88 on 222, King hits the turn, we???
Blinds are $1-$2, game is $2-$100 spread-limit (most you can raise is $100 over the previous bet).
HAND: EP player limps, I raise 88 to $16 and get three callers (none were the limper).
FLOP: 222 ($50, 4-ways). SB checks, I bet $35, two folds, SB calls.
TURN: 222 K (pot: $120, heads-up).
He checks. What should we do, and why? If we bet, is it for value or as a bluff?
4 Replies
I would bet here - and it's so get value from smaller pairs and deny equity to hands like AJ which might well call the flop closing the action.
That's with the intention of checking back most rivers - a river triple barrel would increasingly likely to fold out smaller pairs (remember you can have lots of Kings yourself including KK) but get looked up by some of the bigger ones.
I'm not worried about SB having a King; he shouldn't be calling the flop with just King-high and you'd think he'd squeeze preflop with AK.
Given preflop pot odds I suppose you need to have at the back of your mind SB might have quads once in a while.
I'd bet now like 45 and check back the river if he calls (the king hits our range hard) I'll even fold the river if he calls the turn then makes a big donk bet.
It's possible he has 99-JJ, but he can also have the lower PPs. He could have floated like KQ, but if he's floating KQ, he may be floating AQ, or AJ, or QJ too.
I bet turn small and fold to a raise.
If he calls, I'm probably checking behind river assuming he checks.
