AK 3! missed
1/3 NL, effective stacks about 400. Main villain new to table, definitely not pro, but haven't seen him do anything bad.
2 limps, LJ raises to 15, hero raises to 45 in HJ with AsKc, all fold to LJ who calls. Flop (92) Ts8s5d, xx. Should hero cbet? Turn Jh for Ts8s5dJh. Villain bets 40/call. River (172) 4d for Ts8s5dJh4d. Villain bets 35. Hero???
7 Replies
I would probably cbet - keeps you uncapped and protects your equity. Once you check I'm fine with calling the turn - as played on the river it seems like you're behind so either you can raise or fold. Raising you represent really nothing but also this is 1/3 and you get a good price to go for it. There's 205 in the pot - if you raised to say 110 you don't need to win that often to profit.
I didn't cbet because it seemed like a bad flop for JJ+/AK, so I might check an overpair. Think maybe I should have cbet.
Had to call turn with gutshot and overs. Wasn't sure if I should bluff raise weak river bet representing an overpair.
Only sizing we can use is jam imo. If we make it some modest amount he’s just gonna call with his 99 or ace ten.
I would rather fold, it really looks like we have AK.
I didn't cbet because it seemed like a bad flop for JJ+/AK, so I might check an overpair. Think maybe I should have cbet.
Had to call turn with gutshot and overs. Wasn't sure if I should bluff raise weak river bet representing an overpair.
It is a bad flop for AK. It is not a bad flop for JJ+. Your check makes it more likely you have the AK not the OP.
C-bet flop 1/3 pot. Represent an overpair. Click back, and you’re playing AKo face up.
Fold turn unless you have a read. Your overs are not clean. ATs and KTs are in V’s range.
AP just fold unless you have a read
I'm fine with preflop. One huge benefit to sitting on a short $200 stack (which is what I prefer to do at 1/3 NL) is that we can often size to leave us with a PSB shove for any flop, which gives us great FE on two streets plus enables us to always realize our equity. But unfortunately can't do that this deep.
I probably give up / check back on this flop with not a lot going on for us.
Turn call is dicey. A lot of our outs might be reverse dominated and our hand looks exactly like it is.
And yeah it's a weak ass river bet but our hand still looks exactly like it is, so he's just trying to eke out some value from it and likely isn't folding.
GcluelessNLnoobG
I don't mind checking flop, in theory I'd estimate we should be checking like half of the time. But I think when we check flop, we want to raise the turn, especially when we hold As because:
1. V has a lot of incentive to 3! his monsters.
2. We get value from FDs like KQss
3. We create potential to bluff river.
4. We have up to 10 outs against a lot of hands that will call.