Nut flush draw and nut flush blocker
1/2 NL, I have about 300 and main villain covers. Some may have been shorter. 3 limps and SB completes. I raise to 15 in BB with AhQs, all limpers call except SB. Flop (55) Kh9h7h. I cbet 35, only CO last to act calls. Turn (125) 4c for Kh9h7h4c, I check, CO bets 25, I call. Maybe should have barreled with nut blocker won't get raised much. CO's size seemed small. River (175) was 7s for Kh9h7h4c7s. Should I bluff the river?
5 Replies
Smaller OTF. Turn can be a barrel or a check but when you check and he bets tiny - c/r
River is a bad bluff spot. You block his missed draws and your line looks weak with a River card that doesn’t change much. Not to mention we have some SDV.
I probably wouldn't cbet on this flop multiway. HU sure, but multiway, kind of lighting money on fire unless you plan to continue with aggression on future streets.
CO will have flushes/sets/2pairs/Kx/random st8/fd/combo draws and maybe some random 9x 7x w/1 hearts.
Instead of thinking about bluffing river, if you wanted to bluff you should've check/jam the turn. You have more fold equity and some equity w/fd.
Bluffing on river is suicidal, your range is capped after you check/called that small turn bet, you're trying to rep 7x or slowplayed nutted hands, which you shouldn't have that much in your range.
Raise bigger pre.
Check flop from OOP. I'd be looking to check raise here at a high frequency.
As played, barrel turn for 1/2 pot. When we check and he bets $25, I'd min-click it. We don't want to give up the betting lead going to the river.
Hard to say about the river with no reads. Either jam or check fold. Mostly just check fold, because bet-check-call-jam looks fishy AF and will get snapped by 2P+, and probably even just Kx.
Raise quite a bit more pre. This hand in particular, is happy to just take it down with no rake.
OTF, you can check or bet small. I lean to betting small.
Turn, I like a CR because of this small size, but call isn't terrible.
River, if you bluff, do it as a CR all in. You can have kk, 99. It's a somewhat funny line for you to take with the NF, but whatever. The one set you might worry about from him is 77. This is a pretty great spot to CR bluff if he bets on the smaller size, which I expect he would, having bet tiny on the turn.
Check-raising the river as a bluff holding a hand with no showdown value is generally going to be a mistake, because we lose when V checks back. We should check-raise with hands that can win when V checks-back, but can't win if V bets and we call, and ideally have some relevant blockers.
If we wanted to x/r-bluff here, it would be better to do it with combos that block some of V's stronger hands.
AhKd or AhKc, for example, have good showdown value when V checks back with Kx, block the nut flush, block K9, and also block K7dd/K7cc, making it much less likely V somehow gets here with a flopped 2P that runs into a boat.
