NL25 - T6s 2ndp in BTN vs BB - x/r?
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NL Holdem 0.25(BB)
BTN ($25) [VPIP: 16.7% | PFR: 13.3% | AGG: 30% | Flop Agg: 0% | Turn Agg: 50% | River Agg: 50% | 3Bet: 0% | 4Bet: 0% | Hands: 30]
SB ($25) [VPIP: 19% | PFR: 15.2% | AGG: 29.2% | Hands: 81]
HERO ($46.45)
HJ ($25.35) [VPIP: 25% | PFR: 19.3% | AGG: 16.7% | Hands: 88]
CO ($30.04) [VPIP: 42% | PFR: 19.8% | AGG: 27.7% | Hands: 85]
Dealt to Hero: T♠ 6♠
HJ Folds, CO Folds, BTN Raises To $0.63, SB Folds, HERO Calls $0.38
Hero SPR on Flop: [17.92 effective]
Flop ($1.36): T♦ 8♥ 4♣
HERO Checks, BTN Checks
Turn ($1.36): T♦ 8♥ 4♣ K♦
HERO Checks, BTN Bets $0.82 (Rem. Stack: $23.55), HERO Calls $0.82 (Rem. Stack: $45)
River ($3): T♦ 8♥ 4♣ K♦ 5♠
HERO Checks, BTN Bets $1.80 (Rem. Stack: $21.75), HERO ? ? ?
Normally I would stab the turn, but since it's a scare card, I figured he may way to use it, so decided to go for a x/c.
OTR, he barrels again.
I think some of the AK/KQ/KJ are a bit less likely, cause he could c-bet them and certainly the suited version with BDFD. He doesn't have QJ, as this one c-bets the flop for sure. Also can't have a straight with 76s, which I block. I doubt he has any strong Tx, most Tx should have bet as there are 4 potential overcards. I think he can have some SD value, like weak Tx or 99 / 8x, maybe 4x.
I could call and bluff catch some of the missed BDFD (though I think he most likely c-bets them on the flop) or double barrel with air or I could also x/r here and throw away weak Kx, in case he caught any. What do you think?
7 Replies
I think it's a pretty easy jam tbh. Like probably in theory it's too wide cause we would prefer an 8 cause then we block the K8 but don't think it really matters that much vs this sizing. We've got a decent combo and should have very good FE on this runnout
Pot sized raise here would be $8.40, isn't jamming a bit to much? Also, with T8 I think we can comfortably call, unless you meant raise for value.
As in we would prefer a 1 pair 8 than a 1 pair T as our bluff. I think jam is the only size which makes sense. There is nothing we raise here which isn't worth a stack
But then with my T, I also block KT, so if you had A8 for example, you do block K8, but not KT. Ideal hand: T8. This one block both KT and K8.
I don't think he checks back KT so often OTF. He always checks back K8. And yeah T8 just too good to bluff river.
True, KT bets the flop, you are right, I missed that.
I did x/r in the end, 3/4 pot ($6.80 or so) and got called by AK.
yeah I think we have to jam. 3/4 is lazy imo