[Live 1/2] 99 vs AQ — Did I misplay any street or just a cooler?

Seems fine. Don’t post results.

Your flop bet is pretty small, which is fine. So I think you have to expect a lot of lighter calls. Therefore I think you can bet the turn as well, rather than let them realize.

I think 88 and 77 probably call the turn as well when such a good card hits. That $125 sizing is nice for your turn bet.

I am not a fan of the small flop bet. Enables them to float with anything. I also don't like the check on the turn, but I understand it. If I bet that small on the flop, I wouldn't check the turn. He shouldn't be too strong here, and out hand is vulnerable.

I like the way you played the hand. I mean, you don't expect AQ to fold to a small cbet in a 3bet pot at this stack depth. What interests me is what rivers you would x-call? Do you fold to a J, Q or K? What about a repeat T and villain bets large? Any low ♠ and he bets half-pot?

Once he checks back turn, I’m thinking he has a lot of AK/AQ so x/calling any non A/K/Q rivers.

True, maybe $90-100 is probably better. Because then if he calls, we can safely eliminate a lot of AK/AQ (maybe).

I would never 3bet an UTG raise with 99 unless UTG is specifically very loose, but maybe that just means I don't squeeze enough? But you're not really even ahead of an UTG opening range, let alone of an open-call range, so you're quite likely to play a big pot out of position vs. probably two overcards. Is this better than just set-mining / occasionally being aggressive multiway if you get low cards?

You're also getting the two bad players out of the pot and playing only against the shark.

This. I've told you this many times. Please stop including results in either your OP or your thread titles. Wait until discussion dies down or at least 24 hours.

id rather just call pre than bloat the pot OOP with 99 vs a strong range. same with TT. i probably 3b JJ but i wouldnt hate just calling with that too.

being OOP really sucks alot in NL.

is this a full table? Probably won't squeeze this to a full table UTG raiser - calling does have advantages for the times when you make a set and keep people in. Think I'd size the c-bet larger - the problem with smaller c-bets is the villain should in theory call wider so I'm not really sure what to make of his range on the turn. Turn check looks good - river I'd x/f as well.

I’m calling OOP with 99, but the squeeze is a strong play. As played, I would get much more aggressive on flop and turn as ten high is a good flop for this hand. 99 is stronger than you think and better than 95% of possible hands. When you asked, I think you realized flop sizing & turn checking was a mistake. But let’s be clear, it’s much easier to analyze after the fact.

They always talk about folding out ace high with early aggression, but villain hung in there & caught the river ace. Villain was given mixed messages. Preflop you said I’m strong, but postflop play said I’m not that strong anymore. A pot-sized bet on flop or turn takes this down every time.

I get that you have to credit him with strength for calling the squeeze, but I don’t think you shut down until you meet resistance. Villain was able to check with nothing on the turn and then river the win.

After reviewing this, I like your squeeze better than my call here. It represents a strong range & with continued aggression will win often.

Pre: From BB I might just call and see the flop cheaply but I don't hate the squeeze. I am 100% squeezing from the SB though.

Flop: Looks fine to me.

Turn: I might have bet again on the turn but check and giving up is fine too. If I am betting turn I am betting turn to set up a river jam. But I am only doing this if I think the Villain is capable of folding top pair here.

River: Yeah fold is alright, don't think we beat any value hands here.

Grunch:

PRE - the 3B seems a tad small, but otherwise this seems fine.

We could also just flat call to set mine or bluff catch. When we 3B with 99, we're going to be lost post flop a lot.

FLOP - either check or c-bet larger. I prefer to just check.

TURN - this is why I prefer to check or bet large on the flop. We're kind of lost here.

If we checked flop, we could make a large delayed c-bet. If we bet big, we might go for a check raise or a double barrel.

As played, I don't think V has much 6x, though neither do we. We could turn our hand into a bluff by bombing it, but we're probably only folding out weak TX, which really shouldn't make up much of V's range.

RIVER - check-fold seems like the only play, unless we have a read that V will fold AX if we rep 6x or a flush by check raising.

Overall I think our bet sizing pre and on the flop is giving V too good a price to call and play the hand IP.