A5s in CO vs LAG open in HJ: 3bet/Call/Fold?
1/2. Rake+promo+tip is 6+3+1 to 60.
V (370) in HJ is a twenty-five year old LAG. Over 100 hands he has a VPIP/RFI/3B arou
My instinct was that V was making his worst errors postflop, barreling four times, getting caught once with ace-high, but correctly calling down other FOS players who limped preflop then played for stacks with him. I watched him correctly tank-fold in spot where he had a 33 percent equity, and he then told me: I had just barely the equity to call. But he played too many hands..
Nice info here. I like the use of conversation with the dad as a way to form a read. It sounds like his error is playing too many hands preflop, building pots that he has to (correctly) abandon postflop. So if he keeps it up, you can raid that money with a combination of 3b and cold calls pre.
One concern would be, what you're doing could be obvious and he won't want to be your ATM for long, as that's not fun. Being across the table lets you hang out and do so more subtle exploits.
It's also possible the other players are worse, and you can exploit their ill adapted responses to this LAG. For example, if you are across from the lag the other players will mostly call wider which allows you to squeeze or value 3b more easily and profitably.
One more inflection point? Results shortly. I am afraid I have spent too much time in front of my computer and not enough on the tables.
Limp. V in HJ raises to 12. Hero in the CO with Ad5d. Hero? Hero bets 35. Limper folds. V calls. Heads-up.
Flop (65): 9d4s7c
V checks. Hero? Hero thinks a three-bet followed by a call is a strong hand. Bet one-third pot with AA and bluffs like A5s. Hero bets 20 and regrets not betting 30. V calls.
Turn (105): Th
Checks through.
River (105): Kc
V checks. Hero?
You've an ehhh Ace-high. I can't imagine that QJ called down, or that this player would check three times with it. Although it's not like you really pressured them. I normally like the pot-control line of x-turn, but V can't fold that way, and we kind of need him to, in order to win now. B60-70 probably denies them odds to draw to whatever straight + pair, and looks like you're getting ready for a river shove.
Though I think you probably would've checked back many overpairs on 974Tr, at least AA/KK. Now, one of those made top set, and one is still TP. AK is TPTK, now ofc. V has 315 back, I think. They're not folding a K, but maybe they fold something like JT to something value-y looking like a 90-110 bet?
Problem is, this kind of player will just call, since that way they won't get bluffed (and they can go broke faster). Maybe Ace-high is enough SV here? I think V calls a b80/b90, but I think you lose at showdown if you x-back.
Bet turn.
As played, bet river.
Y’all really afraid to bluff a fish HU because he loves his dad.
It’s more I feel for the dad who loves his fish.
Bet river and go big. You definitely don't want to go less than $100. V probably isn't checking a straight, and our read is he has a fold button. So let's look like we just rivered AK or our QJ just straightened out. I'd probably go $125-$150 to make sure the job gets done. I think that sizing even gets hero folds from Kx sometimes. Let's give him an opportunity to make a great fold.
Whole hand
Limp. V in HJ raises to 12. Hero in the CO with Ad5d. Hero? Hero bets 35. Limper folds. V calls. Heads-up.
Flop (65): 9d4s7c
V checks.Hero bets 20. V calls.
Turn (105): Th
Checks through.
River (105): Kc
V checks. Hero checks and says you show first. V show QQ.
V was a LAG but called QQ oop rather than 4bet? I asked myself: did V get bored? Why did he call pre? Did I miss something?
Maybe put a 4b range in the read???
