$1-3 Hand: Flopped Top Set, Turn Put A Four Flush On Board

$1-3 Hand: Flopped Top Set, Turn Put A Four Flush On Board

$4+2 rake, nine handed, players probably along the 'typical' range (no one particularly 'extreme' in any way), maybe 1/3-1/2 the pots raised preflop. $200 hourly HH bonus (which I forgot about), two active tables.

Folded to 5 seat (pretty straightforward older guy), he raises to $15, folded to me on the button, I call with AdAc, blinds fold, we both have about $350. Flop come AQ2 all spades. He bets $20, I call. Turn 9s. He checks (I would've called any amount). It is 100% in my mind that he has AQ, QQ, AhJh or AKhdc. What's my play (remember I forgot about the HH bonus)?

Me: Ten weeks sober, fourth time playing 1-3 sober, (some of the previous games had guys who played every hand to the river or straddled every button or UTG), recently bought new 2+2 Small Stakes book, haven't really played any serious poker since 2007, played a ton of 10-20/15-30 LHE & O8 for the ten prior years, was a winning player but the games were pretty soft, had some decent tournament scores.

13 June 2024 at 09:09 PM
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20 Replies



3! pre

xb now


Why would you flat pf especially with that rake. I couldn't keep reading after that.


Saw the blinds were going to fold and thought I had a good read on his play.


Might be a good topic for a different post?


Buy Theory of Poker. Go to the section that explains how larger bets and raises are higher EV than smaller bets and raises that are called by V at a higher frequency.

Google Formula for Expected Value. Now plug in some numbers. See how low the bar is for a 3! to have a higher EV?

It is a mortal sin to fail to extract maximum value with the Preflop Nuts. Also you are failing to give V the opportunity to provide you with information. If he folds to 3! at a high frequency (Google Break Even Percent), then you can print money by widening your 3! range vs this V


I guess it would help to know the exact same preflop scenario happened an hour earlier, except he got a caller. I made it 30, they both called. Flop J83 with two hearts, check check I bet 25, he calls other guy folds, turn 5h check-50-call, river 3 check-50-call, he had QQ.


by BullyEyelash k

I guess it would help to know the exact same preflop scenario happened an hour earlier, except he got a caller. I made it 30, they both called. Flop J83 with two hearts, check check I bet 25, he calls other guy folds, turn 5h check-50-call, river 3 check-50-call, he had QQ.

Bet every street bigger

30 flop, 150 turn, 600 river, now we’re talkin


This is a small town casino, weekend recreational game. Nobody close to a pro. Maybe a handful of fairly serious amateurs. In four visits over six weeks I haven’t played with the same guy twice; I’ve maybe seen 6-7 guys in the room twice.

That is some good preflop advice, I’ve noticed a couple big winners doing it.

Now what should I do on the turn?


No chance he calls 150 on the turn, and we had about 3-400 at start of hand lol. You understand this is small town 1-3, right?


by BullyEyelash k

No chance he calls 150 on the turn, and we had about 3-400 at start of hand lol. You understand this is small town 1-3, right?

If the population in your game is really overfolding as much as you suggest, you should be bluffing a lot, probably way more than you are.

People are focusing on the preflop mistake because it's a really fundamental error (and you don't give a good justification for the flat either). Think about how the size of the pot grows geometrically from street to street- bigger bets preflop make it easier to get the money in postflop.

You want to be putting more money in the pot when you have the best of it, and you know you have the best of it preflop. Your hand improves on the flop- you no longer have the nuts, but your hand is doing very well against villain's range, and you have a redraw the times you're behind. So, raise the flop. Plenty of worse hands with the bare K and worse will call a raise here.

Check back the turn as played.


by BullyEyelash k

No chance he calls 150 on the turn, and we had about 3-400 at start of hand lol. You understand this is small town 1-3, right?

Then push them around


Check turn as played. No reason to bluff or value bet. Hope the board pairs.


How the heck does this room afford to give out high hand bonuses? Anyhoo...

It's funny, I just responded to another thread where I stated I wouldn't hate a preflop flat with AA in a very similar spot as this one. But there was one huge difference: stack size. In this case, we have a small enough stack that even with a super nitty image we can comfortably 3bet to a callable size to which we would happily commit remaining stacks postflop. With a much much bigger stack I think we could entertain flatting (especially if we have a nitty image, are cool with inviting a poor blind along, etc.). But here I just happily make it $50ish, which offers pretty poor ~10:1 IO.

