rivered trips in a 3-bet pot

rivered trips in a 3-bet pot

PokerStars - $0.25 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

CO: 43.04 BB (VPIP: 22.27, PFR: 16.32, 3Bet Preflop: 5.74, Hands: 1,294)
BTN: 208.68 BB (VPIP: 25.81, PFR: 21.29, 3Bet Preflop: 15.28, Hands: 159)
SB: 286.24 BB (VPIP: 22.58, PFR: 16.59, 3Bet Preflop: 11.39, Hands: 218)
BB: 101.4 BB (VPIP: 24.20, PFR: 18.20, 3Bet Preflop: 7.18, Hands: 584)
UTG: 149.84 BB (VPIP: 52.69, PFR: 40.38, 3Bet Preflop: 17.31, Hands: 271)
Hero (MP): 100 BB

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has 8 8

fold, Hero raises to 2.48 BB, CO calls 2.48 BB, BTN raises to 12.4 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 9.92 BB, fold

Flop: (28.68 BB, 2 players) 7 4 5
Hero checks, BTN bets 6.84 BB, Hero calls 6.84 BB

Turn: (42.36 BB, 2 players) 3
Hero checks, BTN checks

River: (42.36 BB, 2 players) 8
Hero bets 20.24 BB, BTN raises to 162 BB,

Hero= ?

I don't think Villain has alot of 6-x but I also couldn't find alot of bluffs.

15 November 2024 at 12:24 PM
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14 Replies



Interesting spot.

I think the fact we have top set, rather than any old set, is significant.

For that reason, I think I'm calling and expecting to see lower sets a fair bit of the time.

Then again, we know a raise like that on river at these stakes is usually nutted... but can't see him/her having a 6 either.

Interested to hear thoughts of others


I would fold pre. But never fold river


Call pre burns money against that size OOP. When he makes it so big we should probably never have a calling range, just 4bet or fold.

River is weird, I expect most people at this stakes to underbluff river shoves deep on textures that are terrible for them tbf, but on the other hand it's really hard for him to have value here. Someone mentioned above they expect to see lower sets often, but I think it's quite unlikely for them to squeeze a low pocket pair for that size. If you have reads/stats on opponent I'd base my decision based on that. If I'm not facing some 42 WWSF nit I'd call


Villain could be 3-bet bluffing pre with 76s, 65s or A2s. Probably not with 66.

They should definitely bet flop with 65 of clubs or with 76s.


Fold pre. Wp until the river call of the raise. I doubt anyone is going to find enough bluffs here and most won’t ever raise worse so I’d fold to the jam.


Wouldn't the villain (almost always)keep betting his 6 on the turn?

To charge flush draws/higher straigth draws and potential boat draws.
Also to inflate the pot more. There is alot still behind to let it depend on the hero to lead on the river.


by Count Nelson k

Wouldn't the villain (almost always)keep betting his 6 on the turn?

To charge flush draws/higher straigth draws and potential boat draws.
Also to inflate the pot more. There is alot still behind to let it depend on the hero to lead on the river.

I don’t tend to think like that- if it’s a spot where a villain has to be creative to have *any* bluffs let alone *enough* bluffs, then I assume they have it unless they’ve shown any capability in doing so in the past.


by Count Nelson k

Wouldn't the villain (almost always)keep betting his 6 on the turn?

To charge flush draws/higher straigth draws and potential boat draws.
Also to inflate the pot more. There is alot still behind to let it depend on the hero to lead on the river.

Very strange hand this. To check the turn and then shove the river on this run out doesn't make a whole lot of sense, seems very suspicious. Yet if the opponent here is any good they must also have known that you are very unlikely to have a 6 in your hand in this spot, therefore they could be turning air into a very tricky to call bluff in this spot.


Block or check the river seems better. It would be useful to know if this is a normal kind of reg or some kind of regfish. 159 hands is usually enough to get an idea.


Do you guys think that villain could be value jamming with worse, like 78 which i think makes sense in this line, or a lower set? Hero shouldnt have many sixes here (only setmining with 66, which didnt get a good enough price pre).


No


Pre, fold... river looks like a call. If he checked the turn w/ a 6... good on him, think I'm paying him off.


Thanks for the input.

I will def. keep the preflop mistake in mind in the future.

For anyone who's interested , here is the outcome of the pot. I called because I really didn't believe he had a 6 with the turn-check.

River: (42.36 BB, 2 players) 8
Hero bets 20.24 BB, BTN raises to 162 BB, Hero calls 60.52 BB and is all-in

Spoiler
Show

BTN shows A A (One Pair, Aces)
(Pre 80%, Flop 76%, Turn 86%)
Hero shows 8 8 (Three of a Kind, Eights)
(Pre 20%, Flop 24%, Turn 14%)
Hero wins 195.88 BB


What the

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