2024 Fantasy Football Thread

JJM, Penix, AR, Milroe

CMC, Hampton, Monty, Warren, Shipley, Neal, Moss

JJ, Reek, Addison, Pittman, Pop, ADM

Jonnu, Goedert, Pitts

In a vaccuum, Milroe has more upside with his rushing, but I'm still probably taking Wilson over him to go with Reek/Jonnu.

Still a solid team.

I think that's probably reasonable, especially with Milroe's price. I don't have much of him, because he's still drafted in a range with a lot of either standalone or high upside backs + TEs/WRs you know will be running routes.

The upside backups in the 19th/20th have been easier for me to swallow potentially locking in 0s. Milroe probably has a slightly higher chance to be playing w15-17 than someone like Zach Wilson, but I'm not sure if that probability is enough of a difference for the cost differences. Especially when the top 3 QBs on the squad were all taken in the top 100, with one of them having a ton of uncertainty too.

You'd like to think Seattle would act rationally and see what they have in Milroe if they're way out of it by then, but I also wouldn't be surprised if they didn't think Milroe was ready and played Lock instead lol.

Milroes my highest owned sf player haha (35%)

I just think he’s pretty likely to play in the playoff weeks and most of my teams need upside at qb

When he does play , he plays a style that likely scores pts so I’m just willing to gamble on him. Plus he doesn’t really need to be stacked

I don't think Lock is ready. I do think Milroe is gonna be a thing by the end of the year. I don't think the Hawks are gonna be very good. Darnold is just destined to have a regression back to Darnold year.

Yeah, I won't argue against the upside. That's certainly what we are playing for.

But he was also a late 3rd round pick in a really weak QB class for a reason. I guess I think the probability we actually see him in the playoff weeks, and what they really means, is less than the market believes. If Milroe is playing w15-17, that also means Seattle is a likely dumpster fire and the coaches and FO could be on their way out too. That could also skew decision making.

Another disastrous scenario is that Darnold is either hurt or benched by something like week 10, Milroe plays for a few weeks, and it's so bad they go back to Darnold or Lock for the actual money weeks.

In sum, I'm light on Seattle as a whole haha. KW will probably be my highest drafted Hawks player at 8-10%.

It sounds like the worst case scenario for Fields last year. He got in there too early and was benched.

Milroe is a big time gut feeling guy form me this year. I can see him come in and go ballistic running the ball. Kind of like Lamar his first year. Considering he isn't always being drafted on UD I kind of like the bet in situations where I have two good but not great QB's already.

Seattle is one of the few teams I have bad vibes on this year. It seems a lot more teams got better than usual. Even the bad teams should be somewhat competitive.

Charb is the only Seahawk I want to be double the field on this year.

I hate Charb’s price and have a lot of trouble clicking him. I think he should be about 2 rounds cheaper, because he really hasn’t had much stand-alone value so far in his career. 12/13 turn is more reasonable than 10/11, imo. He started out at the 8/9 in the pre-draft contests and has slowly been dropping since.

He was 11/12 last year and got more expensive even though the bet is the same.

I’ve also read his style isn’t as good of a fit for Kubiak’s scheme. But I’m not sure on that.

Weird day where I mostly am on the opposite side of every player take as you, Heels

I like Charbs, I do somewhat agree that I’m not like trying to get 20% or anything at his price but I think the ceiling exists (t10 back without Walker) and I don’t think he’s a 0 when Walker plays. I have 13%, I’d rather be closer to 8-10%

Love, Stafford, Shough, Milroe

Bijan, Hampton, Monty, Brob, Warren, Giddens

Puka, AJB, Shaheed, Hollywood, Thielen, Atwell, Wicks

Kraft, Goedert, Chig

Haha, it's fun discourse!

It's not that I'm out completely. I have around 4% post-draft. I do like Najee, Mondre, and Tuten more. I think I still prefer Charbs to Javonte, since Javonte may just have no upside at all. I'm also taking a lot of TEs/QBs in his draft range, so that's part of the soft fade and why I wish he was 2 rounds cheaper.

Based on his first 2 seasons of usage, which could certainly change, I think he's more of a fantasy profile of guys like Ray Davis, Rachaad, Benson, Allgeier, etc. and think that's the draft range where he belongs.

He's played 25 games where KW was active. He's averaged 4.92 .5 PPR points in those games, with only 2 double digit scoring outputs at 11.1 for each. Both of those games were last season, and even if I only isolate for last season, his scoring output only increases to 5.47 .5 PPR points in games played with KW.

