AA facing 2.5x pot river jam in SRP
This hand was played on Clubs Poker at an 8-handed 50NL table against an unknown player who was new to the table. Villain started the hand with 86bb, so likely some kind of fish.
Hero opens UTG 2bb AcAd
Villain calls BTN
Blinds fold
Flop: Js9h7s (Pot: 5.5bb). Hero checks. Villain bets 2.8bb. Hero calls.
Turn: Js9h7s 5c (Pot: 11.1bb). Hero checks. Villain bets 8.3bb. Hero calls.
River: Js9h7s 5c 5d (Pot: 27.7bb). Hero checks. Villain jams 73.2bb. Hero?
9 Replies
I would raise more preflop and bet the flop. As played I would fold to river shove
I would play the hand the same way as you. As played, i also fold the river.
this board hits the ip caller very good so better strategy here is to check our range to keep it simple and dont leave our medium strenght hands unprotected. The board is very dynamic and alot of turns and rivers will be very good for ip so either way you need to check on most runouts on at least one street with your AA.
I like how you played the hand seems fine to me vs unknown. I think calling river would be a big punt vs random guy
this board hits the ip caller very good so better strategy here is to check our range to keep it simple and dont leave our medium strenght hands unprotected. The board is very dynamic and alot of turns and rivers will be very good for ip so either way you need to check on most runouts on at least one street with your AA.I like how you played the hand seems fine to me vs unknow
Cool, thanks for the feedback. I don't think it's a major spoiler to say that the result of this hand was that I folded and Villain did not show. Obviously I would have continued against basically any size that wasn't all-in.
I looked this hand up on GTO Wizard afterwards. GTOw is mixing fold and call with AA on the river, which makes sense to me. I think it is pretty hard for Villain to be bluffing as much as GTO, so folding makes sense.
At the same time, it feels like AA is the best hand I can have here? GTOw would trap flop and turn sometimes with 77 and J9, but I don't think I am doing that against random fish. I guess that maybe I should be doing that more often though? If I don't, the only hands that I can really call down with are A5ss or maybe 56ss if I decided to open that UTG.
Maybe it isn't a big deal to not have enough hands to call down with in this spot because random fish are almost never bluff jamming huge here. I put a note on this player and I will keep an eye on him in the future.
I looked this hand up on GTO Wizard afterwards. GTOw is mixing fold and call with AA on the river, which makes sense to me. I think it is pretty hard for Villain to be bluffing as much as GTO, so folding makes sense.
It's really hard to imagine a guy buying short that is now willing to 3x pot on the river lol, wp.
this board hits the ip caller very good so better strategy here is to check our range to keep it simple and dont leave our medium strenght hands unprotected. The board is very dynamic and alot of turns and rivers will be very good for ip so either way you need to check on most runouts on at least
Thanks, what do you mean by "don't leave our medium strangth hands unprotected"?
Looks like a perfectly okay line. AA has little reason to build the pot on J97ss out of position. It has less reason to bet than KK or QQ which at least gain a little from folding out Ax. Not holding the As makes this an automatic check for me.
AA probably shouldn't fold to any reasonable two barrel because they could easily be value betting worse hands like KJ, on top of having bluffs. Some people play 88, 98s etc. this way. It's not necessary to win every time because of pot odds. AA is drawing live against most hands yada yada
AA can a fold to crazy river overbet IMO because they're no longer repping Jx, or even J9/J7 generally. It's 5x or better, or a bluff. There's plenty of straights and boats they could reasonably have. Some 5x with the 5s perhaps. You're just not going to be shown a bluff the 45% of the time or whatever that's needed to break even. I would have to know someone is tilted to make this call with AA.
when you bet all your stronger hands construct your range in a way that your check call range contain only hands like weaker top pair hands , secondpairs , pockets with gutshot etc. its called capping your range.
When you do that villain can take advantage of it by barreling very aggressivly and he can also go wider for value for example if you always bet your AA KK QQ then villain can start tripple barreling his AJ for value and if can go wider for value he can also automaticly bluff more wich increases the overall ev of his entire range.
That beeing said this happens only if villain exploits us by attacking more etc. if this does not happen then betting your stronger hands becomes ok realy depends on your pool / villain.
Nl 50+ i think players will pick up on that and start exploiting you.
Also if you see someone else betting in this situations you can make a note and next time attack his checking range by thinner valuebetting and also more aggro bluffs
I think folding is fine because people seldom do 2.5x overbet jam river without really strong hand. If villain is a 90 VPIP maniac, then I would call.
Villain jam represent trip+, full house or air. I would like to call down with J9 more than AA, at least it blocks most value range