2024 NFL Regular Season: Vikings vs. Lions SNF Showdown!
You know, since the Super Bowl periodically i will watch the CBS Sinatra intro cuz it was ****ing magnificent. Halfway through i will remember how that game went and I will be dead inside. I hate myself enough that I will keep ripping off the scab. A niners fan in their 30s probably knows more heartbreak than any fan living, and I say that knowing that stupid ass team in upstate New York lost 4 straight Super Bowls. I come into this season knowing an inevitability that the 9ers will be good. Very good. And like that they've done for a ****ing decade they will find a brand new way to rip my ****ing heart out inches away from a Super Bowl. I am about to waste 5 ****ing months of my life bracing myself for the inevitable. With that in mind i come into this season with a new outlook:
**** you all. Every last one of you. Indiscrimenantly and unconditionally. All of you ****ers deserve pain and I wish nothing less than that for you. I jerked off when Rodgers tore his achilles 4 snaps into the season cuz I hate him. I am prepared to replicate that for the rest of you. I will bring you down to my level and laugh at your misery until nothing is left but ash.
With that in mind, welcome to the 2024 NFL season.
(Sorting by Super Bowl Odds)
Kansas City Chiefs, +600
Travis Kelce is a braindead mongoloid in a relationship of circumstance with a singer who looks like an abstract painting drawn by a drunk. Your quarterback has a voice that makes me think he sits in the corner and jerks off while his attention whore whore of a wife gets gangbanged to post on IG. His family is full of a sexual predator and a drunk ass father. You are coached by a man who is as objectively terrible at fatherhood as he is at portion control. YOU WANT THEM NUGGIES?! probably not as much as your kids wanted a present dad. Too bad one killed himself and the other killed someone else. But hey, he's got a mustache and he looks like the kool-aid man. WHAT A GUY! Your fans suck. Your forum should be under constant terror surveillance. You still do some racist ass chant because now that Snyder left someone has to wear the mantle of "**** you native americans this is our tradition now." **** you then. **** you now. **** you forever.
San Francisco 49ers, +600
GOD. ****ING. DAMNIT. **** this team that has taken so much of my soul I am certain if an afterlife exists neither side will claim me. Kyle Shanahan? If you choked on dick as much as you choke when it matters you'd either be dead of asphyxiation or your body would be 97% the cum of other men. I am a liberal of Middle Eastern descent rooting for a team whose marquee defensive player gets rock hard at the sight of Trump and whose 7th round QB is a member of Focus on the Family. The levels of moral compromise it takes for me to root for them is only offset by the fact that CTE exists and it all levels out in the end. Watch these ****ers go 14-3 and lose in the Super Bowl because, I dunno, they decide to do some nonsense like take a knee in the end zone to start OT
Baltimore Ravens, +1000
You ****ing worthless bastards. You had one one ****ing job and that was to get your fraud ass MVP RB1 WR1 to the Super Bowl to get your anus protruded. Congrats on giving the keys to your future to a guy so stupid his mom is his agent. The best player in your history was a murderer. The best RB in your history I'm pretty sure is also a murderer. The best QB in your history is basically a runningback who can occassionally throw a football which means he's basically black Julian Edelman with the ability to do an inside handoff. It warms my heart you will never win anything, not because the Chefs are in your conference but because Lamar ain't ****ing ****. You might be feeling a certain kind of way reading me say this but I also watched this guy implode at home in the AFCCG so the burden of proof is on you to tell me this guy ****ing matters. **** you
Detroit Lions, +1200
Bahahahahahahhahahahahahahahahhahahahaa what can i actually say to you that God already hasn't. When you are a fan of Detroit sports you have already made a decision your life has no meaning or value. As a Niners fan it warms my heart that we own your ****ing asses. You idiots are so terrible at all things sports you let a guy catch a 50 yard pass off your ****ing helmet. Remember when the Giants swept the best Tigers team you'll ever have? I sure as **** remember. It's cute you think you matter cuz you have some retread QB with no talent other than the worst Super Bowl performance of the modern era and because you decided to give AMSR all the money. Have fun with the consequences of winning the first playoff games in the last half century. I see zero downside here.
