1/2, $550 eff: KK facing x/minraise on 865ddx
Live 1/2 (with $10 straddle), ~$550 eff stacks
Villain is a loose-aggressive reg who opens a wide range even from early positions and is slightly tilted/playing every hand trying to win his money back after his AA got cracked earlier. I have a super tight image at the table.
Preflop: 6-handed
UTG Straddle is on ($10).
Villain opens to $30 from early position.
I 3-bet to $100 right on his left with KhKs.
Everyone else folds, villain calls.
Pot: $210
Flop: 8♦6♦5♣
Villain checks.
I c-bet $100.
Villain min-raises to $200, leaving himself $250 behind.
This seems ultra-strong since my range looks so overpair heavy and he’s essentially saying he’s all in with the min click.
I’m in a weird spot — he’s never folding if I jam, so I’m only getting called by hands that likely have me crushed (sets, straights, two pair or high equity draws). This guy can def show up with some flush draws or pair+draw type hands.
Still, my hand felt super face-up as an overpair, and his line felt insanely strong — min-raising me on a coordinated board after I 3-bet pre and c-bet.
Also, curious — would you ever check back flop here to pot control or balance? Or use a larger c-bet sizing?
What’s your play here and why? Jam? Call? Fold?
8 Replies
Jam flop. You don’t balance versus weak competition so we are always taking the highest EV lines in a vacuum.
SPR is too low to fold here so just jam as played. You don’t need much equity to jam profitably.
You only need 350/1100 and you definitely have that.
This is a really tough problem
Normally this board gives villain range advantage & nut advantage, but I’m not so sure since he opened & check-raised. He would definitely do this with QQ and AA, but not sure about AK or JJ. It’s possible he has AA and doesn’t want it cracked again.
He might have flopped a set, but I think that’s less likely. So, I don’t know what to do either. If I was there, I’d probably have a read. It occurs to me re-reading his description that he might think with enough pressure he can run this nit off a hand.
If I make up my mind I’m not ever folding, I just call here and see what happens.
I’m really interested in the reasoning behind a fold, it just seems extreme, though I’m not sure you will win.
Clear jam. Folding here would be really bad IMO. SPR is just over 2 so you are committed with an overpair. Villain can take this line with worse overpairs and flush draws. He really shouldn't have 2 pair or sets, but he probably does. It doesn't matter though. A tilted LAG Villain can have an airball bluff here, trying to get you off AK. Pair plus draw (77, 87s) makes some sense too.
Keep in mind you are playing 55bb deep after the $10 straddle. You are supposed to go broke with KK here at this depth.
Easiest jam ever.
When spr is so low any 2 over cards might even be good here.
Effect of straddle here is interesting. Bottom line I think I’m stuffing it here all day and living with it. But being 55 straddles deep vs. 275 BB deep does affect my thought process.
Can't really get away from it here. Villain range should not connect particularly well with that board given the action, plus hero unblocks diamonds.
If villain is weaker player he also finds this play with all sorts of random 1p combinations and worse overpairs.
Clear jam. Folding here would be really bad IMO. SPR is just over 2 so you are committed with an overpair. Villain can take this line with worse overpairs and flush draws. He really shouldn't have 2 pair or sets, but he probably does. It doesn't matter though. A tilted LAG Villain can have an airball bluff here, trying to get you off AK. Pair plus draw (77, 87s) makes some sens
Exactly this.
