$25----->25k Bankroll Challenge on Ignition

Post your graph

Exhibit B. I jammed on the fish to my left twice in one orbit, it looks like the fish to my right was paying attention and decided to make a stand.

Woops.

Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD 2 Poker Tracking Software

NL Holdem 0.1(BB)
HERO ($11.18) [VPIP: 29.3% | PFR: 24.3% | AGG: 36.7% | Flop Agg: 41.4% | Turn Agg: 34% | River Agg: 37.8% | 3Bet: 11.5% | 4Bet: 13.8% | Hands: 340449]
HJ ($11.27) [VPIP: 33.3% | PFR: 0% | AGG: 37.5% | Hands: 10]
CO ($9.70) [VPIP: 18.8% | PFR: 6.3% | AGG: 66.7% | Hands: 17]
BTN ($9.85) [VPIP: 14.3% | PFR: 9.5% | AGG: 0% | Hands: 21]
SB ($11.83) [VPIP: 31.3% | PFR: 12.5% | AGG: 37.5% | Hands: 16]
BB ($8.17) [VPIP: 47.6% | PFR: 33.3% | AGG: 18.8% | Flop Agg: 16.7% | Turn Agg: 33.3% | River Agg: 0% | 3Bet: 0% | 4Bet: 0% | Cold Call: 40% | Hands: 21]

Dealt to Hero: A♥ J♥

HERO Raises To $0.20, HJ Folds, CO Folds, BTN Folds, SB Folds, BB Calls $0.10

Hero SPR on Flop: [17.71 effective]
Flop ($0.45): 8♠ K♣ 9♥
BB Checks, HERO Bets $0.11 (Rem. Stack: $10.87), BB Calls $0.11 (Rem. Stack: $7.86)

Turn ($0.67): 8♠ K♣ 9♥ 8♥
BB Checks, HERO Checks

River ($0.67): 8♠ K♣ 9♥ 8♥ T♥
BB Checks, HERO Bets $10.87 (allin), BB Calls $7.86 (allin)

Not financial advice. This is non-poker related so feel free to skip it.

5 reasons why you should invest in Dogecoin right now.

1. Elon Musk.

The man worth nearly 200 Billion (yes with a B) dollars has publicly backed this cryptocurrency as his favorite.

2. X payments (formerly twitter) has been approved for many states already.

**This has been updated to 26 states in the USA**

3. Market patterns. Every time Bitcoin halves ----->6-18 months later the market explodes. This has happened twice before in 2016 and 2020.

4. Upcoming US Election. Whenever there is a non-lame duck President and the incumbent is trying to get re-elected the market is generally favorable to entice voters to vote for the current sitting President. There is an election in the Fall of 2024.

5. Asymmetrical Opportunity----->If you have a low net worth (under 1 million dollars imo) you should be investing in higher volatility assets. Fortune 500 company market caps are too high to even double your investment so we want to look for low market cap investment vehicles (Dogecoin is sitting at 16.8 cents and only has a 24 Billion Dollar market cap) for high risk/reward scenarios.

Current evaluation on 5/21/2024.

This is designed for entertainment purposes only. Not financial advice. I will come back in 6 months and quote this thread.

Important conceptual spot. I had AsJx but it works better if we look at ATo. We jam AxTs but not AsTx since we want him to be bluffing with AsX hands.

Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD 2 Poker HUD and Database Software

NL Holdem 0.1(BB)
HERO ($10.60) [VPIP: 29.3% | PFR: 24.3% | AGG: 36.7% | Flop Agg: 41.4% | Turn Agg: 34% | River Agg: 37.7% | 3Bet: 11.5% | 4Bet: 13.8% | Hands: 340616]
BB ($10) [VPIP: 30.4% | PFR: 21.7% | AGG: 75% | Flop Agg: 50% | Turn Agg: 100% | River Agg: 100% | 3Bet: 0% | 4Bet: 0% | Cold Call: 18.2% | Hands: 24]
UTG ($12.01) [VPIP: 29.6% | PFR: 27.8% | AGG: 36.4% | Hands: 54]
HJ ($11.05) [VPIP: 17.3% | PFR: 15.4% | AGG: 40% | Hands: 54]
CO ($11.09) [VPIP: 11.1% | PFR: 7.4% | AGG: 40% | Hands: 54]
BTN ($19.10) [VPIP: 33.3% | PFR: 33.3% | AGG: 66.7% | Hands: 12]

