$200 Online, facing a 3 bet and cold call, BB Squeeze opportunity
Midway through the tournament, not close to the money, but more than half the field gone.
We are in the BB with 22BB,
the table is 7 handed
UTG 60BB (No reads)
HJ 50BB (we have them marked as a bit splashy/bad)
BTN 18BB (no reads on this player, but we suspect bad)
Preflop:
UTG opens to 2BB, HJ 3 bets to 6BB, BTN calls, we are in the BB, what is the worst hand that you are shoving/squeezing here?
It's a bit of weird spot, because of the extra 6BB from the btn cold calling. I don't know what hands that they could just be flatting that are 1/3 of their stack
7 Replies
KK / AK
Id fold, dont think theyre standing good against their ranges.
hard to say what btn is concretely doing there, in vacuum a lot is possible, but generally a pretty strong range.
I'm probably jamming with QQ+/AK but I would likely jam with JJ as well. Its just the BTN call that could be QQ that makes me nervous. I would fold TT here because I think BTN could easily have JJ/QQ.
only with an idea of the player type of btn, say overcalling wide speculative ranges, Id see a case for reshoving as low as JJ+ in this framework.
If it's a $200 online I'd generally give the players more credit than in smaller buyins, but off 22BB at this stage it would be tough for me to fold JJ. Button should have zero flats here; even their biggest hands would want to 4-bet jam and get it heads-up. So the flat just makes no sense. UTG and HJ don't have to necessarily be strong here.
I'd probably pray with JJ and sometimes TT that I'm getting into the good side of a flip with a massive overlay.
It's such a player-dependent spot that we can't really say anything definitive without having been there.
I'm almost always jamming JJ+, AK. The initial 3-bettor is described as splashy/bad and the caller only has 18 BB. I could definitely see jamming hands like AQo, TT and maybe worse if we perceive that we have fold equity. The more often everyone folds the more incentive we have to jam wider.
