Online $4.40 near bubble
Curious about this one. About 130 players left out of 850 in a $4.40, 110 paid. I have about 9 BBs in the cutoff. UTG opens to 2.1 BBs off a 30 BB stack. Folds to me. I have 77.
In 10 minutes I'll be in the money. Should I fold till I get there (unless I get a premium) or go with this spot and jam?
If you would fold 77 here, what's your jamming range?
5 Replies
Seems pretty close. I think I fold 77 against UTG because their range will be relatively tight and we will have limited fold equity. I probably jam something like 88+, ATo+,KQo, KTs+,QJs. Solvers really like shoving suited aces in this sort of spot but I probably go with like A9s+ and A5s. That's my guess but we might want to shove wider because we're still a ways off from the bubble.
If I get a chance later maybe I will try to run the spot in HRC and see how close I was to what a solver would shove. Maybe I'll wait a while to get some other perspectives before posting if I solve it.
What sort of range were you thinking lifenit?
Depends in part on how short the shortest stacks are and where you rank. Might be a shove if you're near the bottom / under the cut line. On somewhere like Ignition, where there's a ton of stalling by micro stacks to get into the money, you might be like 90/130, in which case I'd pass.
GreatWhiteFish, I'd appreciate the run in HRC. I'm too cheap to pay for a solver and GTOwizard free version doesn't have any ICM-type features. As far as ranges I was thinking top 10% so 77+ AT+ KQs-ish. But really not sure. It's a slam dunk shove ITM but I don't know how to adjust for the financial dynamics of the spot.
Nath, I unfortunately don't remember but I don't think I was 10 off the bottom or anything that bad. The site was ACR. I was watching the eliminations progress and I could have folded into the money in about 10 minutes, though I would have had substantially less in chips.
Yeah what Nath said about the stack sizes mattering is true. Anyway I ran a rough approximation. This is cutoff response vs a 2.3 BB open from UTG. This is assuming an average stack size of 18.9 BB distributed randomly on other tables. 130 players remain and 110 players paid with a rounded version of a 10% payout structure.
Anyone that wants to try to predict the range type out your response before clicking below:
Spoiler
Yeah what Nath said about the stack sizes mattering is true. Anyway I ran a rough approximation. This is cutoff response vs a 2.3 BB open from UTG. This is assuming an average stack size of 18.9 BB distributed randomly on other tables. 130 players remain and 110 players paid with a rounded version of a 10% payout structure.Anyone that wants to try to predict the range type out
Not too surprising. Thought it might even be a little tighter, given that at a 2.3x open you have even less fold equity.
I wonder where the sim thinks you are in the standings, too. Since, again, 120/130 is quite different than 100/130 in this case.
Nath, I unfortunately don't remember but I don't think I was 10 off the bottom or anything that bad. The site was ACR. I was watching the eliminations progress and I could have folded into the money in about 10 minutes, though I would have had substantially less in chips.
Well, you would if you straight folded, but you don't necessarily need to do that. If you can fold to the money, though, I'd fold here. You want to avoid flips if that's the case, but I think you can still go with premiums or look for spots with real fold equity. You probably don't have any here, and that's bad because there's gonna be more hands you flip with than hands you dominate.