In 8 games without KW, he's averaged 16.25 .5 PPR points, with one nuclear game and one other really good game. That certainly creates upside opportunity, but I think it's an expensive thin bet where he needs KW to miss all or some of weeks 15-17 to actually pay off, assuming your team with Charbs even makes it there. He's still had 3/8 of those games with single digit scoring outputs. And then to top it off, we are worried about the offensive and team environment this season, which adds additional risk.

I'd rather just take the cheaper contingent guys, especially the ones who I think are on better offenses.

Schnouzer. Pick 2

My first dumb mistake of the draft season. I figured the one seat would go for Burrow. I decided to pull up Zay Flowers and then pair him with Hurts with my next pick in the 5th. Well! It worked, except I soon realized that Zay Flowers doesn't play for Philly. As a consolation they do correlate week 17.

Is this WR room strong enough to go only 6? I didn't intend to do it but that's how it worked out.

QB) Hurts, JJ, Shough

RB) JT, Warren, Charb, Benson, Ekeler, Lloyd

WR) JJ, Wilson, Flowers, Olave, Jeudy, Pittman

TE) Ferguson, Ertz, J Johnson

This is what I mean about player takes. This is good stuff. Thanks!

Hate to be the one to break it to you, but Philly doesn't play Baltimore in Week 17.

I don't see any issues with stopping at 6 WR on this team.

Hurts, TLaw, Dart

Harvey, Najee, ETN, Blue, Hill, Brooks

Puka, AJB, Adams, DK, Mooney, QJ, Palmer, Slayton, P. Washington

Kelce, Goedert

Once in a while I have a brain meltdown. It only lasted for the 4/5 turn but it did effect the direction of my team. Even my week 17 correlation wasn't correct.

It's a fragile RB room but certainly could work out. The rest of the team is very solid.

Both seem solid!

Thanks! I'm projected for the most points in both leagues, which doesn't mean a lot, but is nice to see.

What if drafting incredibly hungover is the secret to winning lol

Bryce, Tua, Milroe, Gabriel, Rattler

Jeanty, Chuba, Harvey, Tracy, Benson, Giddens

Chase, ARSB, Waddle, Godwin, Legette, Coker

Jonnu, Njoku, Sanders

Overall, I agree with jimmy. Looks good just drafting off of vibes! I'm not sure if you plan to do anymore, but a few adjustments I'd suggest, based on my understanding of the format which could certainly be wrong haha.

1. Even more stacking, especially for QBs like Geno and especially when you add him to a team with Lamar/Caleb. The bar for Geno to hit your lineup over those 2 is higher, outside of injury or bye situations, so you want to try to enhance it even more. Bowers was already gone, but I would have been chasing the other pieces. Add on Jakobi. Thornton/Tucker at the end over Austin/Lockett. Or Mostert near the end too. Or with Caleb, adding Kmet in the last round or second to last round. I have no shame ignoring ADP to an extent to complete stacks in SF, since ADP is not nearly as efficient in these contests compared to the 1QB.

With the SF spot, you want 2 offenses to be hitting your lineup every week, so you want to try to enhance that ceiling with stacking. The rushing QBs don't require quite as much, so having Andrews/Bateman with Lamar is a nice balance. But I generally try to aim for 2-4 stacking partners for every QB on my SF teams, if I can. Even if it's cheap pieces with uncertainty.

2. The RB room on team 2 is pretty light. Only needing to start 2 WRs plus hoping to have RB hit your regular flex more often than WR/TE, I generally draft heavier at RB compared to WR in SF compared to the 1QB start 3 WR format.

Hopefully these drafts can help warm you up for our SF redraft league later this summer haha.

Haha I hope so, most of my fast drafts I'm either drunk or hungover or both.

Overall, it looks pretty solid if the QBs come through.

Why isn't more time spent to discussing the bye week matchups of back up QB's? If you take Allen or Lamar wouldn't it make sense to try to get a second QB who has a great match up the week they are off? Or at minimum avoid a particularly bad matchup? We are looking for edges in this game would this not be one of them potentially? I get it it's hard to predict now what may necessarily be a good or bad match up. If our starting QB has a late bye week it seems we would want him playing in a warm place or dome. Wouldn't we want our backup to be in a game with a high over/under?

In theory, trying to target a projected higher scoring game to cover a bye probably adds a teeny tiny miniscule edge. But my push back would be:

1. My QB decisions are almost always dictated bye stacking partners and cost, especially for my 2nd and 3rd drafted QBs.

2. I don't want to be overweight any single QB combo. The same goes for TEs. I want a really nice mix of which QBs and TEs are paired with each other in my portfolio, since you're almost always drafting either 2 or 3 of each position. So even if I found a few QBs who I liked as bye week filler for Lamar, always drafting those few with Lamar just adds some extra risk that I don't think is worth material edge.

Most of the QB 2/3 types are going to project similarly each week, regardless of matchup.