**** balance
Viable river pounce?
For balance I would do this with... nothing. This is a pure exploit. But will it work???
PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
Hero (BTN): 205 BB
SB: 83 BB
BB: 346 BB
UTG: 100 BB
MP: 136 BB
CO: 101 BB
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K♣ Q♦
fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, BB calls 2 BB
Flop: (6.5 BB, 2 players) T♠ 5♠ 5♥
BB checks, Hero checks
Turn: (6.5 BB, 2 players) 9♣
BB checks, Hero bets 8 BB, BB calls 8 BB
River: (22.5 BB, 2 players) A♦
BB checks, Hero bets 18 BB, BB raises to 36 BB, Hero raises to 177 BB and is all-in
11 Replies
I dont like it, what do you think he's raising you OTR? My prediction is he called you with A5
Just looks like a massive punt to me.
If I see you make that turn overbet, I am calling all of my showdown value on the river for any size.
Min-raises are pretty scary on my site and most sites from what I hear. We're repping 99 and that's about it. We're trying to push a likely fish off of trips. Colossal spew.
Cbet on the flop.
Bet/Fold on the river.
While I agree that the population at 10nl is almost certainly under-bluffing river 3bets relative to theory that's because they're likely also under-bluffing river raises.....so you're effectively trying to bluff a strong range, which is generally unwise.
I expect turn bets with 5x. thing is I dont trust them to fold 2pair. we also didnt induce at all with river sizing
Flop/turn is good, KQo is a bad river bluff but if they're overfolding a small amount it's +EV. Anyone decent should see the showdown and assume you were way over bluffing so I wouldn't fire unless it's Ignition.
The tiny river XR is by far the worst to bluff against. Right to EV jail vs 99% of players.
If I see you make that turn overbet, I am calling all of my showdown value on the river for any size.
Interesting, I'd think bluff catching after small/medium delay is better.
Flop fine, you could just cebt nl10 pool won't raise enough.
Turn no need to ob you just trying to fold out Ax. River bet probably can work on NL10, you don't really hit this A after flop check turn ob. River jam is really bad.
Take my opinion with a grain of salt as I'm barely break even.
I cbet this flop small, 1/3 pot. Bet fold turn and give up on that river. I don't see players raise rivers often enough when they're bluffing. They almost always have it.
You're basically betting his hand. I still make this mistake, try and bluff the scary river only they have the hand ��
