$25----->25k Bankroll Challenge on Ignition
I am going to be starting with $25 in my Ignition Account and try to spin it up to $25,000.
I will start at 5nl since it
Why so passive with Q9
I see. Still it will depend on how much equity bluffs have
Always X river here
Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD 2 Poker Tracking Software
NL Holdem 0.25(BB)
BTN ($25.99) [VPIP: 40% | PFR: 40% | AGG: 33.3% | Flop Agg: 0% | Turn Agg: 0% | River Agg: 100% | 3Bet: 100% | Fold to 3Bet: 0% | 4Bet: 0% | Hands: 6]
SB ($34.26) [VPIP: 17% | PFR: 15.3% | AGG: 26.7% | Hands: 1290]
BB ($25) [VPIP: 12.5% | PFR: 0% | AGG: 0% | Hands: 8]
HERO ($30.48) [VPIP: 28.5% | PFR: 23.5% | AGG: 37% | Flop Agg: 37.9% | Turn Agg: 35.1% | River Agg: 42.8% | 3Bet: 10.4% | 4Bet: 11.7% | Hands: 179672]
HJ ($30) [VPIP: 11.5% | PFR: 7.7% | AGG: 66.7% | Hands: 27]
CO ($33.82) [VPIP: 20.7% | PFR: 18% | AGG: 34.1% | Hands: 459]
Dealt to Hero: 7♦ 6♦
HERO Raises To $0.50, HJ Folds, CO Folds, BTN Raises To $1.55, SB Folds, BB Folds, HERO Calls $1.05
Hero SPR on Flop: [7.08 effective]
Flop ($3.45): 5♣ A♣ 9♥
HERO Checks, BTN Checks
Turn ($3.45): 5♣ A♣ 9♥ 8♠
HERO Checks, BTN Checks
River ($3.45): 5♣ A♣ 9♥ 8♠ 4♥
HERO Checks, BTN Bets $1.01 (Rem. Stack: $23.43), HERO Raises To $10.01 (Rem. Stack: $18.92)
Overbluffed
Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD 2 Poker HUD and Database Software
NL Holdem 0.25(BB)
BTN ($62.07) [VPIP: 30% | PFR: 28.3% | AGG: 35.7% | Flop Agg: 33.3% | Turn Agg: 11.1% | River Agg: 71.4% | 3Bet: 9.1% | 4Bet: 0% | Hands: 63]
SB ($47.42) [VPIP: 15.7% | PFR: 10.1% | AGG: 18% | Hands: 933]
HERO ($30.70) [VPIP: 28.5% | PFR: 23.4% | AGG: 37% | Flop Agg: 37.9% | Turn Agg: 35.1% | River Agg: 42.9% | 3Bet: 10.4% | 4Bet: 11.7% | Cold Call: 10.8% | Hands: 179924]
UTG ($25.76) [VPIP: 18.3% | PFR: 14.4% | AGG: 32% | Hands: 159]
HJ ($64.09) [VPIP: 17.4% | PFR: 15.1% | AGG: 45.7% | Hands: 312]
CO ($25.40) [VPIP: 20.8% | PFR: 17.9% | AGG: 40.4% | Hands: 2442]
Dealt to Hero: K♥ T♣
UTG Folds, HJ Folds, CO Folds, BTN Raises To $0.62, SB Folds, HERO Calls $0.37
Hero SPR on Flop: [22.45 effective]
Flop ($1.34): 2♠ T♥ 6♠
HERO Checks, BTN Checks
Turn ($1.34): 2♠ T♥ 6♠ 4♥
HERO Bets $1.78 (Rem. Stack: $28.30), BTN Calls $1.78 (Rem. Stack: $59.67)
River ($4.90): 2♠ T♥ 6♠ 4♥ 3♥
HERO Bets $0.55 (Rem. Stack: $27.75), BTN Raises To $59.67 (allin), HERO Calls $27.75 (allin)
Spoiler
BTN shows: Q♣ A♥
HERO wins: $58.50
Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD 2 Poker Tracking Software
NL Holdem 0.25(BB)
BTN ($30) [VPIP: 33.3% | PFR: 33.3% | AGG: 100% | Flop Agg: 100% | Turn Agg: 100% | River Agg: 100% | 3Bet: 50% | Fold to 3Bet: 0% | 4Bet: 0% | Hands: 3]
SB ($25.76) [VPIP: 19.4% | PFR: 16.1% | AGG: 33.3% | Hands: 31]
BB ($43.69) [VPIP: 21.2% | PFR: 18.7% | AGG: 40.5% | Hands: 986]