Philadelphia Eagles, +1300
The most meaningless 10-1 start in history. No existence has ever shown itself to be more fraudulent than the hype behind "I SQUAT ALL THE POUNDS" and Nick Siriosis. Your QB is **** elevated by a gimmick. Your coach is **** elevated by coordinators who once upon a time were able to hide it. Your city deserves to be nuked from orbit. Nothing on earth means less to societal benefit than a Philly sports fan. You clowns combine the entitlement of St. Louis Cardinals Fans with the stupidity of St. Louis Cardinals Fans with the "my life has no meaning other than the team I root for" of Buffalo Bills fans. You suck so much I once bought a 2+2er a secret santa gift of 7 6ers tickets 1 in each section costing me a total of 20 bucks. That 2+2er lived in Atlanta.
Houston Texans, +1500
I don't give a **** about you
Cincinnati Bengals, +1500
The only good thing to come out of Ohio is the cry from help that comes from anyone who lives there. Skyline Chili? Have some ****ing self-respect you indulgent fat bastards. Stop trying to make Joe Burrow a thing. The only thing that separates that bleached hair ****boi from Boomer Esiason is a cigar. Also the best QB you ever had before this literally chose to name himself BOOMER. No part of me can take you seriously no matter how much you all dEmAnD tO bE tAkEn SeRiOuSlY. You go to a stadium that looks so decrepit I can't rule out it was built in 2700 BC by the Pharoah's slaves to give the cheapest man alive your hard earned money to maybe watch 1 playoff game before you go to the bar and pass up your chance at pussy by telling whatever slag you found on a Craigslist personals ad your hour long retrospective on how Akili Smith just had bad luck
Buffalo Bills +1500
BAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHA
AHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAH
AHAHAHAHHA
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHA
You people are something else. Leave it to the team Bon Jovi and Trump couldn't trick people into letting them buy to gloss themselves a mafia because they jump through tables and show up to 0 degree weather games topless and blackout drunk on PBR. 4 Super Bowl Losses Were Not Enough. I fully expect Dom and that other half_nit to scream about how they're going to kill me for this post before they fall asleep in a puddle of their own piss and vomit surrounded by bottles of miller high life and wake up confused about why Josh Allen threw 7 picks in a game they missed. Spare me. I don't care. You guys will suck forever
Dallas Cowboys, +1800
Remember the time Zeke was your lone lineman in the last play of a playoff game? Remember that the coach who drew that up is still your coach? I can't prove it but your owner is a pedo. Jerry will outlive all of you which means that you will never ever ever see a Super Bowl appearance much less a win. ****, you're a dog to even make an NFCCG. But you know what? you deserve it. Every last element of the Dallas Cowboys, their fans, the city of Dallas, the state of Texas is a constant reminder to any decent human being that life can be much, much worse. Imagine being the sole thing on this ****ing earth Stephen A Smith can dunk on.
New York Jets, +1800
On my ****ing life I hope the season opener includes the paralysis of RFK Jr's VP and Podcast Punter's meal ticket. I will happily accept the niners never winning another ****ing game if they end his career opening night. The NFL has included rapists and murderers and somehow I hate the most overrated QB in the history of the game more than any of them. Aaron Hernandez literally got sentenced to life in prison and hung himself and I think Rodgers deserves the chair more. Rae Carruth had someone kill his baby mama and I think Rodgers has a greater claim to being buried under Guantanamo.
J
E
T
S
YOU
SUCK
DICK
Your levels of desperation of disrepair has brought you to this point. Your team is such a ****ing joke Bardy made a 9/11 joke about you that brought the house down.
Green Bay Packers, +1800
Imagine having Favre and Rodgers for 2 decades and ending up with as little as you did. Imagine having the 2 best QBs in your existence be the guy in that movie where that woman put cum in her hair as gel and ended up scamming the state of Mississippi who sends random dick pics to reporters and a guy who is someone more hatable than THAT. It's fitting that the public owns the Packers because you all deserve to wear this. You stupid cheesehead wearing halfwits. I've been to Wisconsin once. The only thing redeemable about that shithole is that I could leave it. And even that seemed dicey.
