A Stupid Little River Decision
1-3 NL...basic 8-handed, early afternoon limp-fest...5 limps to me and I check my BB with 85s...
QdQs7h2s (both flop and turn checked around)
River ($15ish after rake)
4s
I bet $5 with my flush...folds to a 30-something WG in LP with about $100 in front of him, who raises to $35(!?)
Fold, call, or shove?
6 Replies
I'm not jamming.
I would just fold, but I can understand if you called since maybe he was slow playing a queen (and didn't see the BDF).
Yeh, would assume in rough order 44, 77, or a big flush ... if villain is competent. We probably only have 44 as our best hand, maybe Q4 although turn check seems like it'd mostly be a bet.
Would still only call if V is bad enough to play QJ this way.
Fold or call. I probably just let it go, but it's really tempting to call. The pot is too small to bother, though. Fold and laugh it off as if you were trying to buy it.
Results:
Spoiler
After tanking for 30 seconds, I folded...and the Villain flips over QT and crows "Good fold."
In spots like this where you make an exploitatively tight fold based on a correct read, but villain doesn't calibrate hand strength properly its ok to just shrug it off.
Hero doesn't have a hand that wants to call too large bets, and importantly villain is unlikely to have a smaller flush.
Seeing a river and evaluating is still an option when Hero hand is underrepped and bet sizing is weak; so is block betting blank rivers.
