all-in
Turn: (124.9 BB, 2 players) T♣
River: (124.9 BB, 2 players) J♠
BB shows 7♠ T♦ (Three of a Kind, Tens)
Hero shows T♠ A♦ (Three of a Kind, Tens)
Hero wins 262 BB
I see your point if you think that they are raising Tx as the nuts here. I decided just calling the flop since it keeps his range wide (i.e. all of his bluffs get to try again on the turn). I did not consider that he might overvalue a worse hand ��
Fish X/R Flop + Bet Turn
Over Bet+ Size:
It looks like this sizing doesn't have enough bluffs. I think it's a fold on the Turn.
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