2024 Fantasy Football Thread

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I was over weight on two players last week. I had 40% Troy Franklin and 20% Tyquan Thornton. I had a ton of teams cash but I had no contest wins. All of my legit sweats unfortunately had one of Burrow, Henry or Allen on my team. It was a very bad case of run bad.

Why was Pollard such a popular play amongst the Sims? I get that he was inexpensive and would get a lot of touches. Still, I had trouble clicking him. He's not that good and the team is not that good.

It seems the projected ownership was quite a bit off on a lot of players.

Thanks for sharing.

The sims seem to love high projected volume, which I guess makes sense. But yeah, Pollard has not had a good start to the season. A couple of tough matchups, though.

Is there any research to how sticky this is, or is it mostly game script impacted

What I'm kind of figuring out is to let the sims do their thing as far as the chalky/higher projected players go, and to take more stands/create leverage on the lower owned players.

Unfortuantely my 7 day trial ends tomorrow, so unless I ship the early MLB slate or tonight's TNF, I'm switching back to a cheaper rinky dink optimizer.

I'm on board playing a guy like Chuba who has a high volume projection because he is good. Pollard is a Jag. If Pollard was cheaper I would get it.

Miami is interesting. They have averaged only 45 plays a game through the first two. Their defense can't get off the field. Their offense is probably not as bad as people think.

It's relatively game script impacted, but I think at a point you can have some sticky takeaways. Teams like Dal, Chi, Car, have bad defenses and will generally be running more plays on offense. Teams like the Eagles, Packers, Texans, Jets want to win on the ground and with defense.

The Vikings/Phins have mostly had poor environments so far. I'm not sure how much better it may get for Mia, but maybe Wentz can be an improvement over JJM.

I wouldn't be surprised if the chart was mostly directionally accurate if we looked at it again in 10 weeks.

That makes sense, especially since the lower owned players are likely those that are tougher to project or can really flip the reason they're low owned with a couple fortunate plays. The 6 person 6 round UD draft games are similar from what I've noticed. Generally most teams have 3-4 players that are close to 100% drafted, then you want to chase the lower % drafted players with the last 2-3 picks.

This is my rinky dink optimizer haha.

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I don't believe Pollard and Chuba are that much different from a talent level. The only reason Chuba has scored well so far is two garbage time receiving TDs. He had 1 receiving TD all of last season. He hasn't been very good on the ground. Both of them are currently getting almost all of the opportunity. But yes, price is also a factor.

I saw a stat on Twitter today about Tony pollard. Through two weeks he leads the nfl in broken tackles with 20! (6 more than any other player) 14 in week two alone. Seems good. I think Hubbard is going to struggle all year. Panthers just lost a pro bowl guard and their starting center

I pulled the trigger on this today and traded hurts for Javonte and Daniel jones. Did not trade Treyveon for baker. Just gonna ride with Daniel jones for now (not words I thought I would be saying by week 3!)

Tonight's exposures. I'm obviously most worried about fading the Bills DST. I almost went with 0, but decided to add in 5% at the end.

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This man might be unstoppable.

Yeah, our most expensive OL is now decimated. Not good.

Good call so far on the Bills D. I have an embarrassing amount of Bills D and I didn't feel great about it. I did the opposite of you and tried to get rid of their D at the end. I had the feeling the Dolphins were gonna show up tonight given all the bad vibe talk. Big mistake by me. I may have 40% Bills D. I just didn't realize it until it was too late.

I had Ollie Gordon in three line ups but took him out of two at the end.

I have about 30% Prater and regret it. He is so freaking old.

I have 26% Washington and was gonna make him my flag plant. I had 50% at one time but talked myself out of it.

I had Kinkaid in a couple captain spots but pulled it at the end thinking it's not gonna happen.

The Tyreek part isn't looking good.

Definitely not anymore.

Well you needed Ollie Gordon or Jackson Hawes to take it down tonight.

16 person league, I have started 0-2 and my team is terrible, I had Burrow at QB who is of course out for a long while, the only QBs on the wire were Mac Jones, Spencer Rattler and Jake Browning.

So I thought I would upgarde a RB and a WR and get a decent starting QB.

Is this trade really that bad, as everyone in the league seems to think so?

I had some pretty good lineups last night but screwed them up playing so much Bills defense. Milano was out, Ed Oliver was out, the Bills aren't a great D to begin with. This was a really bad self inflicted wound.

Also, I should have played more Ollie Gordon. McDaniel said he wanted to get him more involved. I knew most people were gonna be spooked off of him because of the return of Jaylen Wright. I knew Jaylen Wright is trash and probably wouldn't even play in this game.

One of the problems with only playing 30 ish lineups is that I'm simply not gonna get to a Jackson Hawes. I did play a decent amount of Shavers. He will be a part of a winning line up at some point this year given his low price and the fact they like him a lot. He's a solid blocker. I wouldn't doubt if they slowly start giving him more targets. Josh Palmer is worthless. Keep an eye on Elijah Moore. He looked really explosive and was used during crunch time.

Yes. this reminds me of the Micah Parsons trade. Sending Jamar Chase is really bad. I would never trade a mega super star who can go nuclear at any time unless it was for a giant haul. I would have just picked up Jake Browning and hope for the best. Are you able to put Burrow on IR? It's possible Browning puts up bigger numbers than Nix. Josh Jacobs is gonna have some games where he scores and is good and some games where he puts a stat line of 20/60 and no TD's. I think Jacobs looks slower this year.

Even without the TD I thought he was trending toward the over on points. He could have caught a long ball by Tua but alligator armed it. Tyreek doesn't seem to have lost a step like some believe.

Liam would have hit if that very first catch would have been reviewed and overturned lol.

But yeah, I never really thought Reek was trending towards washed, so I kept drafting him hoping the offensive environment would be better. Especially once Jonnu was traded. Tua, the o line, play calling, etc. are all bigger problems.

At least they’ll be playing from behind most games since that D is probably worst itl.

Also, I do not hope for Zach Wilson, or god forbid Quinn Ewers, like some are hoping for.

As played, I would have rolled with Browning or Rattler then hoped for the best. If both were owned and it was really only Mac Jones, then I think this trade is more reasonable where you'd have no choice but to seek out a starter. I probably still would have tried to find a way to do it without giving up Chase.

But I think you lost the value proposition and really need Nix to put up 20+ average and be top 5 for it to maybe pay off. That also depends on how Chase does with Browning, whether QJ cools off, and whether Jacobs really does outproduce Kamara.

Sutton may also have a lower floor if the Franklin emergence is real and RJ Harvey continues to be more involved.