Bluff catching series part 3
BTN: 306.76 BB (VPIP: 34.73, PFR: 22.22, 3Bet Preflop: 10.39, Hands: 791)
Hero (SB): 169.88 BB
Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has As 2s
fold, BTN raises to 2.5 BB, Hero raises to 11 BB, fold, BTN calls 8.5 BB
Flop : (23 BB, 2 players) Ad 9c 5h
Hero checks, BTN bets 6.42 BB, Hero calls 6.42 BB
Turn : (35.84 BB, 2 players) Ks
Hero checks, BTN bets 23.64 BB, Hero calls 23.64 BB
River : (83.12 BB, 2 players) 7c
Hero checks, BTN bets 265.7 BB and is all-in, fold
BTN wins 78.96 BB
Note that the stats on villain are distorted by the fact that we play short-handed often. I think he is a reg, and my read is rather the nitty type. But my sample is very limited, we haven't gone to showdown often.
I think at 100bb I might be calling since I gave him rope with the check on the dry high-frequency cbet board. Also, he doesn't have a lot of nutted combos that want to go all-in. Would he do that with two pair?
What do you do at 100bb and at 170bb?
4 Replies
Not a high frequency cbet I would guess (I might be very wrong, those very polarised situations are tough to play).
They don't represent much, but usually they have what they represent. I would play like you do, because in my experience they often give up on the river (in my microstakes pool at least). Also I don't like their turn sizing, seems greedy.
From what I can tell this SB range contracts with depth not expands, so i would ditch it pre.
Say I had A4ss instead, I'd still cbet flop for value, x/c turn to let them bluff and probably x/f river vs large sizings. Depends on the dynamic. AP I think it's fold all day.
From what I can tell this SB range contracts with depth not expands, so i would ditch it pre.
Say I had A4ss instead, I'd still cbet flop for value, x/c turn to let them bluff and probably x/f river vs large sizings. Depends on the dynamic. AP I think it's fold all day.
I thought with depth we replace unsuited broadways with suited Ax and connectors? But you re right, GTO wizard folds A2 at 150bb.
Yes the villain’s sizing is pretty aggressive and polarizing so I think folding at 170bb feels right, and even at 100bb it’s close, you’re mostly hoping he’s bluffing.