UTG ($22.99) [VPIP: 0% | PFR: 0% | AGG: 0% | Hands: 2]
HERO ($30) [VPIP: 28.5% | PFR: 23.4% | AGG: 37% | Flop Agg: 37.9% | Turn Agg: 35.1% | River Agg: 42.8% | 3Bet: 10.4% | 4Bet: 11.7% | Hands: 179937]
CO ($27.15) [VPIP: 28.9% | PFR: 16.7% | AGG: 29.8% | Hands: 117]
Dealt to Hero: Q♦ A♥
UTG Folds, HERO Raises To $0.50, CO Folds, BTN Raises To $1.50, SB Folds, BB Folds, HERO Calls $1
Hero SPR on Flop: [8.51 effective]
Flop ($3.35): 4♦ 5♠ T♦
HERO Checks, BTN Bets $2.39 (Rem. Stack: $26.11), HERO Calls $2.39 (Rem. Stack: $26.11)
Turn ($8.13): 4♦ 5♠ T♦ J♥
HERO Checks, BTN Bets $5.79 (Rem. Stack: $20.32), HERO Raises To $11.58 (Rem. Stack: $14.53), BTN Calls $5.79 (Rem. Stack: $14.53)
River ($31.29): 4♦ 5♠ T♦ J♥ Q♠
HERO Checks, BTN Bets $14.53 (allin), HERO Calls $14.53 (allin)
Spoiler
BTN shows: 7♦ 8♦
HERO wins: $57.35
OverbluffedHand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD 2 Poker HUD and Database SoftwareNL Holdem 0.25(BB)BTN ($62.07) [VPIP: 30% | PFR: 28.3% | AGG: 35.7% | Flop Agg: 33.3% | Turn Agg: 11.1% | River Agg: 71.4% | 3Bet: 9.1% | 4Bet: 0% | Hands: 63]SB ($47.42) [VPIP: 15.7% | PFR: 10.1% | AGG: 18% | Hands: 933]HERO ($30.70)
Video explaining this hand with MDA.
0EV spot but snap call
Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD 2 Poker Tracking Software
NL Holdem 0.50(BB)
HERO ($62.78) [VPIP: 28.5% | PFR: 23.4% | AGG: 37% | Flop Agg: 37.7% | Turn Agg: 35.1% | River Agg: 42.9% | 3Bet: 10.4% | 4Bet: 11.7% | Hands: 185455]
SB ($50) [VPIP: 29.2% | PFR: 21.5% | AGG: 45.8% | Flop Agg: 20% | Turn Agg: 44.4% | River Agg: 100% | 3Bet: 12.5% | Fold to 3Bet: 0% | 4Bet: 0% | Hands: 65]
BB ($56.90) [VPIP: 22.3% | PFR: 19.5% | AGG: 40% | Hands: 485]
UTG ($48.85) [VPIP: 29.9% | PFR: 20.6% | AGG: 35.5% | Hands: 699]
HJ ($89.91) [VPIP: 45% | PFR: 40% | AGG: 40% | Hands: 21]
CO ($52) [VPIP: 19.9% | PFR: 17.2% | AGG: 42.3% | Hands: 676]
Dealt to Hero: K♣ T♣
UTG Folds, HJ Folds, CO Folds, HERO Raises To $1.25, SB Raises To $6, BB Folds, HERO Calls $4.75
Hero SPR on Flop: [3.52 effective]
Flop ($12.50): A♣ 6♥ K♥
SB Checks, HERO Checks
Turn ($12.50): A♣ 6♥ K♥ 9♠
SB Checks, HERO Checks
River ($12.50): A♣ 6♥ K♥ 9♠ K♦
SB Bets $2.97 (Rem. Stack: $41.03), HERO Raises To $11.88 (Rem. Stack: $44.90), SB Raises To $44 (allin), HERO Calls $32.12 (Rem. Stack: $12.78)
Spoiler
SB shows: J♣ J♥
HERO wins: $97.50
Does SB believe you are value or bluff raising? It seems more like the latter and that they levelled themselves with the 25% river lead (i.e., induced and then rebluffed). I wonder, also, if SB checked river would you size small to induce?
Does SB believe you are value or bluff raising? It seems more like the latter and that they levelled themselves with the 25% river lead (i.e., induced and then rebluffed). I wonder, also, if SB checked river would you size small to induce?
