River spot 25nl Blitz
I wanted to get some opinions on this spot
Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD 2
and Database Software
NL Holdem 0.25(BB)
HERO ($29.65) [VPIP: 28% | PFR: 23.4% | AGG: 38.4% | Flop Agg: 41.4% | Turn Agg: 35.4% | River Agg: 41.5% | 3Bet: 10.5% | 4Bet: 12% | Hands: 119750]
SB ($33.63) [VPIP: 26.1% | PFR: 21.3% | AGG: 32.6% | Flop Agg: 39.4% | Turn Agg: 30.9% | River Agg: 32.6% | 3Bet: 11.3% | Fold to 3Bet: 59.3% | 4Bet: 23.1% | Hands: 725]
BB ($25) [VPIP: 19.6% | PFR: 16.3% | AGG: 31.8% | Hands: 1113]
UTG ($25) [VPIP: 24.3% | PFR: 18.9% | AGG: 0% | Hands: 38]
HJ ($27.29) [VPIP: 0% | PFR: 0% | AGG: 0% | Hands: 5]
CO ($45.96) [VPIP: 22.1% | PFR: 18.2% | AGG: 32.2% | Hands: 2409]
Dealt to Hero: Q♦ J♦
UTG Folds, HJ Folds, CO Folds, HERO Raises To $0.60, SB Raises To $3, BB Folds, HERO Calls $2.40
Hero SPR on Flop: [4.26 effective]
Flop ($6.25): J♠ 3♦ A♠
SB Bets $3.12 (Rem. Stack: $27.51), HERO Calls $3.12 (Rem. Stack: $23.53)
Turn ($12.49): J♠ 3♦ A♠ 4♣
SB Checks, HERO Checks
River ($12.49): J♠ 3♦ A♠ 4♣ K♠
SB Bets $8.24 (Rem. Stack: $19.27), HERO ?
10 Replies
probably just toss it since it doesn't seem like a good bluffcatcher or an overbluffed spot.
I dont like when they size up on the board where most regs just range 1/3
River folding would be standard, he dose seem capped only low FD are possible and those as well as QTs will most likely just bet turn, so maybe you can jam. Idk even what his range looks like with this line.
What's the bottom of your guys calling range here?
QsTs you win every time
Snap shove obviously.
GTO+ says hero indifferent to jam.
How to apply jam:
1) Am I allowed at some % to jam?
2) Pretend this is one of those times.
3) Jam
I don't really understand what is checking turn and 75% betting river for value, KK?
Villain doesn’t really have many natural bluff candidates here so I’m expecting this river to be very much underbluffed. Most bluff candidates are either barreling turn or blocked by the board, what’s left is some T9s, 98s etc.
You should be betting turn with AJ+ almost always, so I’m expecting a lot of AT and AQ. In theory villain should have some checks on turn with strong hands so should remain somewhat uncapped on river. In practice they probably don’t, so expecting those aforementioned hands a lot.
Okay thanks for the responses. I think I do like jamming in retrospect.
It probably goes
Jam>Call>Fold
The main reason I called is FD's usually barrel (plus they are blocked) and I thought the same with gutshots/AK. I was a little worried about KK but didn't think KK B50 OTF that often.
Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD 2
and Database SoftwareNL Holdem 0.25(BB)
HERO ($29.65) [VPIP: 28% | PFR: 23.4% | AGG: 38.4% | Flop Agg: 41.3% | Turn Agg: 35.4% | River Agg: 41.5% | 3Bet: 10.5% | 4Bet: 12% | Hands: 119933]
SB ($33.63) [VPIP: 25.8% | PFR: 21.2% | AGG: 32.9% | Flop Agg: 39.2% | Turn Agg: 31.9% | River Agg: 32.6% | 3Bet: 10.8% | Fold to 3Bet: 56.7% | 4Bet: 20.7% | Hands: 762]
BB ($25) [VPIP: 20.4% | PFR: 17% | AGG: 32.8% | Hands: 1148]
UTG ($25) [VPIP: 22.6% | PFR: 18.9% | AGG: 30% | Hands: 54]
HJ ($27.29) [VPIP: 0% | PFR: 0% | AGG: 0% | Hands: 5]
CO ($45.96) [VPIP: 22.1% | PFR: 18.2% | AGG: 32.2% | Hands: 2409]
Dealt to Hero: Q♦ J♦
UTG Folds, HJ Folds, CO Folds, HERO Raises To $0.60, SB Raises To $3, BB Folds, HERO Calls $2.40
Hero SPR on Flop: [4.26 effective]
Flop ($6.25): J♠ 3♦ A♠
SB Bets $3.12 (Rem. Stack: $27.51), HERO Calls $3.12 (Rem. Stack: $23.53)
Turn ($12.49): J♠ 3♦ A♠ 4♣
SB Checks, HERO Checks
River ($12.49): J♠ 3♦ A♠ 4♣ K♠
SB Bets $8.24 (Rem. Stack: $19.27), HERO Calls $8.24 (Rem. Stack: $15.29)
Spoiler
SB shows: 8♣ T♣
HERO wins: $27.53
