2024 Fantasy Football Thread

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Ooof @ Nabers’ ACL

My Nabers-Bowers exposure (week 17) was pretty big. Bowers in round 2 seemed like such an easy cheat code on DK.

Xavier Worthy my biggest % owned WR. This is not going to be a good $$ year for my best ball portfolio.

Well that truly sums up the AD Mitchell experience

Today has not been fun.

Yeah Bowers playing hurt and doing nothing each week is killing me

The Bowers season thus far has been a big let down. Respect him for playing through the injury, but the knee is clearly an issue.

Here's to hoping I don't regret fading the Packers D

Rough spot in a dynasty league with Nabers in win now mode

10x10 ppr sf tep

(Main players below)

Qb - Allen, Lamar
Rb - Henry, Warren, Pollard
Wr - Nabers, AJB, Tmac, Pickens, Ridley, Kirk
Te - Warren, Andrews, Jonnu, likely

Have a 1st but not my own

I don’t think standing pat makes any sense, so I see 4 legit paths

Path 1

Try to trade for a lesser player to Nabers to a team that isn’t winning this year

Nico, Rome are 2 that fit (Btjr and Ladd too but feels a little gross)

Path 2

Trade Henry, AJB, Pickens, etc… when they have good weeks for as many assets as I can get

Path 3

Semi between both paths. The locked in last place team has Jamo and 1.01

He has offered the 1.01 for Nabers but that’s not enough I don’t think. Would Jamo + 1.01 be enough?

Path 4

Trade some picks for the best starter I can get. Not sure it’ll be enough to win though and then I’m screwed for future years

Hey guys just wanted to share some fun results from this past Sunday. This will be the first week where all of my redraft teams win in the same week so I'm definitely enjoying that. Only one of those teams is a front runner though. The other four still need to battle to get to the playoffs.

Also my Underdog season long best ball teams reached a current value of $669 which is 17.8% above the buy in value. Pretty nice considering they take a 10% rake. There is still plenty of season left and something that could bring my teams down in the second half is the low ownership on Rashee Rice. I just found alot of other drafters taking him so early so I didn't get him for the most part.

Some boom peformances from this week that really helped my porfolio are Pickens (29.4pts at 25.5% ownership) Jacobs (29.4pts/15.1%) Doubs (26.8pts/14.2%) and Bijan (26.1pts/16.3%).

Biggest miss I've had on best ball was Nacua. I'm only at 1.8%. All the Stafford injury talk and also Puka's previous injury history as well as his low TD out put had me skeptical. That is a big miss so far this season.

Nacua and James Cook are my biggest best ball misses. I did have some good fades like 1.1% on DeAndre Swift, 0.7% Bowers (price was too high and he had a low TD output), 0.7% DJ Moore, and 1.6% Evan Engram.

1-7 for the week. Yuck.

5-4 with 1 in flux, which I need to win to avoid going 0-4 in that league

I'm looking like 4-5 and will probably lose both spots where I started Jaylen Warren lol. One spot wouldn't have mattered, the other it could be the difference, so I hope I lose by more than the replacement option.

This is a brutal spot. I'm not sure what I'd do. You want to maximize having Josh/Lamar, but this team is probably not getting it done with Nabers going down.

I think I like 2 the most. I'd rather just hold Nabers and try to build around him. The only pieces you list that I'd want for the future are Allen, Lamar, Nabers, TMac, Pickens, and Warren. I think I'm on the side of holding Pickens, unless you can move off of him for someone struggling like BTJ or (maybe?) Bowers.

I'd try to get as much for everyone else and hope that you can still maximize Allen/Lamar window in the next year or 2.

Nice week! Hopefully it can continue for you.

This Milly winner is hilarious. Unstacked Mahomes everywhere. It might be better to just rando click buttons and not even try to factor in sims or projection.

It looks like this lineup would have also won the BR. BR winner had the same lineup except Warren instead of Goedert.

I need to adjust my brain into less stacking/correlation and more into just the best plays. It's really hard.

The winning lineup on FD was a Stafford double stack with Warren as a bring back.

I was overweight on Bucky, Hampton, Jeanty, and QJ, but I took a stand and had more CMC than Puka.

One thing I'll probably try next week is to have flatter exposure to guys over a certain salary, and take my stands on the cheaper players.

lol just saw what you meant by this…wow indeed…I have Danny Dimes and need to fade 17 from Achane in 1/2 PPR…would be nice if I instead had to fade 17 + 4. /BBV

Probably a decent strategy. I try to do a similar thing with the top 2 rounds in the UD drafts. I think this week, I'm going to try to target a QB/TE pool and make sure I mix and match QB/TE with the various chalk pieces and not really care that much about stacking/bring backs.

I'll probably also try to narrow down some fades in the 13-30 ADP range. For instance, fading Nico this past week would have worked out nicely, but he was one of my highest owned given his 13.9 ADP lol. I need to make sure to not stay in the habit of clicking the same goes at the top of the 3rd round, as I think that's the area where you can be hit the hardest with that pattern.

I think I’m gonna skip the brs from now on (maybe fire a couple) and try the 1-20 entry contests

I usually fire 1-3 milly makers and then a couple higher dollar single entry’s so may treat UD the same

I think this is my best team so far, it’s in the puppy 1 and was a hyper fragile. Pretty fun squad

Basically no w17 bring backs unfortunately

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The smaller entry contests are kinder to the bankroll, but I think you're probably better off firing the Wildcat if you want to spend less than the BR.

I was playing the smaller entry contests the first few weeks and did fine with a small profit. But then I decided I'd be really tilted if I shipped a small entry contest for $1-$2k with a lineup that would have won more in the Wildcat.

Hahaha that’s fair and I’d probably feel the same

The Wildcat is a little deceptive compared to the BR too. The percentage cash is less (10.67% Wildcat, 18.85% BR), but you min cash 2x your entry fee in the WC compared to only 1.43x in the BR.

The smaller contests do mostly double entry fee for min cash, with higher cash rates than the WC.

The Extra Point is a single entry $5 contest with 2,256 entries, 400 cash starting at $10.
The Hurry Up is a 20 max entry $3 contest with 7,500 entries, 1,300 cash starting at $6.
Engage Eight is a 8 max entry $5 contest with 4,500 entries, 750 cash starting at $10.

Since I only played the WC this week, I can't see the other contest scores. I think I might fire one entry across all small buy ins each week moving forward so I can have access to the data. But other than that, my volume will be in the WC.

Week 1:

105.12 won The Extra Point for $1k. That score would have been good for 36th in the WC for $250.
111.72 won The Hurry Up for $2k. That score would have been good for 3rd in the WC for $4k.

Week 2:

163.66 won Engage Eight for $2k. That score would have been good for 1st in the WC for $10k.
153.1 won The Extra Point for $1k. That score would have been good for 15th in the WC for $500.
161.46 won The Hurry Up for $2k. That score would have tied 1st in the WC for $7,500.

Week 3:

133.42 won Engage Eight for $2k. That score would have been good for tying 7th in the WC for $2,250.
124.24 won The Extra Point for $1k. That score would have been good for 72th in the WC for $150.
134.42 won The Hurry Up for $2k. That score would have been good for 7th in the WC for $2,500.

Small sample obviously, but The Extra Point is the only one where you would have won more comparatively by finishing 1st. And the higher min cash percentage isn't worth forgoing that potential upside, imo.

That makes sense. Looks like I’m sticking to BRs haha

Thanks for explaining that