65s on BTN, 3 ways postflop BTN v SB v BB
flop: maybe this is too loose on a multiway flop? i would think less than half pot donk is pretty weak but im never sure. esp multiway maybe it can be stronger.
turn: it seems like fish don't mix many top pair hands into their bet flop x turn line. Usually on an offsuit card i bet 1/3 but when turn brings a FD i bluff a larger size.
River: mandatory bluff here with the lowest SDV hand that unblocks FD's? Villian is tagged as a fish but he's not playing tons of hands 23.5/0 over 18 hands. If he was looser i would probably give up here.
NL Holdem 0.1(BB)
HERO (141.3BBs) [VPIP: 21.1% | PFR: 17.9% | AGG: 38.6% | Flop Agg: 45.7% | Turn Agg: 38.3% | River Agg: 31.6% | 3Bet: 8.7% | 4Bet: 10.6% | Hands: 76568]
SB (89.9BBs) [VPIP: 23.5% | PFR: 0% | AGG: 20% | Flop Agg: 25% | Turn Agg: 0% | River Agg: 50% | 3Bet: 0% | 4Bet: 0% | Cold Call: 44.4% | Hands: 18]
BB (344.2BBs) [VPIP: 42.1% | PFR: 31.6% | AGG: 42.1% | Flop Agg: 44.4% | Turn Agg: 25% | River Agg: 100% | 3Bet: 12.5% | 4Bet: 66.7% | Cold Call: 25% | Hands: 20]
Dealt to Hero: 5♣ 6♣
HERO Raises To 2.5BBs, SB Calls 2BBs, BB Calls 1.5BBs
Hero SPR on Flop: [11.65 effective]
Flop (7.5BBs): Q♦ 7♠ T♣
SB Bets 3BBs (Rem. Stack: 84.4BBs), BB Folds, HERO Calls 3BBs (Rem. Stack: 135.8BBs)
Turn (13.5BBs): Q♦ 7♠ T♣ Q♠
SB Checks, HERO Bets 8.6BBs (Rem. Stack: 127.2BBs), SB Calls 8.6BBs (Rem. Stack: 75.8BBs)
River (30.7BBs): Q♦ 7♠ T♣ Q♠ 4♣
SB Checks, HERO Bets 19.6BBs (Rem. Stack: 107.6BBs)
3 Replies
Would fold flop even HU, 65s is pretty close to garbage on this board. I would consider it more of a lead than donk and think they're bluffing a less.
Turn bet seems good, maybe even a lot better than checking back. Generally checking ranges after donks aren't protected.
River yeah you have good properties to bluff and it seems like a decent enough spot. It's interesting you say you'd give up if they were looser, I would think that means they end up with more garbage that can't call river and you're actually more incentivized to bluff.
Would fold flop even HU, 65s is pretty close to garbage on this board. I would consider it more of a lead than donk and think they're bluffing a less.
Turn bet seems good, maybe even a lot better than checking back. Generally checking ranges after donks aren't protected.
River yeah you have good properties to bluff and it seems like a decent enough spot. It's interesting you say you'd give up if they were looser, I would think that means they end up with more garbage that can't call river and you'
I feel like whales with 40-50+ vpip don't fold rivers after calling turns, but I don't have data to back this up. My default strat is to not bluff many rivers vs whales. On the flop IP heads up vs small bets I usually call with a lot of my bdfd but maybe I should let the smaller ones go?
Fold on the flop.
As you correctly noted, fish rarely fold rivers, especially blank ones. So I would avoid bluffing on this river.
