2024 ELECTION THREAD
The next presidential race will be here soon! Please see current Bovada odds. Thoughts?
If harris wins NC its game over for 2024 election
also harris is doing very well in PA early on
PS - I'm calling DE for Harris early, because wife and I definitely voted for her and so did our friends across the street. Between us and Joe Biden that's pretty much everybody
if there is a Trump vote it was definitely Biden
Whoever wins Bucks County will likely win PA. So far, Harris is ahead, but it's early.
The winner of Pennsylvania moves way ahead, but the smallest swing state Nevada and it's 6 votes is looming large on deciding this as the tipping point.
Polling error of 5% in Trump's favor in Florida with 90% in, Silver was like 6 points off. Dems better hope that trend doesn't continue in the swing states
Nate Cohen wrote about this a lot. An election similar to the midterms. Over performing in places like Florida could explain why popular vote edge for trump is much lower.
Trump pulls ahead in NC and VA
Not true Trump won in 2016.
Anyone following any good twitter accounts that posts comparisons for results from 2020 vs. 2024
Harris is overperforming in NH, which is the single biggest early indicator imo
Trump at 72% on polymarket.
I mean i know Florida is weird and everything, but a 18 point swing in favor of Trump vs 2020 in Miami-Dade? really? with abortion on the ballot?
I didnt vote and sarcasm is hard on the internet for misanthropes I guess. I did not forget your particularly nasty diatribe about me earlier today so kindly dont respond to me ever again.
It was my honest opinion based on your entire body of work. If I'm wrong, I'm wrong. I wasn't kind to BGP either.