Dealt to Hero: A♠ J♦

UTG Folds, HJ Folds, CO Folds, BTN Folds, HERO Raises To $0.30, BB Calls $0.20

Hero SPR on Flop: [16.17 effective]
Flop ($0.60): 3♠ 8♠ 5♥
HERO Checks, BB Bets $0.29 (Rem. Stack: $9.41), HERO Calls $0.29 (Rem. Stack: $10.01)

Turn ($1.18): 3♠ 8♠ 5♥ 2♠
HERO Checks, BB Bets $0.85 (Rem. Stack: $8.56), HERO Calls $0.85 (Rem. Stack: $9.16)

River ($2.88): 3♠ 8♠ 5♥ 2♠ T♥
HERO Checks, BB Bets $2.06 (Rem. Stack: $6.50), HERO Folds

Solvers won't like this but we do it anyways.

Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD 2 Poker HUD and Database Software

NL Holdem 0.1(BB)
HERO ($10) [VPIP: 29.3% | PFR: 24.3% | AGG: 36.7% | Flop Agg: 41.4% | Turn Agg: 34% | River Agg: 37.7% | 3Bet: 11.5% | 4Bet: 13.8% | Hands: 340700]
BB ($11.36) [VPIP: 22.2% | PFR: 11.1% | AGG: 66.7% | Flop Agg: 0% | Turn Agg: 100% | River Agg: 100% | 3Bet: 0% | 4Bet: 0% | Cold Call: 33.3% | Hands: 9]
UTG ($13.27) [VPIP: 28.6% | PFR: 19% | AGG: 0% | Hands: 21]
HJ ($11.72) [VPIP: 35.6% | PFR: 35.6% | AGG: 75% | Hands: 46]
CO ($2.54) [VPIP: 27.3% | PFR: 9.1% | AGG: 16.7% | Hands: 12]
BTN ($10) [VPIP: 26.1% | PFR: 23.9% | AGG: 54.5% | Hands: 46]

Dealt to Hero: 7♥ 7♦

UTG Folds, HJ Folds, CO Folds, BTN Folds, HERO Raises To $0.30, BB Calls $0.20

Hero SPR on Flop: [16.17 effective]
Flop ($0.60): 8♠ A♣ 4♥
HERO Checks, BB Checks

Turn ($0.60): 8♠ A♣ 4♥ J♣
HERO Checks, BB Bets $0.43 (Rem. Stack: $10.63), HERO Calls $0.43 (Rem. Stack: $9.27)

River ($1.46): 8♠ A♣ 4♥ J♣ K♥
HERO Checks, BB Bets $1.67 (Rem. Stack: $8.96), HERO Calls $1.67 (Rem. Stack: $7.60)

Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD 2 Poker HUD and Database Software

NL Holdem 0.1(BB)
HERO ($11.26) [VPIP: 29.3% | PFR: 24.3% | AGG: 36.7% | Flop Agg: 41.4% | Turn Agg: 34% | River Agg: 37.7% | 3Bet: 11.5% | 4Bet: 13.8% | Hands: 340700]
BTN ($10.99) [VPIP: 10% | PFR: 5% | AGG: 50% | Hands: 20]
SB ($11.02) [VPIP: 35.6% | PFR: 35.6% | AGG: 75% | Hands: 46]
BB ($10.05) [VPIP: 30.8% | PFR: 15.4% | AGG: 27.3% | Flop Agg: 0% | Turn Agg: 25% | River Agg: 66.7% | 3Bet: 0% | 4Bet: 0% | Cold Call: 28.6% | Hands: 13]
HJ ($10) [VPIP: 26.1% | PFR: 23.9% | AGG: 54.5% | Hands: 46]

Dealt to Hero: Q♣ 9♠

HJ Folds, HERO Raises To $0.20, BTN Folds, SB Folds, BB Calls $0.10

Hero SPR on Flop: [21.89 effective]
Flop ($0.45): J♠ 7♦ 8♥
BB Checks, HERO Checks

Turn ($0.45): J♠ 7♦ 8♥ 7♠
BB Bets $0.28 (Rem. Stack: $9.57), HERO Calls $0.28 (Rem. Stack: $10.78)

River ($1.01): J♠ 7♦ 8♥ 7♠ 4♠
BB Bets $0.48 (Rem. Stack: $9.09), HERO Raises To $2.16 (Rem. Stack: $8.62), BB Folds

Two very fishy played hands where OP got lucky. Cherrypicking some random bad played hands by this shady doodoo guy

77 great call, he is gonna have so many bluffs and not value bet that thin, gotta be printing vs anon

I get that jamming ATo without the As will be higher EV in comparison to jamming ATo with the As, but calling is still higher EV whether or not we have the As.

