2024 ELECTION THREAD
The next presidential race will be here soon! Please see current Bovada odds. Thoughts?
my theory is that presidential races are basically coinflips
I don’t think she’ll win Iowa but Iowa voted for Dukakis,
Bill Clinton twice, Al Gore, and Obama twice.
It’s only seen as a non swing state due to very recent activity. Alabama, it is not.
I’m sure that poll is an outlier. Even so, a good sign.
I would bet a huge amount of money that Kamala does not win Iowa.
i agree with that, i disagree that late money coming in on a dog is meaningful
that happens in every market where people are loaded up on futures - hence my uconn/purdue example where purdue steamed incredibly close to tipoff on no info whatsoever, just simply people with Uconn futures deciding to lock in a win
anyone with sizable positions on trump could (and still can) easily guarantee a profit now by buying kamala
I didn't say that late money coming in on a dog was meaningful. I specifically said that it was not meaningful.
One of the things Nate Cohen has been saying for a while on NYTimes is that Trumps electoral college advantage has almost disappeared according to polling. He had 4+ point edge in 2020 and polling shows that down quite a bit. A mix of doing better in places like NYC or Florida that don’t matter, which was also backed up by the midterms, and losing a few points with non college whites.
Kamala up to 45% on polymarket
elon musk has said many times on every podcasts he wants to have as many children as he can this just seems like his usual self. How dare he bring well taken care of future billionaires into the world! what a horrible person
caring for children involves more than money.
if you have more than 5+ kids you are probably a terrible parent.
Is there odds for the popular votes ?
When people say it’s a tight race I believe the electoral college is what they only talking about ?
There is no way in my mind it’s a close call otherwise.
makes good points
caring for children involves more than money.
if you have more than 5+ kids you are probably a terrible parent.
I can’t go that far. My grandma had 10 kids and she ruled
But ya, Leon is a **** dad. His own kids disowned him and his response was shrugging his shoulders and saying ‘you can’t win them all’
Leon’s manifest destiny believing the world needs as much of his seed as humanly possible is probably the most unsettlingly creepy thing ever
From a betting standpoint it seems simple enough
If you think kamala is gonna win load up on her on bovada or wherever else
If you think trump is gonna win wait til market opening Monday and if DJT opens down load up on that
Since I don't have much of an opinion on who is going to win it seems best to bet on both of them.
Is there odds for the popular votes ?
When people say it’s a tight race I believe the electoral college is what they only talking about ?
There is no way in my mind it’s a close call otherwise.
You could of got Kamala wininng the pop vote at 58% a few days ago. I have noney on her winning that but im far from comfortable with it. I think if you looked into it a bit more, youd might change your opinion there.
Shes 12 points behind Hillary in California and cali obv is a big player on how she does aith that bet.
But anything could happen this election and polls have always been overrated. We simply dont know when so many people havent voted yet.
Leon’s manifest destiny believing the world needs as much of his seed as humanly possible is probably the most unsettlingly creepy thing ever
I've repeatedly been told by the evolutionary biologists in this forum that spreading ones seed is the highest calling of all males, so story checks out
Bovada had kamala -200 to win popular vote this morning
As of this second it’s -430
I've repeatedly been told by the evolutionary biologists in this forum that spreading ones seed is the highest calling of all males, so story checks out
I’ve always assumed this was the mantra of people who can’t get laid
Stripping away Leon’s money he’s basically your generic 4chan shitposter
Not to make it seem doom and gloom for republicans or trump but the fact the betting is ****ing tanking this hard this close to election day means there is a chance trump actually loses by more than he did in 2020 if betting markets and polling is accruate
Harris is now up in
WI
NC
MI
PA (in most cases)
either this is a 2016 and polling is so ****ed beyond belief or trump gets blown out
there literally isnt any middle ground
Eugenics (/juːˈdʒɛnɪks/ yoo-JEN-iks; from Ancient Greek εύ̃ (eû) 'good, well' and -γενής (genḗs) 'born, come into being, growing/grown')[1] is a set of beliefs and practices that aim to improve the genetic quality of a human population.[2][3][4] Historically, eugenicists have altered various human gene frequencies by inhibiting the fertility of people and groups they considered inferior, or promoting that of those considered superior.[5]
[...] The scientific reputation of eugenics started to decline in the 1930s, a time when Ernst Rüdin used eugenics as a justification for the racial policies of Nazi Germany. Adolf Hitler had praised and incorporated eugenic ideas in Mein Kampf in 1925
makes u think
Like I said last week it was an absolute ****ing buy on harris at 38c on poly, just insane low risk high reward
