Marginal hand + marginal draws
Marginal hand + marginal draws

Marginal hand + marginal draws


This is a SRP, flop checked through.

On the turn, I have a marginal made hand, marginal flush draw, and OESD. If I bet, what am I trying to get value from? I'm likely an equity favorite, but if I get raised, I could be in really bad shape. Should I continue to slow play since I block so many draws?

As played I B50, and BB called


Block betting the river is arguably very foolish, because I just have a J-high flush on a paired board. However, now I'm in a weird spot where idk if I somehow induced a bluff raise. How often does population x/r the river with a better hand?

28 August 2025 at 11:10 AM
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3 Replies



This hand isn't really the same, but it feels a little similar.


SRP. Flop: B66; call.

Turn: Phil has bottom set, top 2, and marginal FD. He almost certainly has the best hand, but at the same time, he blocks most hands that can call. Does it ever make sense to check-back and play rivers, or is he just pushing too much equity?


1st hand: Don't mind flop either way but I would lean toward cbetting with argument of not blocking KK or high FD combos. Plus both villains being shorter stacked indicates recreational players. Overall equity is still ok versus most stuff with FD and bdsd shinegans.

Turn it's pretty rare to get raised so I would not be that worried about it. We block stuff but can also get value with small sizing. 1/3-1/2 pot is ok.

River clear check. Also as side note I would be careful with these kind of sizings in position. E.g. is such small bet worth it to open possibility of x-r?

2nd hand: This is super clear pot on turn. There is really no hand that should check in position as trap on such draw heavy board. His hand also literally unblock all of the half a million straight draws available.


by GhaleonK m

1st hand: Don't mind flop either way but I would lean toward cbetting with argument of not blocking KK or high FD combos. Plus both villains being shorter stacked indicates recreational players. Overall equity is still ok versus most stuff with FD and bdsd shinegans.Turn it's pretty rare to get raised so I would not be that worried about it. We block stuff but can also get valu

Thank you, good analysis.

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