SPR is ~11 and we have toppest set. Even though there is a flush on board, a straightforward older guy shouldn't have many (really mostly just 3 combos of KJ/KT/JT, all of which we're still going to draw out on a lot). So I think I want to work towards playing for stacks, especially before a scare card comes to kill action / hand. So I'd raise the flop. I typically like offering poor 2:1 odds, which would mean a raise to $75; we could afford to go smaller if we want cuz it'll take 3 streets to get it in anyways.

As played (and I don't like how we've gotten in so little of our non-big stack with the nuts to this point), I probably check back this turn and see what happens on the river (UI probably calling a bet / betting if checked to, and going for the gold and jamming if making a boat+).

GcluelessNLnoobG


by Mr Spyutastic k

Why would you flat pf especially with that rake.

$4+$2 with a $200 high hand bonus every hour with just two tables going makes this the best rake in the history of forever, no?

Gnothatin',justsayin'G

by BullyEyelash k

This is a small town casino, weekend recreational game. Nobody close to a pro. Maybe a handful of fairly serious amateurs. In four visits over six weeks I haven’t played with the same guy twice; I’ve maybe seen 6-7 guys in the room twice.

My guess is that if you play on a little bit more regular basis that you'll know the name of ~every single player in about 2 months.

GcluelesssmalltowncasinonoobG


by gobbledygeek k

\
As played (and I don't like how we've gotten in so little of our non-big stack with the nuts to this point), I probably check back this turn and see what happens on the river (UI probably calling a bet / betting if checked to, and going for the gold and jamming if making a boat+).

GcluelessNLnoobG

Unimproved, I would not value bet the river and it depends whether to call the river. You are beaten by any one card flush, so you don't have much at all unless the board pairs, in which case you have close to the nuts.


Thanks all, esp Brian & GG. Obviously, with under 40 hours (sober) $1-3 live experience IÂ’ve got a ton to learn (and unlearn from loose passive LHE/O8 games), and prefop aggression and bet/raise sizing are going to the top of the list. IÂ’ll try to be succinct.

I flatted preflop because I knew it would be headup on the button with this guy. Still donÂ’t hate it, wonÂ’t do it often, but might even do it with KK some time.

I just called the flop planning to raise big any non-spade on the turn.

When he checked the turn i knew he didnÂ’t have a spade, and put him on AQ or maybe QQ.

And then the rails came off. I bet 30 for reasons to dumb to mention and he folded AhJh faceup and said “I wish that had been the Js”. Then I moronically show my hand and a guy says I should have checked and drawn for the HH.

Obviously a terrible play and overall poorly played hand. I shouldÂ’ve raised to 50 preflop, bet 50-100 on the flop and collected the pot. But I learned more this way.


Whether or not you 3! AK/JJ/QQ or 3! bluff, you should almost always 3! AA/KK in a low stakes game. The only reason to flat is at higher stakes or in tournaments to hope someone else 3!s and usually backraise. People at low stakes will usually call the 3! and continue with top pair.

That people are not raising premium hands in limit games just indicates they are playing those badly. Would be awful not to raise or 3! AA in limit holdem, particularly on the button.

The problem with betting turn is, as you found out, it is hard to get called by worse. He had one of the best worse hands he could have and folded.

From a results-oriented point of view, you would have won a much bigger pot if you 3! and cbet.


Deuce, I can assure you if he had a spade heÂ’d bet it, and QQ but not AQ. And headup with only 350 no way IÂ’m folding a set of aces.


by BullyEyelash k

Deuce, I can assure you if he had a spade heÂ’d bet it, and QQ but not AQ. And headup with only 350 no way IÂ’m folding a set of aces.

Not being able to fold a set on a 4-flush board at some point is also a leak. You don't want to fold on the turn though, with a redraw to the nuts or close, unless you are facing some huge bet.


Some low stakes players lose huge value playing for the high hand. You high hand equity for making quads was probably worth $5-10. If aces full would be good for now and often hold up, then there could be significant value in seeing the river to hit aces full.

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