1/2, $650 deep: AKo facing 5b
6-handed
UTG LAG ($1400) opens $12, UTG1 �� ($900) calls, V (BTN, $1100) makes it $75, Hero (SB, $650) 4! $175, folds back to V who 5! to $400…
V is a nitty ish weekend grinder.. he has run up a stack by coolering KK twice vs AA in the last hour for all ins preflop..
I expect him to flat the 4! here with all his QQ, I also block AA/KK..
He’s also a friendly guy who’s been letting me sweat his hands etc. so this is super unlikely to be a bluff..
Should I just let this one go?
Anything to pick on the sizing? Would he really click back to $400 with AA/KK leaving $250 eff behind when he can either just flat in position to trap, or jam to look weaker?
14 Replies
Yeah, seems like a straight-forward fold. I'm not reading anything into the sizing.
Pretty sure at 1-2 vs an average rec this is mostly AA. I would fold kings here.
Pretty easy fold. Sizing from this guy is never a bluff. I guess he has AKs or KK sometimes and he’s not clicking it back like this with QQ. Looks like purely AA (hell I don't even recall ever seeing a 5bet pre at these stakes).
Overall, 4b sizing is fine, maybe a touch bigger ($200+). Against this V, AKo is a clear muck.
I think that this is a mandatory 4bet and the snappiest of snap folds when he repops you. If a nitty grinder shows you A5s after a 5bet, then nice hand sir and move on.
Fold. Don't listen to deuceblocker saying not to 4bet.
Easy fold as played but should we 4b or not 4b is more important. On one hand 4bing we're at the bottom of our perceived range but we are protecting our equity - calling doesn't protect our equity but we're now heavily disguised and can make a lot of money on Axx/Kxx boards. Think I prefer to call the 3b in most games unless you can build a 4b range that's much wider but that's not realistic in most live low stake games.
I mean, everything in poker is probabilistic. We're folding here because most players don't do this with AK, that doesn't mean that no one does. A raise on the River from a weak player is almost always the nuts, except for the 5% of the times that it's not; that doesn't make it wrong to fold in those 5%.
"Nice hand sir" and move on.
Make a mental note because there are zero nitregs that 5bet shove AKo 325bb effective, unless he thinks you are a legit lunatic.
Do some EV calculations assuming his range is AK/AA and then KK+/AK. You may be in the spot again with him and need to know what you're going to do and why - I would have folded KK with these reads without this hand so there's something to consider for the future.
This. No one at 1/2 who could be described as even a bit nitty does this with less than KK. And given that the 5-bet wasn't AI (even this deep), it's almost always AA.
If he decided to use his image and friendly history to get nuts in one of the few hands when he has position on you, good on him.
Ane OP, you have been warned and infracted about posting results. No results until discussion dies down, or at least 24 hours after the OP, WHICHEVER IS LONGER.
