DBBP: Great Flop (Top Set | Flush Draw), Bad Turn OOP
$20 bomb pot, 5 players
Hero is dealt Jc Th 9h 9d
Pot 100
Flop 1: 9s 7s 3d
Flop 2: Ac 6h 5h
Hero bets 50 (1k stack)
BB folds
HJ folds
CO folds
BTN fish calls 50 (3k stack)
Pot 200
Turn 1: 9s 7s 3d 8s
Turn 2: Ac 6h 5h 2d
Hero bets 150
I bet because I felt like my hand dramatically went down in value. If I check and he makes a large bet, I don't like calling, raising, or folding. So I turned my hand into a semi-bluff and bet.
Villain raises to 500
Hero folds
(Kind of wish I had check-called the turn...)
5 Replies
Prefer flop check. Dislike the turn bet qs well.
Hero really doesn't need to get too sticky here because heart draw isn't nutted anyway; villain range has equity advantage and Hero will also underrealize equity on river by sometimes folding half.
Pure fold is too exploitable though, especially vs fishy player; some kind of mix frequency seems fine. If he is big fish even pure xc should be fine.
Not betting the flop is crazy shorthanded with a potential hogger, and imo until proven wrong, first in-not first to act—on the flop in double board should always pot it. You can never be to wrong taking it down right there.
OP, on the turn, if V just has the nut flush and blanks, you still have only about 23% equity.
I don't mind betting the flop, but I'm fine checking, too, and that's normally what I'd do. Maybe if I were last to act I'd bet. Lot of turns we hate.
As played, check turn. If we check and he pots, we can definitely peel one (well, two). Fold is fine as played.
