10NL turn polarization mistake?
CO: 124 BB (VPIP: 26.20, PFR: 20.38, 3Bet Preflop: 9.23, Hands: 702)
Hero (SB): 102.5 BB
Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Ah Kd
fold, fold, CO raises to 2.5 BB, fold, Hero raises to 11 BB, fold, CO calls 8.5 BB
Flop : (23 BB, 2 players) As 3c Qh
Hero bets 17.2 BB, CO calls 17.2 BB
Turn : (57.4 BB, 2 players) 5c
Hero checks, CO bets 18.9 BB, Hero raises to 74.3 BB and is all-in, CO calls 55.4 BB
After he calls big flop bet he is already filtered. Better just call down here? Bonus: Why is GTOwizard using small sizing more frequently on flop? We have a lot of nutted hands here.
3 Replies
I think i like barreling turn, but if we x i guess we should probably call? Kinda weird line. You still beat most stuff, but its getting thin.
As for the small sizing - SPR is pretty low, we can play for stacks anyway with b33-b60-b60 or whatever
Interesting question regarding the bet size. My guess is it recommends the smaller size for a couple of reasons:
- Villain's range has lots more air that we can deny equity to here (way more smaller pocket pairs and suited connectors that are just looking for an opportunity to fold)
- The board is relatively static - if it was instead something like A♣ 5♠ 6♠ then there would be more impetus on charging more to protect a strong but vulnerable hand
What’s your thought process regarding the turn check raise? I think the only thing we achieve here is to narrow villains range down to value / hands that have us crushed.
I choose a smaller size on the flop also - this flop hits our perceived 3b range more than villains calling range plus by choosing a smaller sizing in this spot it allows us to cbet all our air for a cheaper price which often folds out all of villains range he doesn’t want to continue with at a discount.
