River sucks but 15% river all in?
https://play.globalpoker.com/gp/10/hand/...
Not sure if link works - if it doesn't here is how the hand went down.
I feel like i'm beat here but it's so cheap. I guess the only thing different is I could of pot flop instead of 2/3? Folding river just seems insane.
8 Replies
He could reastically shove worse for value at this spr.
People bluff enough on its own to justify calling, and probably valuebet worse enough on its own to justify calling as well. Add them together and.....
I rarely see it, but I suppose - especially with the lead in these low stakes games.
If you call every time someone allins for 15% pot, with the second nuts, the nuts a being backdoored nutshot, with flush and straight draws missed, you will be able to take that to the bank and they give you a mortgage right then and there.
Wrote this thinking the hand was a limp/call at 100PLO not a minraise call 3bet at 50PLO:
A key aspect of this hand is that It is J2A♥♥♠ with the open ace and you have the A♥ meaning that most of the available big FD combos will contain a K... When you have the A♥ why do you want to pot the flop? You are blocking the strong calling hands, you want to be called by bad draws especially when you have position, bet smaller like 7.1 where you can induce more action from worse made hands and draws that might perceive more fold equity.
The "worst value" is almost only ever a weirdly play JJ, it's generally not a made hand that "got there" like AQ or QQ. I think you're probably beat > ~85% of the time, but your pot odds might barely be there so calling nets some pocket change.
Call and net $.07
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For the actually hand in question call if you think they bluff 100% of the time with KKQx and like 80%+ with QT♥♥, make a disgusting fold otherwise.
Let's just make this clear:
in the real world, this is a 100% call without thinking because they see the size of the pot and think 'maybe he lays down AA and maybe he doesn't have AA and can't call anyway, **** it' way more than 15% of the time. such a drawy board that it's not like your range is 85% (AA, wraps).
And damnit we have a T in our hand
If you called and lost, sorry, this is going to happen a lot, this shouldn't be a thread
If you folded, well, you're going to be up against a lot of spots where the pot is very big on the river and stacks small and your hand is near top of your range and a bunch of draws missed and you'll be punting your hard-earned winnings away if you continue making folds like this.
