$25 NHE MTT early stage AQ UTG facing shove from MP1
We are playing a $25 $40k GTD NHE MTT and we are in the early stages.
Villain is UTG with AQs and has 179.3 BB. Villain is in MP1 and has 41.2 BB.
Villain raises 2.2BB it folds to villain in MP1 and he shoves. It folds back to hero.
Villain opens about 40% of the hands. So my thinking is that hero is ahead of villain at least 75% of the time. His range I guess is pockets of 77+, all suited aces and a lot of suited connectors.
Should hero call or fold?
4 Replies
If you are correct on your ranging (are you really including KK+ in the shove range?), I think it's an easy call with no ICM.
I'm confused, are you villain in UTG or are there two villains?
I think Hero was UTG and possibly thinks of himself as a Villain...
I just tried to post a response here but my computer is now having difficulties logging in and posting...
My opinion here is that Villain will also be always jamming with AK. So the overall % of being ahead of Villain will be more like 55% than 75%. But even that % makes it an easy call given your opinion.
However, I think most people will be jamming here with hands like AK/JJ/TT/QQ and would 3-bet light with SC's and AXs and AA/KK type hands because you are opening from UTG and because they have over 40 bb's. I also think that people will be jamming a lot more with JJ/TT/QQ than 77/88/99 because they can go set mining with those hands. So from my perspective its a fold.
The thing is, if what you saw Villain do was 3-bet wide against EP raises then you are probably right about his range and the call is good. This happened to me in the WSOP Main event on Day 2 (years ago) when a guy who opened wide and often in UTG raised and the BTN who had 3-bet wide against EP raises 3-bet and I 4-bet jammed in the BB with JJ and close to 70,000 chips. UTG folded and BTN tanked and called with AK and about 120,000 chips but I think if he had AQ he would have folded (and yes I got knocked out when an A or K came on the turn)
We are playing a $25 $40k GTD NHE MTT and we are in the early stages.Villain is UTG with AQs and has 179.3 BB. Villain is in MP1 and has 41.2 BB.Villain raises 2.2BB it folds to villain in MP1 and he shoves. It folds back to hero.Villain opens about 40% of the hands. So my thinking is that hero is ahead of villain at least 75% of the time. His range I guess is pockets of 77+, a
What about other stacks and an agv stack at the moment?
