NCAA FOOTBALL 2024 MEGA THREAD - WELCOME TO THE PLAYOFF ERA
Just 8 days until Florida State plays Georgia Tech!
A lot happened while you were away:
Texas and Oklahoma joined the SEC
T
Idiot wanted to taunt so bad. Thankfully his teammates yanked him away.
Lol punting on 4th and 4 at midfield.
The teams I'm rooting for in the playoffs so far are 0-7
:/
So Matthew McConaughey lets a restaurant's' booking app order his meal for him, blind?
Overplayed commercials that gave me a genuine chuckle (the FIRST 200 times I saw them):
“We really needed this rain”
“There’s a really nice barbecue outside, but don’t touch that.”
I do not understand how oregon went 13-0 only to get their **** pushed in this bad
I realize tOSU is an elite roster coached by, by all accounts, a real ****ing clown but still
Ohio St -4.5 over Texas? That's my line at least.
I think we see a slow, grind it out game from both ND and UGA. Not tons of chunk plays. Under 45.5 looks pretty attractive.
Ohio State -6 vs Texas
ND is roughly -1 vs UGA although the line keeps bopping back and forth
BOL has -2.5 -2.5 for ND/UGA vs PSU and DK has -1/-1
DK is usually off on these, and I think is making their typical mistake of taking the line that it would be RIGHT NOW, whereas the ND/UGA winner will on average see their rating increase after they win - in particular, UGA has slightly more to gain bc of the uncertainty around Stockton, so I think ND being a slight favorite now, but those teams ratings conditional on winning being the same makes sense.
My lines basically line up exactly with Vegas, I have OSU at +31, Texas at +25, ND/UGA at +23.5 and PSU at +21.5
I think on average, the UGA/ND/PSU winner gains slightly more than OSU if OSU wins, so I have the final odds as roughly:
OSU 47%
Texas 18%
UGA 10%
ND 10%
PSU 15%
Because I can't help myself, 2025 OOC games:
B12 vs B12 (lol):
Arizona v K-State
B12 vs ACC:
Baylor @ SMU
BYU v Stanford
Colorado v GT
TCU v SMU
TCU @ UNC
UCF v UNC
WVU v Pitt
B12 vs SEC:
ASU @ Mississippi State
Baylor v Auburn
Kansas @ Mizzou
B12 vs B1G:
Cincy n Nebraska
Iowa St v Iowa
OK State @ Oregon
Utah @ UCLA
B12 v tricky G5
BYU @ ECU
ASU v Texas State
Houston @ Oregon State
Kansas v Fresno
K-State vs Army
Texas Tech v Oregon State
WVU @ Ohio
ACC vs ACC
NC State v UVA
ACC vs SEC:
Clemson v LSU
Clemson @ USCe
FSU v Alabama
FSU @ Florida
GT v UGA
Louisville v Kentucky
Miami v Florida
Syracuse n Tennessee
VT n South Carolina
VT v Vanderbilt
ACC vs B1G:
BC @ Sparty
Cal v Minnesota
Duke v Illinois
ACC vs Tricky G5:
BC v ND
Miami n ND
NC State @ ND
Pitt v ND
Syracuse @ ND
Cal @ Oregon State
Cal @ SDSU
Duke @ Tulane
UVA v Wazzu
Wake @ Oregon St
B1G vs SEC:
Michigan @ Oklahoma
Wisconsin @ Alabama
Ohio St v Texas
B1G vs Tricky G5:
Northwestern @ Tulane
Washington @ Wazzu
USC @ ND
UCLA @ UNLV
Purdue @ ND
Oregon v Oregon St
SEC vs Tricky G5:
Arkansas @ Memphis
Ole Miss v Tulane
Ole Miss v Wazzu
G5 contenders:
Memphis:
Chattanooga
@ Georgia St
@ Troy
Arkansas
Tulane, three P4s, including two home game where they could be favored:
Northwestern
@ South Alabama
Duke
@ Ole Miss
Liberty, no P4s again:
Maine
@ BGSU
JMU
@ ODU
Boise St:
@ USF
EWU
App St
@ Notre Dame
UNLV:
@ SHSU
UCLA
Idaho St
@ Miami OH
Louisiana:
Rice
Mcneese
@ Mizzou
@ EWU
LFG
ruh ruga
ND defense looking excellent first series.
I'll take Notre Dame over Ohio State in the title game.
#30 for the Irish just did a dumb dumb
