Live 1/2 PLO, top pair in 3 bet pot
Kind of an annoying spot and not sure what to do here. Live 1/2 PLO, when someone pots initially it's $15.
No significant reads on the players. We are new to the table.
Hero has $540
CO covers,
BTN covers,
SB only has $130 (We didn't realize until later in the hand)
Preflop: Hero A♦ Q♥ J♦ 4♥ in BB
Folds to CO who opens to $15, BTN calls, SB calls, Hero pots to $75, all 3 players call
Flop: J♣ 7♣ 5♦
SB donk shoves for $55, Hero calls (not sure if should be doing something else here), CO folds, Btn shoves, hero?
We only have about ~$390ish back and there is now $465 in the pot. What are we doing here? Would anyone shove initially when facing the small sb donk?
12 Replies
Awkward spot but call seems like the best option, we can decide how to proceed vs a jam later. Mostly Hero can fold turn if he doesn't improve.
Well played if you folded to btn shove imo. Sb put you in a really bad spot.
Would think this is a fold - run an equity calc but I would expect to see top pair and a flush draw a lot here.
I don't think going broke here is that horrible.
You need to win 45% of the time to make this call if my math is correct. Even against pure King hi flush draw or better, btn shove has 60% equity against you. Throw in some pair+str8 draws and it's looking worse
I'm having a hard time seeing how you can call here. What's the rationale?
I need less than 45%. There is 300 in the pot on the flop. With the 55 x 3, the pot now has 465 in it and we have less than 400 back. 400 to win 1265. We need 32% equity.
ProPokerTools Odds Oracle Results (2.3 P...
Omaha Hi, Generic syntax
Board - JC7C5D
PLAYER_1 aDQHJD4H
PLAYER_2 JJ,77,55,J7,J5,J:CC,7:CC,AJ
600000 trials (randomized)
All-in Equity
[table=head]|Equity %|Wins Hi %|Ties Hi %|Wins Hi Count|Ties Hi Count|
aDQHJD4H|30.3798%|26.4708%|7.8178%|158825|46907|
JJ,77,55,J7,J5,J:CC,...|69.6202%|65.7113%|7.8178%|394268|46907|
[/table]
With one all-in behind call looks okish.
I need less than 45%. There is 300 in the pot on the flop. With the 55 x 3, the pot now has 465 in it and we have less than 400 back. 400 to win 1265. We need 32% equity.
AH my math was completely wrong. Thanks for the explanation.
ProPokerTools Odds Oracle Results (2.3 P...
Omaha Hi, Generic syntax
Board - JC7C5D
PLAYER_1 aDQHJD4H
PLAYER_2 JJ,77,55,J7,J5,J:CC,7:CC,AJ
600000 trials (randomized)
All-in Equity
[table=head]|Equity %|Wins Hi %|Ties Hi %|Wins Hi Count|Ties Hi Count|
aDQHJD4H|30.3798%|26.4708%|7.8178%|158825|46907|
JJ,77,55,J7,J5,J:CC,...|69.6202%|65.7113%|7.8178%|394268|46907|
[/table]
this makes it seem close. Thanks for sharing.
very broadly 33% odds
bur the side pot i think complicatea the math, and not in a good way
opponent.can easily be beating you now and.have.good redraw options
This is a fold or a punt. I actually think you lose this pot a lot more than 70% of the time.
