QJ88
1-2-5 PLO, 1K eff. Villain in utg is a decent lag.
Hero on btn with QJ88ss no spades.
Pre: V opens 15, hero calls, bb calls. 3 ways.
Flop (46) : AQ6sss
Checks around
Turn (46) : Qx
Checks around
River (46) : 8x
Check, V bets 25
Bet turn? Raise river?
7 Replies
I bet the turn/evaluate. As played, I just call. Might seem weak, but hard to believe worse is calling.
This hand acts much better as a bluff catcher on turn/river than it does a value hand
I bet the turn/evaluate. As played, I just call. Might seem weak, but hard to believe worse is calling.
We got the 3rd nuts in a single raised pot when he's not even repping any of the hands that beat you with a bet. Worse calls your raise often enough, as long as you're seen as balanced. If you're seen as a nit, I might just call.
I just can't imagine what he would call a raise with on this board? AKXX w/ spades? KKQX?
He's supposed to bet thin for value hear, because his range is weak. Our range is also weak because we've checked thrice. Therefore we're going to be popping lots of bluffs at him and if he folds all his thin value bluffcatchers he's getting exploited. If he folds a J flush here to our raise it looks like we're printing by raising wide. The fact we're very rarely beat is not enough on its own to justify raising, but he. Should be calling worse often enough.
Don't see a reason to bet the turn, it is WA/WB so you just get him to fold worse and continue with better, no need to push him off of worse hands because they all have such little equity against you.
I'd just have bet the river, I don't expect anyone to really check here twice then finally bet on the river unless it's like a very weak flush maybe. After checking, I'm certainly raising. I just can't really see at all how you're ever beat here. Even like AA we expect is going to bet the turn to get value from flushes and Qx. You have two 8s in your hand so anyone having A8 is very unlikely also.