Box Office Draft 2025 Thread

Box Office Draft 2025 Thread

Proposed rules:

- No January movies
-10 teams, 8 picks per team (no January and maybe still a reduced number of movies?)
-$325m cap on each pick (Maybe move this?)
-Standard snake draft of the ABABABAB variety (only 6 of us and there are 6 bangers, so no need for 6th to go first 2 rounds in a row)
-Most North American box office at the end of January 2026 wins

Note: If your movie gets (1) moved to 2026 or (2) does not get a theatrical release or (3) gets a simultaneous streaming/theatrical release (be wary of Netflix films!), you may pick a movie that went unpicked, but it must be at least two weeks from release.
For substitutions only: $250m cap if its a 1st round pick, $150m cap for a round 2 pick, $100m cap for round 3 & 4, $75m for round 5 & 6, $70m cap for round 7 & 8, and $50m cap for round 9 & 10.

Randed order:
Chuck
Nich
Zeus
D1
Aaron
Derwi

) 1 View 1
21 January 2025 at 12:51 AM
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129 Replies

5
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I didn't see the sign up for this happening (guess it was last year's thread). Any chance you'll let me slot in at 7th pick?


In


There are several different ways I could go here. But going with a sequel to a popular movie released last year that has grossed 465 mil and still going seems the safest.

Wicked: For Good


by Zurvan k

I didn't see the sign up for this happening (guess it was last year's thread). Any chance you'll let me slot in at 7th pick?

yup you are in

Chuck
Nich
Zeus
D1
Aaron
Derwi
Zurvan


Jurassic World: Rebirth seems like a lock to hit the 325M cap


superman should have the draw it used to still


Avatar 3


by D1iabol1cal k

Avatar 3

Avatar 3 was 100% my pick with no cap. Assuming Avatar 3 releases this year it will absolutely cap and will beat Wicked 2. I just think both absolutely cap, but a chance Avatar 3 gets delayed. I don't think it is much of a chance though. which is why I'm not crazy about getting the #1 slot.


by chuckleslovakian k

Avatar 3 was 100% my pick with no cap. Assuming Avatar 3 releases this year it will absolutely cap and will beat Wicked 2. I just think both absolutely cap, but a chance Avatar 3 gets delayed. I don't think it is much of a chance though. which is why I'm not crazy about getting the #1 slot.

Yeah, I mean I guess the only reason it lasted this long is the possibility of a delay, but considering it was filmed at the same time as 2, that seems unlikely.

I totally understand going with Wicked 2 in your spot though...I was hesitant myself.


I made a new tab in the spreadsheet for this year https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1...

I have it set up for 10 rounds/70 picks for now, if somebody thinks we should be drafting a different amount of movies please speak up.


Yeah without cap I take avatar 3 also


by Nicholasp27 k

Jurassic World: Rebirth seems like a lock to hit the 325M cap

I was originally thinking that I could see the dropoff for this one being bigger than it was from 2 to 3 if the reception is poor again which would push it under the cap. Now I see though that we get a new cast, new director and new writer so I'm thinking the chances of that happening are very slim.


I would have totally just picked Avatar 3 at #1 though.


by derwipok k

I made a new tab in the spreadsheet for this year https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1...

I have it set up for 10 rounds/70 picks for now, if somebody thinks we should be drafting a different amount of movies please speak up.

I put in OP that we'd do standard ABAB snake draft instead of ABBAB since only 6-7 teams and there are at least 7-8 cappers, so didn't think last should get to go first 2 rounds in a row like when we have 10+ teams or don't have cap so last gets worse movies than first few people

but if everyone wants ABBAB then we can do that; I just didn't think we needed it and could go standard


Oh I didn't realize that you changed it and just went with what we always did.


Zootopia 2


Damn I was hoping that would somehow drop one more, I think it would have been my #2 choice overall behind Avatar.


I'm torn between 2 choices, I guess I'll try my luck with Lilo & Stitch.


I'm unclear how many picks I have right now. Is it one, or two like a typical snake?


Anyway, I know I have one pick

Captain America: Brave New World


yeah you have two


by Zurvan k

I'm unclear how many picks I have right now. Is it one, or two like a typical snake?

It's 2, round 3 is the one that is kinda up in the air right now.


if it's too confusing we can go back to the old way

I just thought with fewer teams it made more sense for the end to not get 7/8/14 when 7 and 8 should have good shot at capping while 13 for 1st pick won't so 7/8 > 1/13 so 14 shouldn't go to 7/8...but maybe I'm wrong there anyway or maybe it's just too much churn to change it up


For my next pick, I'll go with The Minecraft Movie

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