British Politics
Been on holiday for a few weeks, surprised to find no general discussion of British politics so though I'd kick one off.
Tory leadership contest is quickly turning into farce. Trump has backed Boris, which should be reason enough for anyone with half a brain to exclude him.
Of the other candidates Rory Stewart looks the best of the outsiders. Surprised to see Cleverly and Javid not further up the betting, but not sure the Tory membership are ready for a brown PM.
https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/bri...
Regarding the LD leadership contest, Jo Swinson is miles ahead of any other candidate (and indeed any of the Tory lot). Should be a shoe in.
Finally, it's Groundhog Day in Labour - the more serious the anti-Semitism claims get, the more Corbyn's cronies write their own obituary by blaming it on outlandish conspiracy theories - this week, it's apparently the Jewish Embassy's fault...
Only disappointing part is the Reform numbers.
SNP on 10 seems pretty shocking.
Boring exit poll imo, its looking better for the Tories than a lot predicted.
SNP smashed though if that part holds up.
the big sturge on ITV about to be asked about SNP 10...
Wheeeeeeeeeeee
Al the deplorable Reform voters celebrating.
As well as the party of openly racist shitheads doing better than expected, one of the big stories is Labour, with the backing of the MSM and a centre-right manifesto, achieving a smaller % of the vote than Corbyn in 2017 with a centre-left manifesto.
Looking at the Scotland results for the exit poll I definitely think they might be a bit off. They have the Conservatives doubling their seats from 6 to 12.
Don't have anything to back me up but I suspect there are a substantial number of people who have voted SNP over the last decade, not because they became pro independence, but more because labour and Scottish labour have been a disaster.
If labour look like having a strong showing south of the border I think there will be a decent swing SNP back to labour in Scotland.
Wasn't a particularly bold prediction but yea.
interestingly the markts are pricing labour winning 420 seats or more at better than evens (about 4/5), which would seem on the face of it to go against the exit poll prediction of 410
interestingly the markts are pricing labour winning 420 seats or more at better than evens (about 4/5), which would seem on the face of it to go against the exit poll prediction of 410
Exit poll predictions usually hide shyTories, so that would be unusual. Reform may well benefit from the same effect.
Imagine being so aware of what a turd you are that when leaving the polling station you can't even bring yourself to replicate your actual vote on a dummy form.
.
I mean so far there's nothing much happened, looks like Con/Ref are doing a fair bit better (especially in the latter case) than expected, but Labour are getting the huge majority as expected. The question is what happens when, as I expect to be the case, we get midway through the Max Headroom premiership and on anything substantial, absolutely nothing has changed. Thoughts?
drudgesiren.gif
CON HOLD SOMEWHERE WTF
I mean so far there's nothing much happened, looks like Con/Ref are doing a fair bit better (especially in the latter case) than expected, but Labour are getting the huge majority as expected. The question is what happens when, as I expect to be the case, we get midway through the Max Headroom premiership and on anything substantial, absolutely nothing has changed. Thoughts?
Depends on world events but with a fair wind I I dont think that will happen. Huge private money is poised to pour in.
Labour Banks on Billions of Private Investment Post-Election
Would-be chancellor Reeves has wooed investors for months
Spending power hemmed in by shallow growth, tax pledges
Keir Starmer is teeing up plans for billions of pounds worth of new private investment in Britain in the first few months of a Labour government — a surge that the opposition party hopes is large enough to help meet its ambitious growth goals and avoid sweeping tax hikes if it wins next week’s election.
Galloway out (not confirmed)
30p back in
Rare pleasure at labour wins - held two Barnsely seats that exit polls had going to reform
lol galloway
