Squeezed for apple juice pre, turn sucks
1/3 NLHE 9 handed
Table is a bunch of loose passives waiting for AA or KK, kind of sucks, zero to nil 3! going on. Most hands 4-6 ways.
V1 - older white guy plays probably 3BB/hr profitable, loose pre but sharpens up post. Doesn't get too creative or out of line and never runs huge bluffs. Cbets too wide. Called a 3-bet OOP from CO vs BTN earlier with 97o (that he opened). Covers. CO.
HH w/ V1, he opens in LP, I call BB with 56dd HU. Flop 8-7-3r check he bets pot, I call, turn A no BDFD, x he bets over pot, I fold he shows AKo.
V2 - loose passive doesnt know what a straddle is. 450$ BTN.
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V1 opens 10, V2 calls, we see A♠ J♠ and 3-bet SB to 50 off 500$, V1 calls, V2 folds.
Flop 110 - J♣ T♠ 7♣
H cbets 75, V1 calls
Turn 260 (375 back) - Q♥
H checks, V1 bets 75, H?
6 Replies
Pre- Fine
Flop - I can go either way leading or checking. If you are going to lead, I like the bigger size.
Turn - This isn't a terrible card for you. If V doesn't have it, it is going to be tough for him to call even a small bet. This should be led another $75 100% of the time. If you're way behind, you'll probably hear "all in" and can easily fold. If V has KQ or AQ we can push those hands off on the river. If he has a hand like KJ or KT we get one more street of value. If V doesn't raise us all-in, he doesn't have a nutted hand, so we can ship brick rivers. I'd rather have 1.5x+ pot behind but it's a $1/$3 game, and $300 on the river is a large bet for the game.
AP - kind of 50/50. The question is whether V would fold KQ to a jam. The problem is that if we had AK, checking the turn OOP with the FD out there doesn't make sense, so if V thinks about it we get called too wide. Leading tells the story "Hey, I was bluffing the flop but just binked the turn!" Which is exactly what you might do with AK, QQ, KQcc, AQcc for a milky size. A x/r doesn't make sense for your value, and if V is smart enough to realize it doesn't make sense will be inclined to snap you off. So if we give V credit for being decent, we probably shouldn't x/jam. If we call, we're just hoping the river x/x, and we win occasionally.
IMO this size from this player screams "monkey bet" and I would strongly consider xjamming turn for value. Think you can get called by a lot of draws and worse one pair hands.
I would also consider betting this card myself. You are going to have a ton of bluffs here and they all want to rep AK, so it makes sense to go thin for value.
Pre and flop are good. I probably just lead myself for ~$150. As played, call. Keep him in the hand. If we raise, it's pretty much all-in, and I don't want to own myself.
IMO this size from this player screams "monkey bet" and I would strongly consider xjamming turn for value. Think you can get called by a lot of draws and worse one pair hands.
I'm about here, although in flow I don't know if I can pull the trigger on a jam.
He's betting whatever he made it here with.
Makes sense. I think this spot, against this breed of low-stakes live fish, is an incredibly good place to XR for thin value. They love putting out this stupid turn bet to "buy a cheap showdown" or whatever. He is probably isn't bet-folding this hand, or any pair plus fd, and even if he is, you are winning a variance-free pot against a hand with real equity.
