Breakeven point of a flop raise
How can I calculate the minimum amount of folds that a raise on the flop should generate to be a 0 EV raise with any two cards? With the assumption that equity is disregarded and we assume that the game ends on the flop without further streets. In other words I am raising close to zero equity trash only.
I am pretty sure there exist a know formula for this but at the moment I am not aware.
Thank you!
6 Replies
EV = money gained from fold* frequency - money lost from call* the other frequency
No that seems super low
You are probably messing up raise size, pot size raise is not 100% of initial pot. I think formula is
(your riase%)*(pot+2*(his bet%)+pot)+hisbet%
So if your opponent pots it and you want to make pot size raise you get 1*(1+2)+1=4. In that case he has to call 3 to win 9, which are correct odds for pot size bet.
just do raise/(raise+bet+pot) where everything is in BB
typical scenario BTN vs BB would be 6.35/(6.35+1.8+5.5)=46.52% for 1/2 pot raise facing 1/3 c-bet
Thanks for the clarifications guys! This should be fine now:
