2 Barrel Bluff All-In (Good play or bad?)

2 Barrel Bluff All-In (Good play or bad?)

I've been trying to challenge myself to look for good bluff spots and mix it up a bit. I feel like he has the A here quite often. Admittedly, that's not what I thought about in the moment. I just simply sensed weakness and took a stab. Was he actually weak?

My reasoning for flop was that I'm noticing a lot more people floating these dryish, paired textures and IP I was fine just checking back with a decent amount of equity.

NL Holdem 0.05(BB)
BB ($3.55) [VPIP: 58.3% | PFR: 25% | AGG: 47.1% | Hands: 13]
UTG ($4.95) [VPIP: 30% | PFR: 20% | AGG: 16.7% | Hands: 10]
HJ ($4.68) [VPIP: 45% | PFR: 15% | AGG: 16.7% | Hands: 20]
CO ($5) [VPIP: 60% | PFR: 20% | AGG: 71.4% | Hands: 5]
HERO ($6.92) [VPIP: 22.1% | PFR: 18% | AGG: 27.5% | Flop Agg: 38.9% | Turn Agg: 28.9% | River Agg: 12.5% | 3Bet: 8.4% | Fold to 3Bet: 44.4% | 4Bet: 26.1% | Hands: 1215]
SB ($4.36) [VPIP: 100% | PFR: 33.3% | AGG: 25% | Flop Agg: 33.3% | Turn Agg: 33.3% | River Agg: 0% | 3Bet: 50% | 4Bet: 0% | Cold Call: 66.7% | Hands: 3]

Dealt to Hero: K A

UTG Folds, HJ Raises To $0.13, CO Folds, HERO Raises To $0.51, SB Calls $0.49, BB Folds, HJ Folds

Hero SPR on Flop: [3.08 effective]
Flop ($1.25): 6 2 2
SB Checks, HERO Checks

Turn ($1.25): 6 2 2 T
SB Checks, HERO Bets $0.79 (Rem. Stack: $5.62), SB Calls $0.79 (Rem. Stack: $3.06)

River ($2.83): 6 2 2 T J
SB Checks, HERO Bets $5.62 (allin), SB ???

27 June 2024 at 12:46 AM
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7 Replies



Coldcall 3bet oop is actually pretty strong but capped range, something like QQ-, suited broadways and AK, AQ. I like your flop checkback - a bet does not accomplish much, villain just folds hands that we dominate and could potentially pay us on A or K turns.

Same reasoning on the turn, why bet? There is still a good chance that you split against another AK combo or win vs AQ. Also assume that the river brings the Ad or Kd. I would feel much better to call off one bet on the river than face a donkbet after betting the turn. I prefer to checkback on the turn. I think that your AQ combos make a way better bluff, because they benefit from AK folds and block villains toprange w/ QQ.

River improves JJ and you have still some showdownvalue vs AdKx AxKd or similar AQ variants. So your EV(XB) > 0 and therefore your bluffs need to be at least this profitable -> EV(Bet) >= EV(XB). Tbh, I dont see much foldequity to justify your bluff.


Agree with reply above.

Also, if you do bluff river, wouldn't pot size be just about as effective as overbet?


I think you can give more respect to SB ranges. Kinda dry board but TJ runout seems lame. AK probably doesn’t want to play for a big pot


by Kenji k

Coldcall 3bet oop is actually pretty strong but capped range, something like QQ-, suited broadways and AK, AQ. I like your flop checkback - a bet does not accomplish much, villain just folds hands that we dominate and could potentially pay us on A or K turns.

Same reasoning on the turn, why bet? There is still a good chance that you split against another AK combo or win vs AQ. Also assume that the river brings the Ad or Kd. I would feel much better to call off one bet on the river than face a don

Yeah, i felt like the turn bet was kind of bad. Is this partly because he has diamonds in this spot more often? I like your reasoning. Do these spots get more automatic as you play more hands? Because I feel like I have so much to learn lol.

For instance, in the moment, I'm not thinking about the fact that AQ would be a better bluff. Does it become easier to recognize over time? I've been watching some of Doug POlk's stuff on Upswing and he said something that really made me realize how complex the game is.

I beat 25NL back in the day pretty easily and I'm finding that the games are much tougher nowadays - even 2NL on ACR!! Or maybe I'm just overthinking right now. I've only played around 2000 hands so far xD

Btw, what's "XB?"


by BennySkeletor k

Agree with reply above.

Also, if you do bluff river, wouldn't pot size be just about as effective as overbet?

Yeah, my somewhat underdeveloped poker brain says "MaXiMuM FoLd EqUiTy lolz" The thing is, I do find that overbets work better a lot of the time, but again, right now I'm working on developing better reasons to make the plays that I make, rather than just making them because I think I can get my opponent to fold a marginal hand.


Results:

NL Holdem 0.05(BB)
BB ($3.55) [VPIP: 58.3% | PFR: 25% | AGG: 47.1% | Hands: 13]
UTG ($4.95) [VPIP: 30% | PFR: 20% | AGG: 16.7% | Hands: 10]
HJ ($4.68) [VPIP: 45% | PFR: 15% | AGG: 16.7% | Hands: 20]
CO ($5) [VPIP: 60% | PFR: 20% | AGG: 71.4% | Hands: 5]
HERO ($6.92) [VPIP: 20.3% | PFR: 17.1% | AGG: 33.3% | Flop Agg: 46.9% | Turn Agg: 32% | River Agg: 18.9% | 3Bet: 11.6% | Fold to 3Bet: 43.2% | 4Bet: 18.8% | Hands: 1994]
SB ($4.36) [VPIP: 100% | PFR: 33.3% | AGG: 25% | Flop Agg: 33.3% | Turn Agg: 33.3% | River Agg: 0% | 3Bet: 50% | 4Bet: 0% | Cold Call: 66.7% | Hands: 3]

Dealt to Hero: K A

UTG Folds, HJ Raises To $0.13, CO Folds, HERO Raises To $0.51, SB Calls $0.49, BB Folds, HJ Folds

Hero SPR on Flop: [3.08 effective]
Flop ($1.25): 6 2 2
SB Checks, HERO Checks

Turn ($1.25): 6 2 2 T
SB Checks, HERO Bets $0.79 (Rem. Stack: $5.62), SB Calls $0.79 (Rem. Stack: $3.06)

River ($2.83): 6 2 2 T J
SB Checks, HERO Bets $5.62 (allin), SB Folds

Spoiler
Show

HERO wins: $2.69

This was more of an intuition jam that he had specifically a diamond, but yeah, any additional thoughts on what he might have folded are welcome.


XB stands for check back.

Looks like you pushed him off a split w/ AdKx or AxKd.

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