River vs capped range???

Why do you believe Villain's range is capped on the river?

In addition, this board hits his range harder than it hits yours.

turn is fine, and im just giving up after he calls that size bet OTT. he has plenty of Kx that isnt folding.

flop could go either way; he has sets here with decent frequency and it sucks getting CR'd off your equity. a decent tag will also CR this flop with high spades sometimes. i think id rather range bet with like AJ-AK where i dont care if i get CRd. obv if the guy has any awareness you have check flop back sometimes with overpairs for balance.

id consider flatting pre if the blinds are loose and bad, id rather go 3 way in position w/a bad player than HU vs TAG with a range that beats my hand. its always fun to play in position vs a tight range because you can attack so many boards postflop.

I’m going to Pot the flop, or at least bet 75. I think you lose the story of strength, betting so small. If you did bet bigger, I think it’s likely villain folds. If you don’t want to bet big, I think a check is fine, but you picked the worst option. This board favors his range, I think you capped your own self with the little flop bet.

At no point in this hand do I feel like villain caps his range, other than AA & KK which seem unlikely. No matter what happens on the flop, if villain is still around, I’m checking back the turn. It’s here that I realize that with pot control, you could have arrived at the river with very little at risk, just by checking back.

As played, I think you are very unlikely to force a fold. You might have got one on the flop, but villain turn call is a king or better. I don’t think a TAG player calls that bet with a draw. There’s an outside chance you make him fold a weak king, but I think it’s slim. Blank river changes nothing.

You gave mixed signals: 3Bet looks strong, flop bet looks weak. I think you must make a decision early to either check it down, or play it like you got it. My style is to bet hard early streets to see what’s up, then continue on the late streets only with a big hand.

What happened here is what I try to avoid at all costs. You put a lot of money in the pot with nothing against a strong player. I don’t think you should put in more.

Range-betting 1/3 pot as the PF 3-bet aggressor is pretty standard, especially when the flop favors the opponent. In fact, the solver mostly likes either checking or making a 1/3 bet.

Routinely blasting off on flops like this is a leak.

Regs underfold these lines as they’re leveraged: bet too big on the turn and don’t bluff rivers without good reason as a exploit.

Against a straightforward TAG raising in EP, I'm not so sure I like our 3bet preflop. If there is a huge fish in the blinds i might prefer a call to invite them along. If everyone behind ain't fishy I might just make a nitty fold here, although I'm not going to hate on a call.

Think I'm fine with our postflop play to the river. A flop cbet will often get bigger Ax to fold. Turn card smashes our AK so we can apply some pressure to pairs plus we've picked up equity.

Reads suggest this guy doesn't have a nuttish hand (which we'd usually hear about on the turn). Him not block betting the river also suggests he might not have AK/etc. I think I don't mind going for it here.

GcluelessNLnoobG

clear jam, probably worth something like 20-25bb even with the bdfd blockers

Villain has two overcards, a gutter ball, a BDFD...and you bet 1/3 pot. Folding would seem pretty bad, especially since this isn't a good flop for a PF 3-better.

id never fold this flop to a 1/3 pot size bet with AK when most decent players range bet 100% here.

id only fold if you bet bigger and id pegged you as as guy who only has overpairs in his range with this action.

What about shoving turn? You need folds about 2/3 of the time, which I think you get

Not that I'd be able to pull it off in game, but it's interesting