To the rest of the teams i have not named in this post it is because i do not care enough about you to write paragraphs about you. The panthers have a midget as a QB, the browns have a sexual predator. The boncos have a pill popping piece of **** as their coach, the stealers are lol, pray at the feet of a rapist and have concussion water as their QB1. The Chargers have a coach who sleeps over at the homes of kickers who are not of legal age to make sure they don't go to anyone else but daddy. The Jaguars have the HPoolV stadium and are owned by a guy in a cartoonish mustache with a son who is not Triple H
I wish you all pain. I will not suffer alone.
Let us football
Mod Edit:
List of Other Team Votes with Selection:
newguyhere: Dolphins
marknfw: Cowboys
Lol Zeke
I don’t remember my extremist positions on teams at any given time enough to know if I’m falling for a trap saying ‘how dare you’ but regardless
I think the common consensus (or at least in my own mind) was that the nfc was not very good at the level of parity is wild
Especially considering the nature of the nfl playoffs, how you play late matters way more than the body of work. Packers clearly limpdicking in and won’t play a single home game in a best case scenario. I’m confident shoveling dirt on the grave
I don’t remember my extremist positions on teams at any given time enough to know if I’m falling for a trap saying ‘how dare you’ but regardless
I think the common consensus (or at least in my own mind) was that the nfc was not very good at the level of parity is wild
Especially considering the nature of the nfl playoffs, how you play late matters way more than the body of work. Packers clearly limpdicking in and won’t play a single home game in a best case scenario. I’m confident shoveling dirt o
They are also most likely playing the Eagles round 1 . And I think Eagles may be the best team in the NFC .
GB had a decent run. Love is the weak link IMO.
Solid O-line, Jacobs playing great, D-line gets to the QB as good as anybody ITL. Secondary is about average but who isn't.
I'd put GB on par with Rams, maybe WAS but Love needs to be solid as defense will keep you in game only so long against Daniels.
If Minnesota wins Sunday I have them as the head and shoulders favorite to ship the nfc followed by:
2. Iggles
3. Lions
4. Rams
5. Bucs
6. Packers
7. Commanders
If lions win swap them and the Vikings I guess but 1. lions way closer to the iggles chances than the 1. Vikings are. Lions just far too depleted on defense. Bork was 2 stupid ass decisions away from throwing 450 on them and beating them. You don’t get to handwave that just cuz they came down with the picks
I'd give a slight edge to GB over LAR.
My NFC rankings
1. PHI
2. MIN
3. DET
4. TB
5. GB
6. LAR
7. WAS
They are also most likely playing the Eagles round 1 . And I think Eagles may be the best team in the NFC .
GB matches up better vs PHI than their ELITE divisional opponents
PHI doesn't throw the ball to the middle of the field and that is GB's coverage liability
GB also has a slight advantage at QB in the match-up
Pinny has SEA as 4.5 point favorites over LAR. This feels wrong...LAR should be slightly favored?
LAR can guarantee themselves the 3-seed if they win (else they still might get the 3 seed but would need help from TB/ATL). So they have something to play for.
McVay hasn't indicated if he is/isn't resting folks...presumably he'd like to avoid DET or MIN in round 1...and LAR is kinda just a better team right now vs SEA.
Am I overthinking this or am I missing something? Bet ~3 units on LAR moneyline?
Pinny has SEA as 4.5 point favorites over LAR. This feels wrong...LAR should be slightly favored?
LAR can guarantee themselves the 3-seed if they win (else they still might get the 3 seed but would need help from TB/ATL). So they have something to play for.
McVay hasn't indicated if he is/isn't resting folks...presumably he'd like to avoid DET or MIN in round 1...and LAR is kinda just a better team right now vs SEA.
Am I overthinking this or am I missing something? Bet ~3 units on LAR moneyline?