So what would be the purpose of jamming ATo?

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Also any idea why with AQo, it's higher EV to jam AQo with the As than it is to jam without?

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But with A9o it's higher EV to jam combos without the As

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Guessing it's probably one of those tiny things that probably doesn't affect our WRs much in the long run.

Those EV's aren't right if they are saying they are different EV's. GTO Wizard didn't run the sim long enough because if it's mixed it's the same EV.

We can see if jamming or calling is higher EV. I don't have the exact sizing structure but we can make some decent estimates.

BBvsSB as IP PFC B30-B-B50

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Filtered Data for this spot.

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FCT is the important data point. It's 35 weak and the aggregate is only 32 weak so that means Flush Complete Turn is overbluffed here (pretty surprising imo).

We need to look at Folding Frequencies here. I'm not jamming as an exploit because I want to manipulate Alpha. 67% Folding frequencies over 212 hands.

You can run the numbers to figure out if this is profitable.

SBvsBB 6bb OTF

B30 = 2bb

10bb OTT

We need to guess on turn sizing's but let's 60% OTT

6bb 6bb

22bb OTR. BB bets 11bb.

So we have 89bbs effective. Let's say we raise 4x.

We are risking 44bb/(44bb + 33bb) = ~57% and Alpha is 67% so it's clearly profitable but it's a small sample size.

Then you need to compare the EV of calling vs the EV of raising.

Calling a bluff catcher formula. EV = Edge(Risk + Reward) = Edge(Call + Bet + Pot)

35 weak at B50 and GTO is 50/200 or 25 weak. 10% overlay

10%(11 + 11 + 22) = 10%*44 = 4.4BB winning call

EV of Bluff Raising

EV of Bluff Raising formula. EV = Edge(Risk + Reward) = Edge(Raise + Bet + Pot)

If we raise 4x there is a 10% discrepancy between Alpha and Population.

10%(44 + 11 + 22) =10%*77 = 7.7bb winning call

These are just rough estimates but if I am choosing between calling and raising it's higher EV to raise even if it is mixed in a solver.

This is a Super Samurai move, you have to be at least 3rd degree black belt to pull it off.

Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD 2 Poker Tracking Software

NL Holdem 0.1(BB)
HERO ($10.20) [VPIP: 29.3% | PFR: 24.3% | AGG: 36.7% | Flop Agg: 41.4% | Turn Agg: 34% | 3Bet: 11.5% | Fold to 3Bet: 60.1% | 4Bet: 13.8% | Hands: 340824]
BB ($10) [VPIP: 17.6% | PFR: 14.7% | AGG: 66.7% | Hands: 34]
UTG ($9.98) [VPIP: 25.8% | PFR: 20.1% | AGG: 57.1% | Flop Agg: 50% | Turn Agg: 50% | 3Bet: 0% | 4Bet: 0% | Hands: 32]
HJ ($11.05) [VPIP: 27.3% | PFR: 24.2% | AGG: 25% | Hands: 34]
CO ($9.30) [VPIP: 22.7% | PFR: 13.6% | AGG: 71.4% | Hands: 22]
BTN ($23.89) [VPIP: 32.1% | PFR: 28.6% | AGG: 100% | Hands: 29]

Dealt to Hero: J♣ J♥

UTG Raises To $0.25, HJ Folds, CO Folds, BTN Folds, HERO Raises To $1.20, BB Folds, UTG Calls $0.95

Hero SPR on Flop: [3.51 effective]
Flop ($2.50): A♥ Q♦ 4♥
HERO Bets $0.30 (Rem. Stack: $8.70), UTG Calls $0.30 (Rem. Stack: $8.48)

Turn ($3.10): A♥ Q♦ 4♥ K♣
HERO Checks, UTG Bets $1.48 (Rem. Stack: $7), HERO Raises To $3.70 (Rem. Stack: $5), UTG Folds

Your run of the mill training site won't teach you this play. You have to come to the dark side to learn it.

Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD 2 Poker Tracking Software

NL Holdem 0.1(BB)
HERO ($11.31) [VPIP: 29.3% | PFR: 24.3% | AGG: 36.7% | Flop Agg: 41.4% | Turn Agg: 34% | River Agg: 37.8% | 3Bet: 11.5% | 4Bet: 13.8% | Hands: 340824]
CO ($10.20) [VPIP: 17.6% | PFR: 14.7% | AGG: 66.7% | Hands: 34]
BTN ($8.82) [VPIP: 25.8% | PFR: 16.1% | AGG: 57.1% | Hands: 32]
SB ($12.38) [VPIP: 27.3% | PFR: 24.2% | AGG: 25% | Hands: 34]
BB ($8.50) [VPIP: 22.7% | PFR: 13.6% | AGG: 71.4% | Flop Agg: 33.3% | Turn Agg: 100% | River Agg: 100% | 3Bet: 8.3% | 4Bet: 0% | Cold Call: 16.7% | Hands: 22]
UTG ($25.40) [VPIP: 32.1% | PFR: 28.6% | AGG: 100% | Hands: 29]

Dealt to Hero: A♣ Q♣

UTG Folds, HERO Raises To $0.25, CO Folds, BTN Folds, SB Folds, BB Calls $0.15

Hero SPR on Flop: [15 effective]
Flop ($0.55): J♠ 7♦ 4♥
BB Checks, HERO Bets $0.13 (Rem. Stack: $10.93), BB Raises To $0.36 (Rem. Stack: $7.89), HERO Calls $0.23 (Rem. Stack: $10.70)

Turn ($1.27): J♠ 7♦ 4♥ 6♣
BB Bets $0.61 (Rem. Stack: $7.28), HERO Calls $0.61 (Rem. Stack: $10.09)

River ($2.49): J♠ 7♦ 4♥ 6♣ 9♠
BB Bets $1.19 (Rem. Stack: $6.09), HERO Raises To $10.09 (allin), BB Folds

Tariq used to make these moves all the time.

1. Hit my hand or x/f

2. That doesn't matter. We know xr-b-b is overbluffed and overfolded in the aggregate and the runout is neutral so we can do it with ATC.

This is a nice play since it's both solver approved and MDA approved. Never range bet flop.

Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD 2 Poker HUD and Database Software

NL Holdem 0.1(BB)
HERO ($10) [VPIP: 29.3% | PFR: 24.3% | AGG: 36.7% | Flop Agg: 41.3% | Turn Agg: 34% | River Agg: 37.8% | 3Bet: 11.5% | Fold to 3Bet: 60.1% | 4Bet: 13.8% | Hands: 341415]
UTG ($10) [VPIP: 25% | PFR: 18.8% | AGG: 41.7% | Hands: 32]
HJ ($20.78) [VPIP: 29.4% | PFR: 5.9% | AGG: 62.5% | Hands: 17]
CO ($9.80) [VPIP: 25% | PFR: 12.5% | AGG: 0% | Hands: 8]
BTN ($8.42) [VPIP: 26.7% | PFR: 20% | AGG: 14.8% | Hands: 62]
SB ($9.80) [VPIP: 33.3% | PFR: 33.3% | AGG: 80% | Flop Agg: 75% | Turn Agg: 100% | River Agg: 50% | 3Bet: 16.7% | 4Bet: 0% | Hands: 24]

Dealt to Hero: 7♦ 6♦

UTG Folds, HJ Folds, CO Folds, BTN Folds, SB Raises To $0.30, HERO Raises To $1, SB Calls $0.70

Hero SPR on Flop: [4.4 effective]
Flop ($2): 3♠ T♥ 9♦
SB Checks, HERO Checks

Turn ($2): 3♠ T♥ 9♦ 4♥
SB Bets $0.95 (Rem. Stack: $7.85), HERO Calls $0.95 (Rem. Stack: $8.05)

River ($3.90): 3♠ T♥ 9♦ 4♥ 2♦
SB Bets $1.80 (Rem. Stack: $6.05), HERO Raises To $8.05 (allin), SB Folds

It's always a call down, even more so 3 handed.

Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD 2 Poker Tracking Software

NL Holdem 0.1(BB)
HERO ($19.85) [VPIP: 29.3% | PFR: 24.3% | AGG: 36.7% | Flop Agg: 41.3% | Turn Agg: 34% | River Agg: 37.7% | 3Bet: 11.5% | 4Bet: 13.8% | Hands: 341538]
SB ($10.30) [VPIP: 47.4% | PFR: 47.4% | AGG: 100% | Hands: 21]
BB ($10) [VPIP: 25% | PFR: 25% | AGG: 100% | Flop Agg: 100% | Turn Agg: 100% | River Agg: 100% | 3Bet: 50% | Fold to 3Bet: 0% | 4Bet: 0% | Hands: 5]

Dealt to Hero: A♣ Q♥

HERO Raises To $0.25, SB Folds, BB Raises To $1.15, HERO Calls $0.90

Hero SPR on Flop: [3.77 effective]
Flop ($2.35): 7♠ 7♥ 5♥
BB Bets $0.74 (Rem. Stack: $8.11), HERO Calls $0.74 (Rem. Stack: $17.96)

Turn ($3.83): 7♠ 7♥ 5♥ K♣
BB Bets $2.40 (Rem. Stack: $5.71), HERO Calls $2.40 (Rem. Stack: $15.56)

River ($8.63): 7♠ 7♥ 5♥ K♣ 5♠
BB Bets $5.71 (allin), HERO Calls $5.71 (Rem. Stack: $9.85)

Here's some MDA. Paired flop--->Overcard turn is way overbluffed.

Aggregate

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Reverse this line vs better players but at 10nl we just bludgeon them with red line power.

Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD 2 Poker HUD and Database Software

NL Holdem 0.1(BB)
HERO ($10.22) [VPIP: 29.3% | PFR: 24.3% | AGG: 36.7% | Flop Agg: 41.3% | Turn Agg: 34% | River Agg: 37.8% | 3Bet: 11.5% | 4Bet: 13.8% | Hands: 341562]
SB ($10.75) [VPIP: 30% | PFR: 20% | AGG: 0% | Hands: 11]
BB ($20.17) [VPIP: 18.2% | PFR: 9.1% | AGG: 50% | Flop Agg: 50% | Turn Agg: 50% | River Agg: 50% | 3Bet: 25% | 4Bet: 0% | Cold Call: 25% | Hands: 11]
UTG ($10.05) [VPIP: 10% | PFR: 10% | AGG: 0% | Hands: 11]
HJ ($10.27) [VPIP: 20% | PFR: 20% | AGG: 100% | Hands: 11]
CO ($7.49) [VPIP: 20% | PFR: 20% | AGG: 0% | Hands: 5]

Dealt to Hero: 8♦ J♣

UTG Folds, HJ Folds, CO Folds, HERO Raises To $0.25, SB Folds, BB Calls $0.15

Hero SPR on Flop: [18.13 effective]
Flop ($0.55): Q♣ T♠ 3♣
BB Checks, HERO Checks

Turn ($0.55): Q♣ T♠ 3♣ 6♠
BB Bets $0.40 (Rem. Stack: $19.52), HERO Calls $0.40 (Rem. Stack: $9.57)

River ($1.35): Q♣ T♠ 3♣ 6♠ 5♥
BB Bets $0.97 (Rem. Stack: $18.55), HERO Raises To $3.88 (Rem. Stack: $5.69), BB Folds

Fish Play

Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD 2 Poker HUD and Database Software

NL Holdem 0.1(BB)
HERO ($12.50) [VPIP: 29.3% | PFR: 24.3% | AGG: 36.7% | Flop Agg: 41.3% | Turn Agg: 34% | River Agg: 37.7% | 3Bet: 11.5% | 4Bet: 13.8% | Cold Call: 9.5% | Hands: 341688]
BB ($11.65) [VPIP: 35.3% | PFR: 14.7% | AGG: 23.1% | Hands: 34]
UTG ($11.71) [VPIP: 18.2% | PFR: 18.2% | AGG: 50% | Hands: 12]
HJ ($12.54) [VPIP: 11.4% | PFR: 8.6% | AGG: 0% | Hands: 35]
CO ($10) [VPIP: 26.3% | PFR: 21.1% | AGG: 40% | Hands: 19]
BTN ($9.06) [VPIP: 48.6% | PFR: 42.9% | AGG: 70% | Flop Agg: 100% | Turn Agg: 60% | River Agg: 66.7% | 3Bet: 30% | 4Bet: 0% | Hands: 35]

