"AQ vs BTN triple barrel — did I fold too tight on river?"
Hi, is this fold to tight?
I have no clue why I folded this one...
Just had a spontaneus feeling of villains timing, he just bet to fast into this board.
I could not at the time put him on any specific hand the maybe a flush draw or the A3s or maybe 54s that he bluffed me on the river.
Is he betting a Ax here?
What you guys think, i'm so confused in this spot.
/Appreace the feedback - lifeisariver
GG Poker - $0.02 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
Hero (MP): 147 BB
CO: 23.5 BB (VPIP: 12.50, PFR: 3.13, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 34)
BTN: 78.5 BB (VPIP: 31.43, PFR: 17.14, 3Bet Preflop: 8.33, Hands: 36)
SB: 100 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 2)
BB: 112.5 BB (VPIP: 42.86, PFR: 34.29, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 36)
UTG: 109.5 BB (VPIP: 31.25, PFR: 6.25, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 16)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A♠ Q♠
fold, Hero raises to 2.5 BB, fold, BTN calls 2.5 BB, SB calls 2 BB, BB calls 1.5 BB
Flop: (10 BB, 4 players) 3♥ 3♦ A♥
SB checks, BB checks, Hero checks, BTN bets 4.5 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 4.5 BB
Turn: (19 BB, 2 players) 5♥
Hero checks, BTN bets 15 BB, Hero calls 15 BB
River: (49 BB, 2 players) 9♠
Hero checks, BTN bets 56.5 BB and is all-in, fold
BTN wins 46 BB
4 Replies
I would XR flop vs BTN or bet myself 1/3.
But as played fold is right imo (I would need confirmed read that he overvalues Ax to call). Also think turn is close to fold but not sure.
Vilain's value bet combos river are:
33: Reasonable to expact a 31.43 vpip player to have that
A3s: A 8.33 3bet player would probably 3bet that at least half the time preflop
A5s: A 8.33 3bet player would probably 3bet that at least 75% of the time preflop
A9s: Turn bet would probably not been as big with that
AK: A 8.33 3bet player would probably 3bet that almost always
99-55: Hard to expect someone to bet into 4 people, 2 of which checked to the preflop raiser, with those
AQ: A 8.33 3bet player would probably 3bet that at least 75% of the time preflop
AJ: Unlikely to bet river with those, but might after a flop check
Overall, there are 1 combo of 33, 1 combo of A3s, 2 combos of A5s, MAYBE 2 combos of A9s, and way more AQ and AJ. I think this is just a call
indeed, easy fold turn and river
