Preflop AQs in the SB vs raise from SB
Anybody got any thoughts or advice on this hand: $30 turbo on GG, middle phase, still about 20m or so till end of late registration, maybe a bit less. I had already more or less doubled once and was at about 1,7 starting stack.
I suppose without any reads on opponent, this may have been wrongly played.
I guess my reasoning was: Often villain will fold, which would make it a net win. On a GTO chart this is a raise, but do I really want to raise to say 7 BB or so out of my 24BB stack?
I get this for UTG RFI range in my GTO chart:
66+,A2s+,K8s+,Q9s+,J9s+,T8s+,ATo+,KTo+,QJo
Versus this range I have 60% with AQs.
Any thoughts would be welcome.
Poker Hand #TM4720543012: Tournament #214002066, Sunday Turbo $30 Hold'em No Limit - Level11(350/700) - 2025/06/29 12:14:38
Table '4' 8-max Seat #4 is the button
Seat 2: 1e65bd84 (12,771 in chips)
Seat 3: 27e171e2 (12,708 in chips)
Seat 4: 5cd18a46 (11,121 in chips)
Seat 5: Hero (17,300 in chips)
Seat 6: ebce98c2 (8,544 in chips)
Seat 7: 8c44ad7b (25,025 in chips)
Seat 8: 9996d46c (11,560 in chips)
8c44ad7b: posts the ante 85
1e65bd84: posts the ante 85
5cd18a46: posts the ante 85
Hero: posts the ante 85
9996d46c: posts the ante 85
27e171e2: posts the ante 85
ebce98c2: posts the ante 85
Hero: posts small blind 350
ebce98c2: posts big blind 700
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to 1e65bd84
Dealt to 27e171e2
Dealt to 5cd18a46
Dealt to Hero [Ah Qh]
Dealt to ebce98c2
Dealt to 8c44ad7b
Dealt to 9996d46c
8c44ad7b: raises 700 to 1,400
9996d46c: folds
1e65bd84: folds
27e171e2: folds
5cd18a46: folds
Hero: raises 15,815 to 17,215 and is all-in
ebce98c2: folds
8c44ad7b: calls 15,815
Hero: shows [Ah Qh]
8c44ad7b: shows [Jc Jh]
*** FLOP *** [6c 7h Jd]
*** TURN *** [6c 7h Jd] [8c]
*** RIVER *** [6c 7h Jd 8c] [Ks]
*** SHOWDOWN ***
8c44ad7b collected 35,725 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 35,725 | Rake 0 | Jackpot 0 | Bingo 0 | Fortune 0 | Tax 0
Board [6c 7h Jd 8c Ks]
Seat 2: 1e65bd84 folded before Flop
Seat 3: 27e171e2 folded before Flop
Seat 4: 5cd18a46 (button) folded before Flop
Seat 5: Hero (small blind) showed [Ah Qh] and lost with Ace high
Seat 6: ebce98c2 (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 7: 8c44ad7b showed [Jc Jh] and won (35,725) with three of a kind, Jacks
Seat 8: 9996d46c folded before Flop
5 Replies
Fully fine / standard. You don't always win the hand when you make the right play.
Thanks for the affirming words. With hindsight I guess it is more a mental game issue than anything (about doubting myself when things don’t go my way)
Nothing else to do here to me - for doing anything but shoving you are too short.
You consider 3betting to 7BB here - what do you want to achieve? All it does is villain can flat you and you have a bad spot OOP. GTO may say 3b to 7BB (does it? I can't imagine this really is good), but most likely villain will also not open the correct range, which also alters the GTO output.
I agree that the jam seems fine. If I perceive the initial open to be overly tight (which is relatively common from this position) then I might just flat.
The non-all-in three bet you said the solver prefers is kind of predicated on inducing 4-bet bluff jams from hands like ace-x that you dominate. This is pretty unlikely from most human opponents so I prefer just jamming or calling with your hand.
Let me gues, as your replies indicate that youre a decent guy, you played this $30 with a bankroll of like $100? Also if you jam, get called with a pair, have two overcards, suited and possibily forming a straight (not further Apart than 5 "places" from each other), then you cant wish for any better odds. You could question this scenario when called by AK or QQ, cause your odds vs AQ fall dramatically then (more than twice). This was just an unpleasant cooler, he didnt need that set to hold, i guess thats what triggered you. Going further - getting called here with KK or AA is just life.