Dealt to Hero: 9♥ Q♣

UTG Folds, HJ Folds, CO Folds, BTN Raises To $0.25, HERO Calls $0.20, BB Folds

Hero SPR on Flop: [14.68 effective]
Flop ($0.60): 2♣ J♠ 8♥
HERO Checks, BTN Bets $0.14 (Rem. Stack: $8.67), HERO Calls $0.14 (Rem. Stack: $12.11)

Turn ($0.88): 2♣ J♠ 8♥ 7♣
HERO Checks, BTN Bets $0.56 (Rem. Stack: $8.11), HERO Calls $0.56 (Rem. Stack: $11.55)

River ($2): 2♣ J♠ 8♥ 7♣ 4♣
HERO Bets $1.27 (Rem. Stack: $10.28), BTN Folds

I touched upon this concept earlier ITT but I wanted to hammer it home with 3 examples. 3BP concept from a theoretical point of view.

Spot #1

CO open 2.5x---->We are BTN and 3bet to 7.5x------>CO calls.

Flop comes K62r ----->we cbet range 1/3 CO calls. Turn is 9o.

CO checks, we always check back 87s OTT.

Spot #2

HJvsCO3BET same action.

Flop comes QJ5tt, we cbet B20 OTF, turn is 2o.

We basically never bet T9s OTT even though we have an OESD.

Spot #3

SBvsBB3BET

Flop comes J72r, we cbet B50. Turn is 4o. We pick up OESD with 65s.

Never bet turn.

Our hand interacts with our opponent's folding range, since we block their folding range we X back OTT even though we picked up equity.

Most regulars will continue barreling here (especially at low stakes). How do we exploit these regulars?

1. Develop more turn XR All in as 3BP OOP PFC, especially when the turn gives them more draws

2. Attack their checking range when the turn picks up draws and the river completes them. For instance. On that QJ5tt 2o OTT board, if the river is an 8o. We jam ATC in XC-X-B line because we know they over barrel T9s and aren't balanced so now they never have the nuts.

That's all for now, run good!

This is a Donking Concept vs polarized ranges. We implement this strategy when the board significantly changes. It works even better in practice because a lot of hands your opponent's should turn into bluffs will just call the 10% bet. We also lose less vs Overpairs.

Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD 2 Poker Tracking Software

NL Holdem 0.1(BB)
HERO ($11.17) [VPIP: 29.3% | PFR: 24.3% | AGG: 36.7% | Flop Agg: 41.3% | Turn Agg: 34% | River Agg: 37.7% | 3Bet: 11.5% | 4Bet: 13.7% | Cold Call: 9.5% | Hands: 342052]
HJ ($13.30) [VPIP: 17.9% | PFR: 10.3% | AGG: 21.4% | Hands: 41]
CO ($13.77) [VPIP: 18.8% | PFR: 18.8% | AGG: 62.5% | Hands: 33]
BTN ($9.75) [VPIP: 30.8% | PFR: 28.2% | AGG: 33.3% | Flop Agg: 33.3% | Turn Agg: 33.3% | River Agg: 33.3% | 3Bet: 15.4% | 4Bet: 0% | Hands: 41]
SB ($10.28) [VPIP: 30.8% | PFR: 23.1% | AGG: 25% | Hands: 41]

Dealt to Hero: A♥ 3♥

HJ Folds, CO Folds, BTN Raises To $0.25, SB Folds, HERO Calls $0.15

Hero SPR on Flop: [17.27 effective]
Flop ($0.55): 2♠ 9♥ 3♦
HERO Checks, BTN Bets $0.40 (Rem. Stack: $9.10), HERO Calls $0.40 (Rem. Stack: $10.52)

Turn ($1.35): 2♠ 9♥ 3♦ 8♦
HERO Checks, BTN Bets $0.97 (Rem. Stack: $8.13), HERO Calls $0.97 (Rem. Stack: $9.55)

River ($3.29): 2♠ 9♥ 3♦ 8♦ 9♣
HERO Bets $0.30 (Rem. Stack: $9.25), BTN Calls $0.30 (Rem. Stack: $7.83)

Just wish to confirm how we respond to a raise. I mean BN has some value with a bunch of 9x as well as 88 and maybe some overpairs; of course there are some busted draws etc., too. But you say that the pool just doesn't bluff-raise enough, so I guess that means it's a pure bet/fold?

