200$ live, fold top pair?
9-max 200$ live MTT
100 entrants, 35 remaining, 11 places itm
Blinds: 2k/4k
Hero (BTN) : 110k
HJ: 250k
HJ opens to 12k, CO fold, Hero (BTN) calls with KQs, both blinds fold.
Flop: Q55 (pot 34k)
HJ bets 20k, Hero calls
Turn: Q55T (pot 74k)
HJ checks, Hero bets 25k, HJ goes all-in, Hero??
*Q and T are spades bringing some posible flushdraws as well.
What should hero do here?
HJ is a senior guy, quite tight.
Hero has 53k left, 13bbs, soon to be less as next blind level was in 10min.
4 Replies
Does villain always open 3x in this stage of the tournament?
I dont understand why he bets so big Q55.
I could fold against absolute nits. But we are only beat vs KK, AA, AQ... We chop vs KQo. He could have some JJ, but also some TT... well what bluffs idk, maybe some AKs/AJs turning multidraw? Im not sure about this spot.
If I think villain could misplay JJ like this etc, then I could find a call.
Depends on villains earlier play, also livereads, does he have a wife waiting for him and is going for redwine and steak at the nearby bistro if busto?
:p
Does villain always open 3x in this stage of the tournament?
I dont understand why he bets so big Q55.
I could fold against absolute nits. But we are only beat vs KK, AA, AQ... We chop vs KQo. He could have some JJ, but also some TT... well what bluffs idk, maybe some AKs/AJs turning multidraw? Im not sure about this spot.
If I think villain could misplay JJ like this etc, then I could find a call.
Depends on villains earlier play, also livereads, does he have a wife waiting for him and is going for
No, I've seen him open limp one hand but he was on the table only for a dozen hands or so. He is probably 80ish so probably leaning towards the absolute nit profile.
I estimated his range with AT+, KJ+, QJ+, 88+....
Because of this ruled out 3betting, also considering I probably have an edge postflop and could steal some pots against him in position.
Otf, even with his size (3/4) thought he could be over c-betting with some hands like AK, AT, AJ. So it's probably either (AQ, KQ, QJ, AA, KK,QQ) or AK,AT,AJ... Not sure if he could play TT or JJ like that. Also ruling out the possibility that he has a 5 played this way.
On the turn, after his check I'm thinking that I'm ahead so bet 1/3 to get value of some AT or some JJ,TT, QJ. No reason to bet more imo, also giving some space to maneauver a fold.
Was def not expecting that check-raise. So that's probably (AQ, QQ, KQ, QJ and maybe some QT, JJ, TT, T9s, KJs..) I think AA, KK will put me all-in right away, fearing that I check behind on that slightly opening turn.
If I had 90k left I would have folded, but having 10bbs and due to the structure ended up calling after a bit of a tank. Will not spoil the hand yet 
80 year old nit raises pre, CBs on a Qxx flop, then x/shoves a T turn. You can't fold quickly enough man.
Jam pre please. Folding post here with tpgk is really bad on 27.5bb. I would just stick it in pre.
