$2/5 - Preflop decision ?
$2/5 - Preflop decision ?

$2/5 - Preflop decision ?

PBT Link: https://pokerbankrolltracker.net/replaye...

9 players

PREFLOP: BU's Mississippi (Chinese LAG) 50/25

SB Fold
Hero in BB with 7:diamonds:7:hearts:: calls $15
UTG Villain: calls $15 (stack $452)
MP raises $67 (stack ~$800)
Everyone calls except SB (4 players)
Hero calls (pot $350) (now 5 players)
UTG who called $15 now raises all in $437.

Everyone folds to Hero.
Hero's decision 77? (Stack $1000)

Villain is a pretty serious player but not pro, his call of 15 and then all-in for 437 doesn't make any sense. To me, he always has hands like AT, PP, JQ, etc. 10% of the time AA.

HΓ©ro ?

11 August 2025 at 08:02 AM
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16 Replies



You shouldve shipped yourself when action got back to you

calling is probably losing ev

folding is better than calling probably


Yeah, I'd consider shipping too though $800 is a little too deep for that in a lot of cases. Depends on the player.

Once it is HU I think this is an easy call. We're getting about 2-1 (I guess the shipper called 67 and shipped for 437 more?).

Also, he called after you limped so I think the chances of him having an super premium are lower than if he limped first in.


by d2893d m

PBT Link: https://pokerbankrolltracker.net/replaye...9 playersPREFLOP: BU's Mississippi (Chinese LAG) 50/25SB FoldHero in BB with 7:diamonds:7:hearts:: calls $15UTG Villain: calls $15 (stack $452)MP raises $67 (stack ~$800)Everyone calls except SB (4 players)Hero calls (pot $350) (now 5 players)UTG who called $15 now raises all in $437.Everyone folds to Hero.Hero's decisio

Was a raise behind him likely here, by one of the players or button, If so then slow playing big hand makes sense.

Even if that's not true the price is way too high to find out. Hard to think we're anything better than in a race, and a lot of the time way behind to a higher PP.


You have to factor in that V is in an absolute dream spot to shove light.

The pot is huge. He is closing the action. He has enough to put pressure on others, but not enough that it's a huge risk.

Depends on the player but wouldn't be surprised to see worse pairs, suited aces wheels or hands like JTs.


This is a great spot to shove a bit light ... but it's also, from the game description (LAG on BTN straddle), a great spot with AA to call and ship it vs. expected action. I would be playing all my good hands this way roughly 100% of the time, so I think your 10% is likely low. Not that he can't have ATs/QJs/whatever but if top 5% is doing this then he either needs to be splitting his range or have an absurdly large one.

Hero is in a terrible spot, folding both times is probably best for the same reasons V might be calling to shove.


Win Rate
Against 4 other players AA is not in good shape, so 77 doesn’t do well.

Exploit
But the real consideration here is does villain realize the SPR, the chance to double up, and would he do this with a subpar hand.

Dilemma
You need several players to pay you off set-mining, but the more players, the less chance your hand will win.

Opinion
You have to get in cheap (or bluff, play them like aces) so I would have folded to the $67 raise - just don’t think you win often enough. Too many overcards, hoping for a flip, but cooked if he has 99.

Calling an all-in is usually bad business. What if you’re right, he has AT and flops a ten. Sure, you could win, but putting in $500+ with a little pair before the flop seems wild.


Just fold 77. Not close.


by dangomango m

You shouldve shipped yourself when action got back to you

calling is probably losing ev

folding is better than calling probably

The plan was that : if BB calls, there are 6 of us who see a flop, the pot is big and if I find a 7 on the flop I would find a way to put everything in the middle at the river (or before). I don't see BB super strong because he calls the mississipi of $15 fast and with and pretty sure with a premium he would raise 90% of the time.

I reveal the villain's hand tomorrow πŸ˜€.


by ES2 m

Yeah, I'd consider shipping too though $800 is a little too deep for that in a lot of cases. Depends on the player.

Once it is HU I think this is an easy call. We're getting about 2-1 (I guess the shipper called 67 and shipped for 437 more?).

Also, he called after you limped so I think the chances of him having an super premium are lower than if he limped first in.

That's exactly my reflection, to me he never limp with a premium. I've some data on him, it's not a nit but a premium UTG he doesn't limp.

I reveal the villain's hand tomorrow.


by illiterat m

This is a great spot to shove a bit light ... but it's also, from the game description (LAG on BTN straddle), a great spot with AA to call and ship it vs. expected action. I would be playing all my good hands this way roughly 100% of the time, so I think your 10% is likely low. Not that he can't have ATs/QJs/whatever but if top 5% is doing this then he either needs to be splitt

You're right; in theory, I would fold 77. But in that situation, I tanked for five minutes, and after a while, the villain started talking to me. I could sense in his voice that he wanted me to fold, it's not a 100% tell ok. Plus, I realized it was a great spot for him to push everyone to fold, avoid seeing a flop, and double up.


by FreeCard m

Win RateAgainst 4 other players AA is not in good shape, so 77 doesn’t do well.Exploit But the real consideration here is does villain realize the SPR, the chance to double up, and would he do this with a subpar hand.DilemmaYou need several players to pay you off set-mining, but the more players, the less chance your hand will win.OpinionYou have to get in cheap (or bluff, play

I think in this situation (based on my reflection before seeing the hand of vilain), the villain just wanted to shove and make everyone fold to dubble up preflop.


im raising pre over the sb limp (you have sb calling pre in the replayer but folding in your write up). either way limp or fold from sb, im opening to 45ish (with only the 15 straddle in the pot) or more if there's other dead money.

as played i have no idea


Okay guys so for the answer, I called villain's shove.

BOARD J️3️5️6️4️.

Villain shows T️6️.

As most of you said I think it would be better to raise PF like ~60$ to not be in this situation.


Well with T6 in his range looks like a fist pump call. I'm sure that changes that your read on him. Not sure if the flat or the shove is worse with his hand


by hitchens97 m

Was a raise behind him likely here, by one of the players or button, If so then slow playing big hand makes sense.

Even if that's not true the price is way too high to find out. Hard to think we're anything better than in a race, and a lot of the time way behind to a higher PP.

/thread


I don't make the call, nor do I think it's correct unless I knew this hand was in his range, but well done πŸ˜‰

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