Yeah it’s a cool spot. But if he thinks I am bluffing then SB can just call the raise.
I do like your idea of betting small to induce OTR because his range is high frequency TT-QQ if he checks river.
Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD 2 Poker Tracking Software
NL Holdem 0.25(BB)
BTN ($42.98) [VPIP: 29.4% | PFR: 5.9% | AGG: 46.2% | Hands: 18]
HERO ($26.36) [VPIP: 28.5% | PFR: 23.4% | AGG: 36.9% | Flop Agg: 37.7% | Turn Agg: 35.1% | River Agg: 42.9% | 3Bet: 10.4% | 4Bet: 11.7% | Hands: 185983]
BB ($25) [VPIP: 27.4% | PFR: 22.1% | AGG: 30% | Flop Agg: 30% | Turn Agg: 20.8% | River Agg: 47.1% | 3Bet: 10.6% | 4Bet: 12% | Hands: 557]
UTG ($30) [VPIP: 19.2% | PFR: 14.6% | AGG: 24.5% | Hands: 438]
HJ ($25.68) [VPIP: 19.8% | PFR: 17.4% | AGG: 24.2% | Hands: 623]
CO ($29.81) [VPIP: 20.6% | PFR: 16.9% | AGG: 37.2% | Hands: 785]
Dealt to Hero: Q♥ K♦
UTG Folds, HJ Folds, CO Folds, BTN Folds, HERO Calls $0.15, BB Raises To $1, HERO Calls $0.75
Hero SPR on Flop: [12 effective]
Flop ($2): Q♦ 5♠ J♥
HERO Checks, BB Bets $0.58 (Rem. Stack: $23.42), HERO Calls $0.58 (Rem. Stack: $24.78)
Turn ($3.16): Q♦ 5♠ J♥ 3♠
HERO Checks, BB Bets $3.85 (Rem. Stack: $19.57), HERO Calls $3.85 (Rem. Stack: $20.93)
River ($10.86): Q♦ 5♠ J♥ 3♠ 3♥
HERO Checks, BB Bets $19.57 (allin), HERO Calls $19.57 (Rem. Stack: $1.36)
Spoiler
BB shows: 9♠ K♠
HERO wins: $47.50
please fold Ax
Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD 2 Poker Tracking Software
NL Holdem 0.25(BB)
BTN ($25.80) [VPIP: 20.6% | PFR: 17% | AGG: 37.5% | Flop Agg: 36.9% | Turn Agg: 33.3% | River Agg: 45.7% | 3Bet: 8.3% | Fold to 3Bet: 87.1% | 4Bet: 0% | Hands: 800]
SB ($35.88) [VPIP: 20.7% | PFR: 15.5% | AGG: 33.1% | Hands: 548]
BB ($132.18) [VPIP: 34.4% | PFR: 24.6% | AGG: 48.6% | Hands: 64]
UTG ($54.40) [VPIP: 20.4% | PFR: 17% | AGG: 32.9% | Hands: 1456]
HERO ($31.51) [VPIP: 28.5% | PFR: 23.4% | AGG: 36.9% | Flop Agg: 37.7% | Turn Agg: 35.1% | River Agg: 43% | 3Bet: 10.4% | 4Bet: 11.7% | Hands: 186171]
CO ($31) [VPIP: 14.9% | PFR: 9.3% | AGG: 35.2% | Hands: 329]
Dealt to Hero: 8♦ 8♥
UTG Folds, HERO Raises To $0.50, CO Folds, BTN Raises To $1.61, SB Folds, BB Folds, HERO Calls $1.11
Hero SPR on Flop: [6.78 effective]
Flop ($3.57): T♠ 3♥ 2♠
HERO Checks, BTN Bets $0.89 (Rem. Stack: $23.30), HERO Calls $0.89 (Rem. Stack: $29.01)
Turn ($5.35): T♠ 3♥ 2♠ 5♠
HERO Checks, BTN Checks
River ($5.35): T♠ 3♥ 2♠ 5♠ 4♣
HERO Checks, BTN Bets $4.01 (Rem. Stack: $19.29), HERO Raises To $29.01 (allin), BTN Folds
Spoiler
HERO wins: $12.71
X river as a default
Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD 2 Poker HUD and Database Software
NL Holdem 2.00(BB)
BTN ($268.45) [VPIP: 18.5% | PFR: 16.7% | AGG: 28.6% | Flop Agg: 53.3% | Turn Agg: 15.4% | River Agg: 18.2% | 3Bet: 6.6% | 4Bet: 100% | Hands: 167]
SB ($219.71) [VPIP: 21.9% | PFR: 14.6% | AGG: 30.6% | Hands: 99]
HERO ($219.14) [VPIP: 28.5% | PFR: 23.3% | AGG: 36.8% | Flop Agg: 37.6% | Turn Agg: 35% | River Agg: 42.9% | 3Bet: 10.4% | 4Bet: 11.7% | Cold Call: 10.9% | Hands: 187575]
UTG ($211.51) [VPIP: 20.5% | PFR: 17.1% | AGG: 34.3% | Hands: 150]
