Flopped set on dry flop
Live $1/1, 9-handed, 200bb eff, rake free
MP (villain) opens to $5
HJ (hero) calls with 5d5c
3c Ts 5h
Villain bets $5
Hero calls
Jd
Villain bets $15
Hero calls
4h
Villain checks
Hero bets $40
Villain calls
9 Replies
Y u no raise?
Fold pre, either raise the flop or turn. River is fine.
All depends on Villain's tendencies, but calling would be my default play. You probably made the most out of this hand.
Raise flop, raise turn. You need to start getting money in the pot to give yourself a chance to stack overpairs.
To expand:
Firstly don't put final action. We shouldn't know whether your opponent folds, calls or raises your river bet.
Flop call I can accept, but you've got to raise turn, it's a card that looks like it could help you as field caller. You're 200BB deep, you need to build that pot.
River sizing is too in between. It's big enough that he won't bluffcatch with A-high, but Tx/overpairs will call a larger bet.
River sizing is too in between. It's big enough that he won't bluffcatch with A-high, but Tx/overpairs will call a larger bet.
Unless the guy is super nitty, in which case we should raise the Turn, overpairs won't call this bet, they'll raise it. It makes no sense to cbet small twice and then check-call with QQ+ or better on a dry, jack-high board. Whereas if you bet larger, overpairs may think you're polar and only call. This bet looks like we have a hand like J9 that's trying to get paid by a T, which I think is what we want it to look like.
But more likely Villain has a hand like KT that won't pay a larger bet.
Turn call is just terrible. You have to try to get 4 bets in postflop. If you raise to 50 on the turn and bet 100 on the river, it is a much bigger pot. Similarly if you raise the flop, you can bet 50 on the turn and 100 on the river without overbetting.
Pre is fine. Either raise the flop bet or the turn bet. I can go either way.
reads?