I was assuming Rams would sit players .
can anyone find a stat for lifetime and active win % for QBs and Coaches in 1 score games?
I tried Stat Muse and basic google search. Am guessing Pro Football Ref maybe and will play around
I mean that's the only explanation that makes sense...but why?
Something else to consider that makes me think Rams will play their starters -- TB (vs NO) & ATL (vs CAR) are both 1PM games. SEA/LAR is at 4:25PM.
TB is pretty likely (-14) to beat the Saints. McVay will know the result of TB/NO before his game starts...and in the likely event TB wins, McVay should play his starters.
def not JOE
looks like you're right about Tomlin
Since 1970, only four head coaches who have coached at least 100 games have more than Tomlin's 98 wins in one-score games. And those coaches – Bill Belichick (120 wins), Andy Reid (110), Don Shula (106) and Dan Reeves (105) – all have coached far longer than Tomlin.
Even more impressive is Tomlin's career winning percentage in one-score games. Tomlin has compiled a 98-61-2 record in one-score games, a winning percentage of .615 that is the highest in the NFL, tied with Tony Dungy for that honor.
Just behind him are Shula (.612), Marty Schottenheimer (.597) and Bud Grant (.596).
I totally get why people love teams like the Lions and Bills. There's no denying they're really fun to watch. Right now, they're the only 2 teams to have scored 500+ points this season. However, they could be joined by some more teams this weekend.
BAL needs 17
TB needs 25
WAS needs 38
CIN needs 47
There's never been more than 3 (500 point) teams in a season, so it'd be pretty remarkable if BAL and TB got there. Certainly doable based on their upcoming matchups.
Since the merger in 1966, there have been a total of 28 teams that've scored at least 500 points in a season. 13 of those teams made it to the Superbowl, but only 4 actually shipped the Lombardi.
'94 - 49ers
'98 - Broncos
'99 - Rams
'09 - Saints
There have been 5 seasons where multiple teams have scored 500+ points. 3 of those 5 seasons had a team make it to the SB.
'98 DEN (W) v ATL
'11 NE (L) v NYG
'18 LAR (L) v NE
My early wild card round lines:
DEN 48
BUF -7.5
LAC 47
BAL -7
PIT 41
HOU -2.5
LAC -1
HOU 41
PIT 45
BAL -9
MIA 49
BUF -6.5
CIN 51
BUF -3.5
GB 45
PHI -6
WAS 50
LAR -3 ev
MIN -3 -20
TB 51
WAS 48
PHI -6.5
LAR -2.5
DET -6
TB 54
GB 47
Buff -9 vs Den
BMore -7.5 vs LAC
Pitt -2 @ Hou
LAR +4.5 vs Det, +3.5 vs Minn
TB -2.5 vs Wash
Phi -6.5 vs GB
only did the likely matchups assuming all favs hold this weekend
I ask about the 1 score games thing because I think it’s quite an interesting ‘art v science’ tension between the advanced stats guys and the ‘feel players’ when it comes to evaluating teams, players etc.
oversimplifying but…
Regressing to the mean in 1 score games is one of the ways the models predict win totals - ‘meh it’s variance’ when eg Cousins and the Vikings went like 10-1 2 years ago in 1 score games. And probably also predict SB winners etc. ‘Sure the Chiefs are 15-1 but they’re squeaking by teams and that isn’t sustainable’ etc
But against that, my bet was that we’d find that the GOAT QBs had the best record in those games and at least the Mahomes tweet from Ligastar supports that side. And with the long term GOAT careers like Brady Manning etc there’s a big enough sample size for it not to be simply running hot. That winning tight ones is a leader/coach/team skill that can’t be truly expressed by a model
There is a weird momentum that seems to happen when you're winning. Bizarre **** happens. Teams drop game winning INTs, make stupid penalties on 4th and 16, let their kicks get blocked, doink kicks, fumble snaps, catch the ball with one toe OOB, etc.
The ****ing Pats used to drive me nuts with it. And even when it wasn't the Pats, the Chiefs found a way to lose big games by a hair for my entire fandom.
God seems to be the ultimate front-runner.