HJ ($316.55) [VPIP: 16.7% | PFR: 10% | AGG: 0% | Hands: 31]
CO ($241) [VPIP: 17.4% | PFR: 13% | AGG: 63.6% | Hands: 71]
Dealt to Hero: A♠ 4♥
UTG Folds, HJ Folds, CO Folds, BTN Raises To $4.20, SB Folds, HERO Calls $2.20
Hero SPR on Flop: [22.87 effective]
Flop ($9.40): 4♠ 9♣ 7♥
HERO Checks, BTN Bets $7.05 (Rem. Stack: $257.20), HERO Calls $7.05 (Rem. Stack: $207.89)
Turn ($23.50): 4♠ 9♣ 7♥ A♣
HERO Checks, BTN Checks
River ($23.50): 4♠ 9♣ 7♥ A♣ T♠
HERO Checks, BTN Bets $17.62 (Rem. Stack: $239.58), HERO Raises To $75.19 (Rem. Stack: $132.70), BTN Calls $57.57 (Rem. Stack: $182.01)
Spoiler
BTN shows: A♦ 8♦
HERO wins: $170.88
Thoughts on BN's decision to turn thin value into bluff on river? Similar to a previous hand (i.e. trip Kx) when it's not clear what part of Hero's value-range folds (plus BN doesn't need to rebluff a perceived bluff with his weak TP). Seems like BN's placing too much emphasis on the nut-blocker.
Thoughts on BN's decision to turn thin value into bluff on river? Similar to a previous hand (i.e. trip Kx) when it's not clear what part of Hero's value-range folds (plus BN doesn't need to rebluff a perceived bluff with his weak TP). Seems like BN's placing too much emphasis on the nut-blocker.
BTN is value betting river.
Yep my bad 😞
X river as a default Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD 2 Poker HUD and Database SoftwareNL Holdem 2.00(BB)BTN ($268.45) [VPIP: 18.5% | PFR: 16.7% | AGG: 28.6% | Flop Agg: 53.3% | Turn Agg: 15.4% | River Agg: 18.2% | 3Bet: 6.6% | 4Bet: 100% | Hands: 167]SB ($219.71) [VPIP: 21.9% | PFR: 14.6% | AGG: 30.6% | Hands: 99]HERO ($219.14)
Going over this hand on the channel.
Good luck man with youe goals!
where is the chart showing winrate??
Have your expected winrate view changed after playing 100k+ hands at 25nl with 7-8bb/100? This is in line with what I would've guessed for someone crushing in todays games considering rake at those stakes. Or something like 8-13bb/100.
The image below is considering a true winrate of 20bb/100 but an observed winrate of 8bb/100 over 100k hands. I know this variance calculator is splitting opinions but anyway:
I'd go the following for some top % of players at every stake (a bit higher for awesome table selection and a bit lower for rush):
5NL: 18bb/100
10NL: 14bb/100
25NL: 10bb/100
50NL: 8bb/100
100NL: 6bb/100
200NL: 4bb/100
Have your expected winrate view changed after playing 100k+ hands at 25nl with 7-8bb/100? This is in line with what I would've guessed for someone crushing in todays games considering rake at those stakes. Or something like 8-13bb/100. The image below is considering a true winrate of 20bb/100 but an observed winrate of 8bb/100 over 100k hands. I know this variance calculator is
He moved from Ignition to ACR and is mainly playing blitz. His initial estimations were based on what was achievable playing Iggy a few years ago.
My new book on how to crush 2nl for 88.17bb/100 is due out soon. If you want a copy with discount lmk
ng! Yep, that’s exactly how it works. They call it compound learning™.
The more you buy the more you FLY (no refunds )