I don't have exact data for this spot but it is very likely underbluffed. So bet/fold.

Will look this spot up in 24hrs.

Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD 2 Poker Tracking Software

NL Holdem 0.1(BB)
HERO ($17.95) [VPIP: 29.3% | PFR: 24.3% | AGG: 36.7% | Flop Agg: 41.3% | Turn Agg: 33.9% | River Agg: 37.7% | 3Bet: 11.5% | 4Bet: 13.7% | Hands: 342795]
SB ($12.96) [VPIP: 29.6% | PFR: 18.5% | AGG: 33.3% | Hands: 27]
BB ($9.90) [VPIP: 50% | PFR: 0% | AGG: 50% | Flop Agg: 50% | Turn Agg: 50% | River Agg: 50% | 3Bet: 0% | 4Bet: 0% | Cold Call: 100% | Hands: 4]
HJ ($11.32) [VPIP: 24% | PFR: 20% | AGG: 33.3% | Hands: 25]
CO ($10.27) [VPIP: 17.6% | PFR: 11.8% | AGG: 25% | Hands: 18]

Dealt to Hero: Q♠ K♣

HJ Folds, CO Folds, HERO Raises To $0.30, SB Folds, BB Calls $0.20

Hero SPR on Flop: [14.77 effective]
Flop ($0.65): J♦ 8♣ J♠
BB Checks, HERO Bets $0.15 (Rem. Stack: $17.50), BB Raises To $0.44 (Rem. Stack: $9.16), HERO Calls $0.29 (Rem. Stack: $17.21)

Turn ($1.53): J♦ 8♣ J♠ T♦
BB Bets $1 (Rem. Stack: $8.16), HERO Calls $1 (Rem. Stack: $16.21)

River ($3.53): J♦ 8♣ J♠ T♦ 4♥
BB Bets $2 (Rem. Stack: $6.16), HERO Raises To $16.21 (allin), BB Folds

Happy Friday.

Results

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Not solver approved but I think overpairs X back river too often.

Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD 2 Poker Tracking Software

NL Holdem 0.1(BB)
HERO ($19.96) [VPIP: 29.4% | PFR: 24.3% | AGG: 36.7% | Flop Agg: 41.3% | Turn Agg: 33.9% | River Agg: 37.7% | 3Bet: 11.5% | 4Bet: 13.7% | Hands: 343383]
HJ ($10.02) [VPIP: 21.9% | PFR: 18.1% | AGG: 33.3% | Hands: 108]
CO ($13.41) [VPIP: 27% | PFR: 24.3% | AGG: 30% | Flop Agg: 50% | Turn Agg: 22.2% | River Agg: 0% | 3Bet: 8.6% | Fold to 3Bet: 50% | 4Bet: 25% | Hands: 75]
BTN ($6.58) [VPIP: 25.8% | PFR: 22.6% | AGG: 27.3% | Hands: 31]
SB ($9.90) [VPIP: 14.9% | PFR: 10.4% | AGG: 25% | Hands: 68]
BB ($14.27) [VPIP: 29.1% | PFR: 20% | AGG: 55% | Hands: 56]

Dealt to Hero: 9♥ 8♥

HERO Raises To $0.25, HJ Folds, CO Raises To $0.75, BTN Folds, SB Folds, BB Folds, HERO Calls $0.50

Hero SPR on Flop: [7.67 effective]
Flop ($1.65): T♥ J♥ 2♣
HERO Checks, CO Bets $0.72 (Rem. Stack: $11.94), HERO Calls $0.72 (Rem. Stack: $18.49)

Turn ($3.09): T♥ J♥ 2♣ 7♦
HERO Checks, CO Bets $2.61 (Rem. Stack: $9.33), HERO Calls $2.61 (Rem. Stack: $15.88)

River ($8.31): T♥ J♥ 2♣ 7♦ 2♥
HERO Bets $15.88 (allin), CO Calls $9.33 (allin)

The call 3bet is std?

only if you believe in yourself