Grim 27TD Tourney Spot

Grim 27TD Tourney Spot

This is online. All players are about 15 bets deep, and we are a good bit from the money.
UTG is all in for half a big bet pre

I have 88642 and raise in the HJ, CO and BB call

Ignoring the all in player, the draw goes 2-1-2.

I draw another 8 and it goes bet-call-call and then 1-1-1.

I make 86432 and it goes check-bet-call-raise back to me, having seen three of the 8s.

Not loving it as it seems a very strong line from BB. Hasnt done anything out of line so far.

08 September 2025 at 08:58 PM
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Sorry, I should have said that the betting action after the first draw was checked to me first and then it went bet-call-call.


You bet the turn here? I think I just close my eyes and call down


Yes I bet the turn when checked to, and was called by CO and then raised by BB. I suppose I should mention that the all in player D2 twice as he is playing for 2 of the bets.

Basically I need villain to have the last 8 and not lead and then go somewhat thin raising 23568 or worse. The equities are a little bit hard to work out but if I completely ignore the equity of the all-in player and the other 1CD (but still assume he calls the CR), I will have to call 2 BB to win 15, so need to be good on the river around 12% of the time in the absolute best case scenario for me. I think this is a 7 very very often here to the point where I would say it is a fold that has to be made.

It is in the weekly $22 tournament on Stars if that helps with context.


Given blockers it’s tough because he’s weighted more towards a 7 now. I still don’t see myself folding 86 perfect.


[QUOTE=27Snowman;59092105] The equities are a little bit hard to work out/QUOTE]

Go to StudFlopDraw.com. Go directly to StudFlopDraw.com. Do not pass "Go," do not collect $200.

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