2024 ELECTION THREAD

trump was -300 at 9pm 4 years ago too fwiw

same as in 2020 biden was +300

Sounds like you are describing Thatcher.

What odds are you giving? Max bet?

Thatcher, Meloni, even Merkel (which was much more moderate).

It's very simple, women can win on the right because the right isn't bigoted, women can't win on the left unless the country is ultra-leftist because it's a small portion of the LEFT TENT that won't vote for them lol.

abc/538 still calls Georgia and North Carolina toss-ups, which is obvious if you actually look at what ballots are still to be counted.

trumps taking NC

NYT Has NC as "lean R" (67% vote in, Trump +5)

Said so on sky news live updates page

Harris now 7.0 on bfex

That polling averages and models were obviously underestimating Harris. It was pretty clear even at the time that you couldn’t know that.

EXACT PARITY in Arizona, 36% of the vote in

this sucks

Nikki Haley was that and I probably would have voted for her over Biden. Conservative woman will never get out if a Republican primary

I said I believed it. I didn't say I knew it for certain. Qualified it many times with "I could be wrong."

Then I guess sky news forgot to tell Reuters:

Yikes - Trump now -850 on Bovada.

Nikki Haley could have been a competitive name in a republican primary in another era. You need america supremacy, nativism, and a dislike of interventionism to win a primary now.

Noem was a possible name (or would have been after Trump) if she didn't brag about killing her dog

So Roco was correct. You were just wishcasting.

if harris is +800 theres value

Trump now fav to win popular vote

You can't possibly believe this.

Maybe. I'm certainly disappointed with what I've seen so far, but none of my predictions are off the table yet.

I haven't seen a single reputable source calling NC yet